Koronaios: Light of hope for case reduction – But deaths and intubations keep … the blinds closed



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The information on Friday about the course of the coronavirus in Greece was encouraging, since it seems that shortly before entering the 5th week of the closure, the epidemiological panorama of the country shows a slight improvement, although we are still far from what scientists would like. give a “green light” to the progressive opening of the economy and society.

The dim light that begins to appear in the coronavirus tunnel regarding the spread and new infections by the deadly virus, comes to overshadow the data on intubation and death, which prove that the pressure on the health system continues to be suffocating.

Also read: Christmas without moving from one county to another

Indicative are what the professor of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Vana Papaevangelou, said during today’s informative session, that today about 4,000 patients are treated in the country, while the average of the last week is slightly reduced and we have around 360 Daily income.

This is the reason why the blockade was extended until December 14, while the discussions for the opening of the country are carried out “timidly”, since both scientific and government personnel fear that an “uncomfortable” removal The lockdown is likely to lead to a new outbreak and perhaps a third wave of the deadly virus.

Also read: Hair salons open on December 11 and retail stores on December 14

Encouraging news

“Now it is even clearer that the curve for new cases in our country is decreasing in almost the entire country. “There is a further decrease in the seven-day moving average of cases, which is estimated at 1,750 per day,” Ms Papaevangelou said during the briefing.

“The reduction in cases was significantly greater compared to the previous two weeks. In some Regional Units, however, such as Pieria, Fthiotida and Etoloakarnania, we have not yet seen a clear reduction in cases,” he stressed.

In the same vein, the statements of the associate professor of the EKPA School of Medicine, Gika Majorkini, who clarified that “the reduction in active cases continues, as recorded by the reduction in the number of new diagnoses at the national level.”

However, as he explained this week, the contraction appears to be less than last week.

Still, as you mentioned, the decline in large urban centers continued this week with lower rates, however.

“Specifically, in both Attica and Thessaloniki, estimates show that the active breeding number remains below 1 in both regions, with Attica remaining slightly lower than Thessaloniki, but based on the number of new diagnoses.” According to the number of pipelines, Thessaloniki appears to be lower than Attica, “he explained.

Also read: From work to family – What is the spread of the “ping pong” coronavirus

Nothing is over

However, both of them were quick to clarify that nothing is over and that if we relax now, we will ruin all the effort of the last four weeks.

“It is clear that this chain of transmission is not going to break. The dispersion in the community was and continues to be great and the mobility of the population did not decrease as much as in the first confinement. One possible explanation for the ongoing second wave is that due to the large dispersion in the community there is a continuum, say, ping-pong between workplaces and family dispersion, “said Ms Papaevangelou.

That is, where an area is going to calm down, a series of cases explode in a work environment, in a closed structure, which works as a source of over-transmission and results in the dispersion in the homes of all these people, in their families. “Unfortunately, the virus has proven to be much more cunning than us and awaits every moment of our relaxation or daydreaming.”

He also sounded the alarm, saying that “December is a difficult month every year with an increase in viruses, but also many obligations for all of us. This year will be quite different but also much more difficult because it comes after many months of blocking fatigue. We would like to be with our loved ones around a table, as we are used to. But let’s plan this Christmas differently from now on and let it be something that worries us all a lot. “

“The age distribution of new diagnoses maintains a high morbidity profile, with diagnoses of 40-65 and older than 65 having the greatest impact. However, I must point out that in the last three days we are seeing a small decrease relative in the diagnoses of those over 65 years old ”, said Mr. Majorkinis taking the floor.

“The load is maintained in the north of the country. Typically, we go back to mentioning the Pieria, Drama, Serres and Pella Regions, while Larissa’s burden remains high, ”he added.

Based on this information, I would like to ask everyone again, but especially those in smaller towns and villages, although I know how tired you are, to be very careful in your daily life. Perhaps because you are far from the big cities, you feel safe, that the virus does not concern you. Unfortunately, the virus is affecting us all now more than ever. Wear masks and avoid unnecessary encounters with people who do not live on the same roof. We protect the elderly in our family, we call to see what they do, and we give information on how they should protect themselves. We talk to them from a distance, we see them up close if necessary, always with a mask and good ventilation ”concluded Mr. Majorkinis.

Also read: Land borders closed for those who tested positive for coronavirus – More than 16,000 active cases

“The third wave is coming”

Greeks should be more cautious and take the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic very seriously, said distinguished Greek-American Yale University professor Nikolas Christakis in an online presentation of his new book “The Arrow of Apollo – The Depths and Long-Term Effects of the Recent Pandemic on the Way We Live “, which was published recently in Greece.

As he said, the coronavirus circulates on social media as ideas. He pointed out that if both contagion and mortality are taken into account, the new pandemic is the second worst in the last 100 years, after the Spanish flu.

Mr. Christakis estimated that if the population is convinced to be vaccinated, in approximately one year we will have far exceeded the biological dynamics of the virus and we will be more faced with its economic and social impact.

For the winter of 2021, he predicted there would be a third epidemic wave, albeit milder because of the vaccinations that have taken place in the meantime.

He also said that in the summer of 2021, it appears that it will be possible to stimulate tourism more than in the summer of 2020, although not at the 2019 level, a vision that, as he said, he conveyed to Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis.

He also estimated that the opening of tourist activity in Greece this summer did not play a role in triggering a second epidemic wave, something that would happen anyway, as it did in other countries.

He added that if the government copes well with the second wave of the pandemic, its popularity and public confidence will increase.

For the deaths from Covid-19 in the current season in Greece, which are about 100 per day, he pointed out that our country compared to others, such as Sweden or Portugal, is in a better position.

He stressed, mainly by the citizens, if Greece will do better, as in the first wave.

The situation in Greece

Coronavirus cases seemed reduced one more day in our country, at a time when both intubated and deceased patients showed a small decrease.

Specifically, EODY announced today 1,667 new cases of the new virus in the country, of which 9 were detected after controls at the country’s gateways.

For the umpteenth consecutive day, Thessaloniki emerges as the “champion” of cases, where according to scientists the viral load remains very high.

Of the 1,667 cases announced by the National Public Health Organization in the last 24 hours, 367 were registered in Thessaloniki, while Attica is on alert with 316 cases.

At the exact moment 93 cases were registered in Pieria, while 79 in Imathia.

More details:

  • 9 cases during controls carried out at the country’s entry gates
  • 316 cases in the Attica region
  • 367 cases in PE Thessaloniki
  • 20 cases in PE Etoloakarnania
  • 17 cases in PE Argolida
  • 5 cases in PE From Arcadia
  • 13 cases in PE from acaya
  • 14 cases in PE Βοιωτίας
  • 13 cases in PE Grevena
  • 33 cases in PE Drama
  • 35 cases in PE Evros
  • 3 cases in PE De Evia
  • 5 cases in PE Evritania
  • 1 case in PE De Ilia
  • 79 cases in PE Imathia
  • 15 cases in PE Heraklion
  • 1 case in PE Thesprotia
  • 12 cases in PE Ioannina
  • 32 cases in PE Kavala
  • 1 case in PE Kalymnos
  • 29 cases in PE Karditsa
  • 6 cases in PE Kastoria
  • 2 cases in PE Corfu
  • 56 cases in PE Kilkis
  • 34 cases in PE Kozani
  • 7 cases in PE Corinto
  • 3 cases in PE Laconia
  • 66 cases in PE from Larissa
  • 13 cases in PE Lesbos
  • 1 case in PE Lefkada
  • 1 case in PE Lemnos
  • 51 cases in PE Magnesia
  • 7 cases in PE Messinia
  • 49 cases in PE Xanthi
  • 57 cases in PE Pella
  • 93 cases in PE Pieria
  • 1 case in PE Preveza
  • 20 cases in PE Rodopi
  • 2 cases in PE Rhodes
  • 40 cases in PE Serres
  • 23 cases in PE Trikala
  • 11 cases in PE Fthiotida
  • 12 cases in PE Florina
  • 1 case in PE Φωκίδας
  • 40 cases in PE from Halkidiki
  • 10 cases in PE Chania
  • 5 cases in PE Chios
  • 36 cases are being investigated.

More than 113,000 cases

Thus, the total number of cases is 113,185, of which 52.8% are men, while 4,966 (4.4%) are considered related to travel from abroad and 29,765 (26.3%) are related to a case already known.

In addition, 612 of our fellow citizens are being treated by intubation. Their average age is 65. 175 (28.6%) are women and the rest are men. 76.0% of intubated patients have an underlying disease or are 70 years or older. 635 patients have been discharged from the ICU.

Finally, we have 98 more registered deaths and 2,804 deaths in total in the country. 1,118 (39.9%) women and the rest men. The mean age of our dying fellow citizens was 79 years and 96.4% had an underlying disease and / or were 70 years or older.

Age distribution

The average age of the cases is 43 years (range 0 to 104 years), while the average age of death is 79 years (range 25 to 103 years). The age distribution of (a) total cases, (b) cases that resulted in death, and (c) patients treated by intubation, is as follows:

Geographic dispersion

The map shows the geographical distribution of total COVID-19 cases (since the beginning of the epidemic) by Regional Unit of the country, according to the declared address of permanent residence of the patient, or the address of temporary residence for tourists and other temporary residents. in Greece. It includes both cases with a travel history (“imported”) and cases with possible national transmission.

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