Koronaios: How did Mitsotakis come to the decision of a generalized blockade?



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The nationwide lockdown decision fell like a thunderbolt, which was made a day after the start of the new measures in Attica and the closure of the restaurant.

This is a decision that has caused a stir in the world and the reactions of the opposition parties are forceful, accusing the government of failing in its policy of shielding the health system in time and limiting the spread of the virus.

The closure is expected to begin at 6:00 am on Saturday and last a month, however the questions until the final announcements that the prime minister will make in a few hours remain many.

Why the committee of experts suggested a universal blockade of the prime minister without even evaluating the progress of the new measures and why we will live again in March for a whole month and not for 15 days.

What infectious disease specialists saw and suggested a lockdown to the prime minister

Certainly an important role in this decision was played by the three negative records registered in the country in the previous 24 hours.

The triple negative record, that is, in cases, deaths and intubated, such as the 832 diagnoses in Thessaloniki and the 588 in Attica clearly show that the situation is critical.

The pressure on ICUs in northern Greece is also seen as particularly critical.

It is characteristic that while Thessaloniki is locked up – and has 832 cases – the ICU-Covid are 102 and of these 71 are occupied and 31 vacant (70% full).

Attica is in roughly the same situation, of the 144 ICU-Covid, 104 are occupied and 40% are vacant.

So the main reason why the experts, after repeated and long meetings, proposed a universal shutdown to the Prime Minister was because there is worrying and unprecedented pressure on ICUs in northern Greece.

The pressure is so great that it is necessary to create reserves in the Attica ICUs in case all the intensive Covid in Thessaloniki fill up.

This in combination with the fact that Attica is already under pressure and this can be seen in the NSS, as a result, infectious disease specialists have chosen the only safe solution with which there will be a definitive reduction in cases, deaths and intubated . That is the confinement.

However, the background to the decisions in the teleconference that took place Wednesday afternoon was dramatic, as experts initially considered the possibility of closing only Attica, while the biweekly lockdown fell on the table, instead of a month.

The committee found that without horizontal measures dispersal would spiral out of control over the weekend, making it impossible to allow more time to assess the already tough measures that had been taken for Attica.

They also ruled that fifteen days for the confinement were not enough, since the results will be seen in at least two weeks.

That is, it is very likely that in two weeks we will still see an upward trend in cases that will reflect the situation of 10-15 days ago.

No model accurately predicted what happened in Thessaloniki

As for the situation in northern Greece and especially in Thessaloniki, it remains in the red, although it is characteristic that the strong dispersion, which had a vertical increase in just two weeks, exceeded all mathematical models and forecasts.

In other words, experts expected that the cases in Thessaloniki would multiply by ten (at the end of November), however, they did not expect this to happen in such a short time.

At the same time, the spread of the virus in the surrounding areas, Ioannina, Serres, Drama, Rodopi, Magnesia causes an additional suffocating pressure on the entire health system of northern Greece, so it is considered necessary to “create space” in the ICU of Attica, in order to receive incidents from the capital as well as from other areas of Greece.

In any case, the situation in the co-capital is more critical than in Attica and that is why the interest of scientists and the government is focused there.

Business plan in case the ICUs in Thessaloniki fill up

The situation is considered critical and marginal for ICU beds, while the rest are currently considered manageable.

In fact, a plan has already been drawn up in case Covid-19 patients need to be transported to the capital.

This plan provides for the air transport of heavy patients with Covid-19 in military aircraft. Each aircraft can contain up to three special capsules that will be connected to medical devices. Thus, the patient will be transported quickly and safely to a referral hospital in Attica.

The president of the EKAB, Nikos Papaefstathiou, together with the director of medical services of the National Emergency Center, Dimitris Pyrros, have already gone to Thessaloniki to organize and coordinate staff in the event of a red alert.

What the Prime Minister will announce

Remember that at 12 noon a nationwide closure will be announced, probably for a month, with secondary schools and gyms closed.

At his side, the Prime Minister will also have Professor Sotiris Tsiodras, so that together they can answer questions from journalists.

The blockade to be announced will last one month. In any case, millions of people who need to move will have to send sms.

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