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The hopes are created by the reduction of coronavirus cases observed in our country in the last two days. EODY today announced 693 new cases out of 1,194 that were counted on Saturday and 1,395 on Friday.
This reduction is likely to contribute in the coming days to reduce the pressure on the NSS, since 552 ICUs are still occupied by intubated patients. However, it is not ruled out that this rate of decline could be stopped since the weather conditions favor the transmission of the coronavirus.
It should be noted, however, that in the last 24 hours 15,792 tests for the coronavirus were performed (9,432 molecular tests and 6,360 rapid tests), a number of tests increased compared to those performed a week ago (12,968).
However, there are concerns about the course of the click and the possibility of overcrowding that will allow the disease to spread more quickly.
Already the Minister of Development, Adonis Georgiadis, despite the fact that the first day passed without problems, emphatically warned that if there are problems, the stores will close immediately.
Developments in Europe, where the “Light blocking” As in Germany, they were not only ineffective but ultimately did not prevent the rapid spread of the disease.
In any case, with current data, it appears that the goal of 300 intubated patients set by Vana Papaevangelou for Christmas during the briefing on the course of the pandemic is not elusive.
AUTh Study “Sees” Small Increase in Holiday Coronavirus Cases
A small increase in the number of cases of coronavirus during the Christmas and New Year holidays in Thessaloniki, despite the decrease registered today, shows the model of the professor of Sanitary and Environmental Engineering of AUTh, specialist in mathematical models of epidemiological dispersion, Demosthenes Sarigianis that opening up retail in the city would be problematic.
Emphasizing the role of weather conditions in the transmission of the coronavirus, Mr. Sarigiannis’ research team states in its announcement today that if the measures applied to prevent the spread of the coronavirus (Lockdown) remain in effect until the Holiday of Lights, then “we will be in 180-200 cases, while if the measures continue until January 20 or the end of January, then we will drop to 160-120”.
It emphasizes that if the schools open as scheduled on January 8, 2021, “then the fall course will slow down and if they open on January 20, 2021, then the cases will range between 210 and 230.” “Of course”, as Professor Sarigiannis’ research team points out, “the restaurant should open much later.”
Regarding the role of weather conditions in the transmission of the coronavirus, the announcement emphasizes that Thessaloniki in the next period will have three or four degrees less temperature than Athens. “This is an important element for the transmissibility of the coronavirus, which increases with the reduced temperature and the scarcity of sunlight,” the statement said.
He clarifies that “if there is a lower temperature, it makes sense to stay indoors longer and increase the possibility of active contacts between our body and fellow citizens without immunity, while at the same time increasing the transmission of the virus.” The end result is an increase in the probability of transmission and therefore the spread of the virus in the community.
Mr. Sarigiannis’ research team has created a synthetic model based on the day-to-day time series for the past four years. Based on previous measurements, they have produced a composition for the average temperature, humidity and insolation in different parts of the country and there is data until the end of March. The meteorological data is updated daily and with the EMY 15-day forecast so that the forecast is the best possible both in the short and medium / long term.
EODY Ads for Cases
EODY announced today 693 news coronavirus cases in the country, 10 of which were identified after checks at the country’s gates. The total number of cases is 124,534, of which 52.6% are men.
The 693 new cases are distributed as follows:
* 10 cases during controls carried out at the country’s entry gates
* 1 imported box that came voluntarily for testing
* 169 cases in the Attica region
* 151 cases in PE Thessaloniki
* 9 cases in PE Etoloakarnania
* 3 cases in PE De Arcadia
* 1 case in PE Arta
* 7 cases in PE from acaya
* 1 case in PE Βοιωτίας
* 2 cases in PE Grevena
* 3 cases in PE Drama
* 24 cases in PE Evros
* 6 cases in PE De ilia
* 12 cases in PE Imathia
* 5 cases in PE Heraklion
* 1 case in Sick PE
* 1 box of st. Θήρας
* 3 cases in PE Ioannina
* 16 cases in PE Kavala
* 21 cases in PE Karditsa
* 6 cases in PE Kastoria
* 31 cases in PE Kilkis
* 25 cases in PE Kozani
* 3 cases in PE Corinto
* 2 cases in PE Laconia
* 28 cases in PE De Larissa
* 6 cases in PE Lesbos
* 15 cases in PE Magnesia
* 1 case in PE Naxos
* 30 cases in PE Xanthi
* 18 cases in PE Pella
* 24 cases in PE Pieria
* 6 cases in PE Rodopi
* 1 case in PE Rhodes
* 21 cases in PE Serres
* 4 cases in PE Trikala
* 7 cases in PE Fthiotida
* 2 cases in PE Florina
* 6 cases in PE De Halkidiki
* 4 cases in PE Chania
* 4 cases in PE Chios
3 cases are under investigation.
5109 (4.1%) are considered to be related to trips from abroad and 35,564 (28.6%) are related to a known case.
552 of our fellow citizens are treated by intubation. Their average age is 66. 162 (29.3%) are women and the rest are men. 77.0% of intubated patients have an underlying disease or are 70 years or older. 730 patients have been discharged from the ICU.
Finally, we have 85 more deaths recorded and 3,625 deaths in total in the country. 1,448 (39.9%) women and the rest men. The mean age of our deceased fellow citizens was 79 years and 95.8% had an underlying disease and / or were 70 years or older.
See HERE The EODY Daily Epidemiological Study
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