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“Handelsblatt” tries to analyze the reasons that prevent the EU from speaking in the language of power in Turkey of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who reinforces the risk of a military confrontation with his “increasingly aggressive policy”.
The article in the prestigious German financial newspaper recalls the recent statements of the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, about a “historical turning point” in Euro-Turkish relations, the outcome of which depends on the behavior of the Turkish direction. The possibility of imposing sanctions that really harm Turkey is very doubtful, p. Eg in the economic sphere-, since unanimity is required to make the pertinent decision.
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“The great dilemma”, he says, “in the EU, is that Turkey is a partner, a candidate for EU membership, a military ally of its 21 member states and of great strategic interest, geopolitically, in terms of EU policy. security, but also on the domestic political front.
However, opinions on the relationship with Turkey are divided within the EU: while, for example, France and Austria are highly critical of Turkey, and Vienna in particular has often reiterated its call for an official end to the accession. “The talks with Ankara, which are already on the ice, other countries do not want to eliminate it.”
He cites the example of Germany: “Berlin, which currently holds the presidency of the European Council and is therefore responsible for finding compromises between the Member States, does not want to be pressured to impose sanctions on Turkey. How much more must the elections end? Accession negotiations, as the Christian Democrat MEPs have recently demanded again: “Diplomats fear that Erdogan will exploit this position politically within his country to continue his Ottoman policy.”
Eastern European countries do not want to defend Erdogan
Germany prefers to intensify its pro-Western opposition to Erdogan, and “German diplomacy does not want to provoke a part of the 4,000,000 Turks living in Germany and create problems in the internal political arena.”
“Apart from Germany,” Handelsblatt notes, “Eastern European countries do not want to side with Erdogan.” “Which is explained by their fear of Russia. That is why they prefer the oil and gas pipelines that bypass Russia and lead to Europe through Turkey as a means to limit Russian power.”
However, the article says, East Europeans’ fear of Russia leaves Cyprus exposed again, linking the issue of sanctions against supporters of Alexander Lukashenko’s regime in Belarus with sanctions in Turkey. He concludes: “It is very likely that neither Turkey nor Belarus will impose harsh sanctions on conflicting national interests. And thus, two authoritarian leaders will save it again.”
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