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Greece-Turkey War: Greek-Turkish relations are once again on the razor’s edge, with Ankara continuing its dangerous games in the Mediterranean, flirting with a fiery episode.
All analysts agree on the following: The situation is more dangerous than ever and the next 24 hours are seen as critical, as it will be clear whether Ankara will pull the strings or whether the “war on nerves” will continue.
In any case, the key point will be whether Ankara decides to bring the investigation closer. 10 km from Kastelorizo.
Ankara may try to drag Athens into an overreaction, essentially flirting with a hot episode.
At the same time, while the Turkish research ship continues to roam the Mediterranean, opening and closing its radar, Turkey with unofficial role, Attempts to mislead and transfer responsibilities to Athens. for the apparent shipwreck of the exploratory contacts, but also to “spread” the agenda of the dialogue on the issues that she wants.
For its part, the Greek government, intensifies diplomatic contacts, clarifying that Turkish challenges eliminate investigative contacts.
He called on the EU to step up sanctions and raise the issue again at the summit.
Turkey is “flirting” with a hot episode
The government is on high alert, Since the Greek side cannot rule out the possibility of Turkey looking for a “hot” episode.
It remains on the table, among other things Article 42 of the Treaty founding the EU for military assistance in the event that a member state receives an armed attack on its territory, a choice that Dendias had reported to his counterparts since the summer.
Turkey’s decision to torpedo any de-escalation effort has mobilized Pentagon officials from the beginning and now The entire Armed Forces are on high alert.
Phillies on Newsbomb.gr: Erdogan knows the Turks will be defeated, if they leave
the Newsbomb.gr contacted George Filis, PhD in Geopolitics and Professor of Geostrategy at the School of National Defense (SETHA), to discuss all of Turkey’s latest moves with Oruc Reis, Greece’s response and whether Athens can trust its European allies.
“Turkey is challenging our sovereign rights”
George Filis points out that with this move and specifically with the broadcast of NAVTEX at 6 pm from Kastelorizo to Oruc Reis, Tayyip Erdogan directly questions the right of Greece to exercise its sovereign rights in something that it can do under international law.
“Let us emphasize that the coastal zone and territorial waters are an extension of the land to the sea and the way Turkey behaves, it refuses to let Greece extend its dominion into the sea. We can expand our territorial waters from 6 nm to 12 pm without asking anyone “, points out the professor of Geostrategy, speaking in Newsbomb.gr.
“Greece must respond”
Then Mr. Filis, commenting on the course of Oruc Reis that up to the moment these lines are written is between 20 and 30 m. of Kastelorizo, how “If it goes below 12m.” Greece must respond so that it does not succeed and if the Turks do, we must make sure they do not leave safely. “
From there, the professor points out that “If we simply prevent them from approaching, we will have essentially achieved nothing. There must be pressure for all Turkish forces to leave the area., although we must say that in these circumstances there can be no exploratory contacts. “Let’s not laugh, any exploratory contact is a negotiation.”
“Let’s send an oceanographic ship too!”
Responding to a relevant question, George Filis points out that Greece should respond to Oruc Reis’s movements by sending an oceanographic vessel between Imvros and Tenedos to conduct research in the area. In this way we will see how our allies in the European Union will react. The Turks; How will they react? Will they threaten to sink it?
The movements to be made from Athens
Giorgos Filis, commenting on the actions that Greece must take in the immediate future to defend its sovereign rights, taking into account the increasing pressure from Turkey, points out the following steps:
- TO draw baselines
- TO delimit the EEZ with Cyprus, in the minimum line possible to leave space for negotiations between the northern part with Ankara and the southern part with Egypt.
- TO immediately proceed to a military alliance with France. Call on the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle to come to the eastern Mediterranean region and put the United States up to its responsibilities to make it clear that Turkey’s behavior threatens the NATO alliance itself.
“We cannot expect anything from the European Union”
The professor of Geostrategy speaking in Newsbomb.gr It stresses that we cannot expect anything from the European Union at this stage, as conflicting interests within it are highly likely to lead to divisive trends in the future.
From that moment on, Mr. Phillies points out that “Turkey’s attitude towards Oruc Reis this moment it devalues Germany’s attempt to mediate. However, it not only affects Germany, but also Angela Merkel herself as one of the most important political figures of our time. When the German Chancellor guarantees the continuation of the negotiations between Greece and Turkey and Tayyip Erdogan proceeds to a new ‘Attila’ in Cyprus with the opening of Varos and challenges Greece in the eastern Mediterranean, then the European Union you have no choice but to act. It is understandable that Turkey has economic interests in the EU, however, Germany wants the EU to exist“so that it can advance its financial interests, as it has been doing for decades.”
“The Turks will be defeated”
Finally, Giorgos Filis summarizes Tayyip Erdogan’s goals, as they arise from the behavior of Turkey.
- He wants to humiliate the Greek political system
- He wants to exercise psychological violence on the Greek nation, in an attempt to force it to accept that it is a satellite of Turkey.
- He wants to lead Greece to a negotiation based on the Turkish agenda and not on international law.
However, Professor George Filis concludes by emphasizing that all of the above, Tayyip Erdogan seeks to achieve without military conflict, because “He knows very well that, in such a case, the Turkish forces will leave the battlefield defeated. If they leave …”
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Greece-Turkey Crisis: Will the Cannons Sound? Because Erdogan seeks conflict
