Koronaios: In how many cases per day will the government be alerted? The critical period for quarantine



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Deaths increase by 36%, but a gradual and significant decrease in Attica’s “share” from 59% to 47% (reduction of approximately 30%) in total Covid-19 cases nationwide, is produced in the last three weeks, according to a new detailed table with the data of the pandemic presented by “A Vima”.

As the data of the last three weeks show, it is found that in the period from September 23 to 30, the cases were 2,189, that is, 312 each day, the period from September 30 to October 7 was 2,472 (353 in daily average) and 2,548 in the last seven days (average 364 new players every 24 hours). In other words, in three weeks there was a 16% increase in the average number of weekly cases.

The critical period for quarantine

This leads to the conclusion that the “upper barrier” of the 600 cases raised by important government officials, to decide “local quarantines”, will be – with a tendency to increase cases by 16% every three weeks – to about 11- 12 weeks, that is, approximately at the beginning. January. And if, of course, measures are not taken that will further limit the spread of the pandemic and if other figures do not change.

Increase in deaths

It is also indicative that 45 deaths from coronavirus were recorded in the last week, which is a record since the start of the pandemic, with an average of around 7 deaths every 24 hours, when the relative average of five weeks ago was five. deaths. Of these 47 deaths, 39 (87%) were over 64 years old.

Furthermore, there are fluctuations in the number of intubated patients as the high mortality “reduces” – according to this macabre statistic – the number of intubated and the total number of patients in the ICU.

It is observed that in the last week it is estimated that 54 people were intubated (in this number there may be small differences), with a percentage of around eight per day, when the relative average of the past week was about 9 ICU patients in this critical condition.

Case reduction in Attica

However, it appears, despite initially different impressions, that in at least the past 20 days there has been a percentage reduction in the number of cases from 59% to 47%, compared to the total carriers of the deadly virus throughout the country.

This is related to the effort by the Ministry of Civil Protection, EODY and the Athens City Council to reduce cases in the center of the capital, which now represents around 35-37% of the total from about 45% a month ago.

Finally, more than 300 cases of coronavirus are registered, each week, at the particularly sensitive age of 64 years or more. Every week in the last period of time 25 to 39 elderly die (75 to 87% share in the total number of deaths) with an increasing trend.



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