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Critics 90 Days Until March Summit – How Turkey Torpedoes Dialogue Before It Starts – What Will The “Sultan’s” Next Steps Be
A few days ago, shortly after the Brussels Summit on December 10, we wondered What has been feeding the provocative Turkey for so long such blatantly illegal behavior towards our country? Why are Europeans so skeptical since Turkey, since November 2019 with the signing of the illegal Turkish-Libyan memorandum, until today, has been involved in a series of illegal actions?
Here are a number of reasons that lead our European partners to do so. “Support” for the Erdogan regime, with more basic of these financial relationships that Turkey has with European countries. In the area of armaments in particular, we would say that the reluctance of many European countries to impose sanctions on their neighbor is directly proportional to the agreements they have concluded with him on purchases or defense cooperation in general.
The sanctions that came from the other side of the Atlantic were undoubtedly a optimistic message to Greece, that the new leadership of the United States will not allow the idiots of Erdogan in the eastern Mediterranean, while at the same time doing everything possible to stop the path of the “sultan” into the arms of Putin.
It is a fact that Washington will not allow such an important player as Turkey to enter the sphere of influence of the “czar”. For the purpose it is expected to exercise pressures in all directions. In this context, it seems that the mobility observed by both the Foreign Ministry and the White House to resumption of exploratory contacts between Athens and Ankara.
It is recalled that the exploratory talks between the two countries had stopped last July, when the Turks invoked the legal agreement for the delimitation of the EEZ between Greece and Egypt to lead the talks. Since then, the Erdogan regime has been dedicated to successive offensive operations in both the Aegean and the eastern Mediterranean. Of course, the responses you receive from the Greek Armed Forces are always dynamic, and the Turks constantly see the Greek flag in front of them.
So, despite the threats, even for the war of the Turkish regime, Germany and the US are reportedly making significant efforts to resume the dialogue between Athens and Ankara on a number of issues, including the delimitation of maritime zones, thus throwing a lifeline to the Turkish president.
Diplomatic analysts point out that this mobility should not be disconnected from the efforts of Europeans to avoid, once again, the debate on sanctions against Turkey, which will take place in March, although it is a fact that Diplomatic mobility offers Turkey time and alibi, which, however, will also keep Oruc Reis off the coast of Antalya, as a measure of pressure on Greece.
Dialogue with … the gun to the temple
That’s obvious Greece is called to sit at the dialogue table under threat and with the foreign minister having… ordered Erdogan not to impose sanctions on him, at a time when the United States seeks a rapprochement with the “palace.”
But what dialogue should Greece enter? With what agenda? With Erdogan’s agenda which includes claims about the so-called “blue homeland”, irrational demands for the demilitarization of the islands of the eastern Aegean and the reduction to zero of the influence of the islands in maritime zones beyond the zone of 6 nautical miles of their coasts? These things simply do not happen, they are not found anywhere and are not put on any basis of dialogue, who pushes.
Ankara is well aware that Greece will not enter into a dialogue on these issues. For this reason, he is determined to continue his aggressive actions against Greece and Cyprus, with the aim of dragging him to the negotiating table on his own terms and with the threat of war looming over the Aegean.
In short, the Erdogan regime does not want a civilized dialogue on the only difference that separates the two countries and that is the delimitation of maritime zones. He wants an unconditional dialogue full of the agenda of his demands.
The critical 90 days
So the question is So what will happen next, until the next Summit in March.
A posibility It is for Turkey to stop aggressive actions against Greece and Cyprus for a while, thus wanting to get closer to Washington and of course avoid the possibility of sanctions in March. Hypocritical attitude, but in the Aegean calm would prevail for three months.
The second possibility is that the Erdogan regime continues its aggressive actions, sending the Oruc Reis back to the Greek continent and provoking daily in the Aegean and the eastern Mediterranean. In this way, it will put pressure on Greece, as well as on the United States and the EU.
The third and worst scenariois to send a research ship west of the 28th meridian or a drilling platform on the Greek continental shelf. So no one can predict the future, given that Greece has made it clear in every way that this is the Greek casus belli.
The Greek “Pentagon” examines all the possibilities, analyzing all the scenarios of reaction to each move of Turkey. According to military sources in Athens, whether or not the investigations with Ankara continue, the Greek Armed Forces will be ready to do their duty, when necessary.
However, Turkey’s intentions to intensify the dialogue are clear, even before any effort begins, and Ankara blames our country. on the occasion of the established exercise “Triaena”, which broadcasts NAVTEX for exercises in supposedly contested areas.
And who says that? The country that created the “NAVTEX industry”. The country that uses naval directives as a foreign policy tool, challenging the sovereign rights of other countries. They are obviously the last to speak.
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