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Whatever the first local blockade (in every sense of the word) finally arrived for Serres and Thessaloniki, unfortunately both experts and the government are talking about the next region that can enter the gray zone if the situation is very difficult.
The Attica motive, which although it showed a stabilization of cases in the past, now things are quite serious.
That is, if in the coming days there is an exponential increase in cases and the ICUs are even more under pressure, then it is not ruled out that we will live again in March.
And although the residents of the capital are very tired, although they have not yet adapted well to the new measures with the closure of the restaurant, experts have not ruled out the worst scenario.
So far there are two bad omens that the situation in Attica will be difficult.
Two bad omens for Attica
The viral load in the wastewater of Attica showing up to 60,000 active cases and of course the situation in the ICU, which is characterized as especially critical.
Furthermore, as explained by Mr. Gogos, in Thessaloniki there was a sudden blockade, because the COVID clinics were full and he stressed that if at any time we see that the ICUs and clinics are full, we will be forced to do a blockade in Attica too.
“There is a significant burden on the health system. Other ICUs are needed”said Mr. Gogos characteristically.
At the same time yesterday, a total of 153 people are hospitalized in the country’s ICU, a record number.
According to sources from the Ministry of Health, the beds of the Intensive Care Units that have been destined for the treatment of patients with coronavirus in hospitals throughout the country are at 40% of their capacity. Specifically, there are 312 ICU-COVID beds throughout the country, of which 188 are occupied and 124 vacant (40%). 
As if this were not enough, the forecasts for today’s cases are not good.
The president of EODY has already stated that it is not ruled out that today cases exceed 2,000 and a new record will be broken.
At the same time, Stelios Petsas, who all the time ruled out a universal blockade, today claimed for the first time that nothing is impossible anymore (not even that).
In any case, today dawned a different day for the basin as new measures have come into force.
Shock Forecast for Today’s Cases by EODY President
Speaking to ERT today, EODY president Panagiotis Arkoumaneas made a terrifying prediction.
“Today it is possible to hear about 2,000 cases again, after the decrease in yesterday’s figure, as happens on Mondays,” he said, highlighting that the main reason for the spread of the coronavirus is movements.
According to Arkoumaneas, planning for massive rapid tests will soon include hospitals and health centers, while mobile units continue in northern Greece, with the next stations in Komotini and Drama. 
“Let’s see in the next few days if we achieve a uniform stabilization, especially in northern Greece,” he said, recalling that if the superconductors are 10%, the dispersion they cause reaches 80%.
Regardless of the test, someone who was tracked down as a close contact must observe a mandatory 14-day quarantine, he said once again.
The president of EODY stated that “in the north of Greece, students are evaluated and examined in some areas”, explaining that, as foreseen in the protocol, a risk assessment is carried out, that is, whether it is a confluence or not .
“Our first priority to protect the health system is vulnerable groups,” Arkoumaneas said.
Teacher impact assessment: wastewater in Attica shows 60,000 cases
At the same time, the revelation that the viral load in Attica sewage is increasing in recent days was alarmingly made today by Professor of Analytical Chemistry Nikos Thomaidis, who has been monitoring these figures with his scientific team since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic.
As Mr. Thomaidis said speaking on Topic 104.6, “On Sunday we again saw an increase in the viral load in the sewer, something that is worrying and shows us that the cases are in the range of 50,000-60,000.”
According to Thomaidis, with these data “yes, a March quarantine will not happen again, because nobody wants it, but Attica is marching towards the regime in force in Thessaloniki, if the measures are not implemented.” 
He noted that “the sewer is looking at where things will go a few days before the EODY tests” and clarified that “we saw, for example, a sharp increase in viral load on October 20, something that was reflected in the cases of EODY a few days later. “
According to the data, “last week we had a stability in the viral load, which corresponded to 30 to 40 thousand cases”. As the professor said, “Every morning we take the samples from the day before and send them to the infectious diseases committee and the public health committee.”
Mr Thomaidis said that “if the measures are put in place, the spread will stop.” But because the activity continues, we certainly won’t see what we had in May, when the virus disappeared. “
The coronavirus, the confinement and the experts
For their part, infectious disease specialists study the statistics every day and try to see the evolution of the pandemic.
For Attica, the professor of Pathology, Charalambos Gogos, sounded the alarm, due to the dramatic increase in cases and leaves open the possibility of a lockdown. 
“There was an attempt to proceed with strong recommendations, but it was unsuccessful. That does not mean that people are to blame for everything.” As the professor pointed out to SKAI, we are close, especially Attica, to becoming “Thessaloniki”. However, Greece is still in a good position compared to the others.
Mr. Gogos also pointed out that the extension of the measures in order to reduce the circulation of the public in order to reduce the circulation of the virus is not ruled out.
The statements of Athanasios Tsakris, professor of Microbiology at the University of Athens, are on the same wavelength. The professor stressed that “a crash is also possible in Attica”, with the data we have so far. 
He also noted that “now the true second epidemic wave begins.” As he explained, seasonal coronaviruses begin in late October and last until March-April. By contrast, the flu epidemic is shorter and starts later.
“The big problem is not just the cases, but also how long the healthcare system will last,” said Mr. Tsakris, adding that this will be the “bell” for Attica.
“If society complies, the epidemic will be reduced.” The situation, however, is also complicated by weather conditions, he said, speaking to SKAI.
In a week we will have a first picture of the performance of the measures, while the measures will be reassessed next week, mainly for focus. The use of a mask as a measure will accompany us for a long time, while in summer things will be smoother.
The factors that will lead the government to last resort are as follows:
- The first is the RT, that is, the transmission rate of the coronavirus, which in Attica is around 1.2.
- The second factor is the positivity index, which shows the dispersion in the population.
- The EKPA report on the content of coronavirus in wastewater.
- The range of pressures that Attica hospitals are receiving in combination with the increasing needs for ICU beds.
“They will toughen the measures if we don’t observe them”
“A general blockade across the country is not ruled out,” said government spokesman Stelios Petsas, ringing the UCI “bell”, saying there is already a lot of pressure in Thessaloniki.
“We are preparing for the worst case scenario. We are taking these measures early so that we can have a more optimistic December,” emphasized Stelios Petsas, leaving all the scenarios open for the next government maneuvers.
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