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He threatened the whole world, he was isolated and now … he is running – “Gossip” of the Turkish president trying to build his international profile – Friendship attacks on the United States and France at a time when he continues to curse and threaten Greece.
When the above stiff and purely arrogant attitude of Turkey to its international environment is changing, certainly this is not by chance. His political and military actions in recent times have openly undermined his political will to play a significant role in the Eastern Mediterranean, taking advantage of the power vacuum left in the region by the United States due to the policies of President Trump.
Militarized foreign policy, which has long replaced the policy of zero problems with its neighbors, has become a key instrument of Erdogan’s policy in which he has invested significant capital in his political survival. However, it seems that in early 2021, one is being marked “Rearrangement” of your aggressive rhetoric, probably temporary, setting your strategic goals on a more realistic basis.
After all, the hand of friendship extended by Turkey to the US, the recent statements by the Turkish president that the future of Turkey and the EU are interconnected, the suspension for the time of war crowns and the intolerant and at the same time eloquent statements of Turkish government officials are tangible proof that the neighbor, faced with its specter of complete isolation from the international community, it redefines the axes of its foreign policy in a superficial and conspicuous way.
Many factors are responsible for the perhaps temporarily visible reversal of its foreign policy. It is possible that the Turkish president and the nomenclature that surrounds him consolidate that it is not possible to manage so many open fronts simultaneously with the turn to realism that is the only viable solution.
Perhaps the change of political leadership in the United States, which seems to trigger a consequent change in the style of its foreign policy towards a more active participation in the tactic of “laissez faire” (avoiding involvement in the affairs of others) than the outgoing one. The president of the United States had chosen to run in the Middle East and, consequently, in the Eastern Mediterranean.
Consequently, Turkey’s review actions automatically put it in the “frame” without obviously wanting it. The neighbor has already had a first taste of this change from the sanctions imposed for the purchase of the Russian anti-missile system S-400. The measure of the Turkish state bank Halkbank to try to avoid or mitigate the effects of the US embargo on Iran will continue next March in a court in New York.
Another factor with significant specific gravity is France’s decisive participation in the political and energy theater of the south-eastern Mediterranean, which replaces the cumbersome and incapable of escaping from its bureaucratic entanglements, the EU building a relationship of trust with our country. And there, Turkey is trying to reverse the negative climate for it, stopping full-blown verbal attacks against France and especially against its president, which were occasionally launched by prominent Turkish officials, but also by the appointment of a former ambassador to France. by French President Macron at the Ecole Nationale d ‘Administration (ENA).
The fact also of the original Qatar’s rapprochement with Saudi Arabia, after almost four years of blockade, may have been applauded by the Turkish side, but its possible consequences could certainly harm the neighbor. Reaching out to the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, Qatar, which has so far been the lifeblood of Turkey’s faltering economy, will stop talking only to Ankara, which has been in a four-year lockdown. It was the only Arab partner country in the region. Given that the rest of the Persian Gulf states have demanded the closure of the Turkish base on Qatari territory, it is not entirely unlikely that this claim will be made in the future, indicating the final withdrawal of Qatar from the Turkish tank.
The effort to transform Turkey’s foreign image is finally coming to our country. Erdogan and Tsavousoglu’s “innocent” calls for friendship followed threats and insults against us., identifying the resumption of exploratory conversations, the 61st in a row. The expectations cultivated in such cases are high and always welcome, especially for those ignorant (intentionally or not) of international relations.
Ambiguous messages but that even now, a few days before the start of the exploratory talks, they are broadcast from the opposite side, they undermine in a good mood and are definitely worrying. As the widespread agenda of issues promoted by the Turkish side as evidenced by leaks from Turkish news agencies, which includes the demilitarization of islands, search and rescue areas, and the status of the islands and islets disputed by the Turkish complaint.
We all know and have seen in practice the magnitude of the unreliability of the neighbor and how the infamous “Kazan – kazan” (win-win) works. By the way, we have time to hear her say it! You probably think you don’t need it anymore.
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