Koronaios: nightmare scenarios with a four digit number in ICU and 1,000 cases per day



[ad_1]

Scientists are sounding the alarm as the virus tests both citizens and the healthcare system, which is coming under great pressure.

Therefore, despite the fact that we are going through the first day of the new measures in Attica, the experts already emphasize that these will not be the only ones if we do not follow the indications of the specialists in infectious diseases and Civil Protection.

At the same time, the government does not rule out a second blockade if the situation worsens. A scenario left open by Stelios Petsas, although everyone wants to avoid that possibility.

On Wednesday, EODY announced 310 new cases, with the capital holding a negative record for another day (197 of 296 national cases). However, the most worrying data is that the intubated patients are now 67, and the ICU fullness for Covid-19 has already reached 60%.

As Professor Gikas Majorkinis pointed out in yesterday’s briefing, within a week of September 7-14, the intubated patients were expelled: 23 patients had to be admitted to the ICU and intubated.

With these data, the government has all the measures and scenarios on the “table”. In fact, speaking with SKAI, government spokesman Stelios Petsas, expressing concern about the escalation of cases, did not rule out the possibility of a new blockade.

“We are concerned that the situation will not disappear and that the health system is under pressure. We will do whatever is necessary. The problem is dynamic, it is evolving,” he said, while when asked about the possibility of a new confinement he said: ” We do not rule out anything, everything is on the table. “There is no ‘economy or health’ dilemma, we have said that the protection of public health and human life does not fit into any scale.” However, he stressed that “now we are not there But at the table we must have all the options. How the phenomenon will develop will determine the decisions. “

EODY: New measures are not ruled out

The alarm bell sounded and George Panagiotakopoulos, infectious disease specialist, vice president of EODY, speaking with Mega, did not rule out the need for new measures in Attica, depending on the epidemiological picture.

Explaining the need to take more measures in Attica, he stressed that “we see that the image worsens, especially in Attica and in large urban centers due to population density.” There is an increase in the number of patients and “even more worrying is that we have an increase in the number of ICU patients and intubated patients.” She did not even rule out taking new measures: “depending on the epidemiological picture, other measures can be added later.” The period after 15 days is crucial, when the effectiveness of the measures will be seen and it will be evaluated if there will be a relief or a drag on dispersion.

“There is a progressive increase in cases that started in August and especially in Attica, which led us to propose the new measures,” infectious disease specialist Marios Lazanas told SKAI. As you mentioned, the measures are no longer being met and that is what led to the new measures. The epidemiological burden in Attica is constantly increasing and we are close to hitting “red”, while he noted that if the burden in Attica is not reduced, perhaps the measures will be more stringent. Mr. Lazanas stressed that the universal use of the mask should already have been done and that the next measures could be the confinement, the generalization of the mask in the open air, while emphasizing that social gatherings and people with disabilities should be limited . underlying diseases to sit more at home.

Infectious disease specialists are in favor of the widespread use of the mask.

Speaking to ANT1, the professor of Infectious Diseases Charalambos Gogos highlighted that “the use of the mask is constantly discussed in the Committee in all outdoor areas, where there is a combination of people who wear it. Now we don’t have time to talk about the mask, the epidemic is on the rise. We have been meeting up to six hours a day in recent months. “At the same time, he noted that” public transport is abuzz with over-transmission.

Up to 1000 cases per day

“Based on the calculations of the end of October with the change of climate and the change of the contagion of the virus and a number of other factors, for example, the simultaneous start of the flu season, etc. leads to an increase in November still more significant and even more important in December “and added that” if we let it evolve we can reach four-digit case numbers, “Demosthenes Sarigiannis, Professor of Environmental Engineering at Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, told SKAI. Asked if it is possible by the end of the year to reach 1,000 cases a day, he stressed that it is possible but estimates that Greek society will understand the importance of the measures.

The infectious disease specialist Marios Lazanas said that there is various evidence that it can be said that the epidemic is worsening and are the daily increase in cases, hospital admissions, intensive care needs, while highlighting that at this time ICUs have begun to “squeeze”. . “There is still pressure on the μαι units. I’m afraid this percentage will increase even more … Young people are also being intubated.”

Four-digit number of ICU patients is not unlikely

For his part, speaking at Open, the president of the Panhellenic Medical Association Athanasios Exadaktylos stated that if there is no State intervention, it is very likely that in November we will have not only a four-digit number of cases but also a four-digit number of patients digits in ICU: number of cases should not be considered unlikely. The numbers show a rebound. “The options are restrictive measures in time or the collapse of the system,” he said.

Most of the cases between 35 and 55 years

“Things are quite difficult in Attica,” said Nikos Sypsas, Professor of Infectious Diseases, speaking with ERT, emphasizing that ICU beds are covered to a significant degree and that most cases refer to age group 35 to 55 years.

60% of ICUs in Attica – of the beds that already exist – have been covered, but ICU beds for Covid-19 can be immediately increased throughout the territory, said the professor.

The six measures announced in Attica

The Deputy Minister of Civil Protection, Nikos Hardalias, announced on Tuesday the strengthening of measures in Attica, in order to limit the spread of the coronavirus, due to the increase in cases in Attica, which will take effect from today, September 16 to September 30. September.

1) Concerts: Limit 50% fullness in open spaces, the use of mask, alcohol and smoking is prohibited

2) Catering centers with live music: Suspended for 14 days

3) Summer and indoor cinemas and theaters: 60% occupancy limit and mandatory use of mask during spectators entry and exit, as well as during the show

4) The mandatory use of a mask in all closed workplaces (public and private), as well as in open spaces where there are meetings (for example, squares, bus stops, queues in shops, marches – demonstrations, events of political parties) where distance rule 1.5 meters.

There is a strong recommendation for the use of masks in all other open spaces by all citizens.
5) Popular markets: 50% operation, use of mask by all, distance of 3 meters between counters

6) Limit of 6 people in table seats in restaurants

It is recalled that the rule of 50 people remains in force in all meetings, as well as the opening of the retail trade at 10:00 a.m., with the exception of supermarkets, bakeries, grocery stores, etc.

At the same time, there is a strong recommendation for the general use of masks in people over 65 years of age.



[ad_2]