[ad_1]
An election campaign, unsurprisingly, for strong nerves in the US with Donald Trump warning about appealing to the US Supreme Court for the ballot card, speaking of fraud against the American people.
“We don’t want new votes cast at 4 in the morning. It’s a sad moment.” We’ve already won, “said the Republican candidate.
Speaking from the White House, he called the election results “astonishing” and said he was a winner, stating that his opponents “know they can’t win.”
In particular, the presidential candidate claimed that “a very sad group of people” is trying to disenfranchise millions of his supporters who voted for him.
“We were preparing for a huge celebration and the celebrations were suddenly postponed,” he said, noting that in key states it prevailed by a wide margin. “Honestly, we won,” he continued.
“We did not expect to beat Florida, we won in Texas and Ohio. We believe that we also won in Georgia, they cannot take us there,” he emphasized and expressed the assessment that he will probably also be a winner in North Carolina.
“We don’t need Arizona, but there is a good chance that we will get it and of course we beat Pennsylvania by a huge margin, it is almost impossible for them to catch up,” he continued, emphasizing that it also precedes Michigan and Wisconsin.
But what would an appeal to the United States Supreme Court mean by the outcome of the elections and what has been the case in such cases?
The goal of the elections is to resolve differences, as Financial Times analyst Edward Luce points out in today’s article, noting that whoever wins the US elections, something that so far cannot be predicted, will inherit a country that half of electorate questions its legitimacy.
As in 2016, the states that seem to judge the outcome are Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The other unstable factor is Georgia, for the first time since 1992. It may take days before all the votes are counted.
Meanwhile, Republicans have already filed at least two appeals challenging the legitimacy of ballots in Pennsylvania.
Since the majority of these votes are Democrats, the outcome of the appeals can determine who will be the next president.
With the outgoing president rushing to announce an appeal to the Supreme Court, the scene is similar to that of 2000, when the Florida dispute was settled by the court’s decision not to recount the votes.
Vice President Al Gore lost to George Walker Bush, although he received an additional 544,000 votes.
Remember that in the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton received 3 million more votes than Trump, and yet Trump was elected.
Democrats received 2% more votes than Democrats.
But the battle was far more ambiguous than all the models predicted. The most famous American environmentalist, Nate Silver, gave Biden an 89% chance of winning (he had previously given Hillary 70%). The polls are being refuted again, although corrections have been made to the white vote of the working class in the Midwest and the weight of education has been taken into account.
But that was not enough. Trump’s clear victory in Florida is due in part to his appeal to Hispanic voters, and especially to Cubans.
Pollsters also appear to have overestimated Democrats’ turnout on the ballot, which is still counted in all three critical states. Biden could lose Pennsylvania, as long as the other two win.
How do we get to this point?
Probably to win more voters, he estimates it is the Financial Times analyst, noting that on the one hand, the polls predicted a comfortable victory for Biden. And it seems that his victory in the popular vote will be greater than that of Hillary Clinton.
In 2016, Donald Trump won the presidency because the electorate gave him a majority. In particular, he rallied 290 large voters to Clinton’s 232, who acknowledged defeat. This was the second time that a Democratic candidate won more votes but lost the election.
The American electoral system
A key feature of the complex American electoral system is that the president is not elected directly by the people, but through representatives that make up the “Electoral College.”
The College of Voters consists of 538 members, while each of the 50 States has a predetermined number of voters, which is determined primarily by its population, but not only by it.
A country in … Courts
The United States now faces two dangers. One is the participation of the courts in the outcome. Trump, who did much better Tuesday, was ahead of all three Rusty Zone states, but began to decline when the vote count began. It is the phenomenon called “red reflex”.
The other risk is challenging the legitimacy of the entire system. If Trump wins the electorate, it will be the second time he has done so after losing the popular vote and the third time this has happened to a Republican in this century. In any other country, Biden would have already been declared the winner.
With information from: Financial Times, CNN, ΑΠΕ
