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The Honorary Commander of GEETHA General e.a. performs an analysis of the “failed Turkish action on Evros”. Michael Costarakos on his personal Facebook page, noting that this action and its results constitute a serious strategic mistake by Tayyip Erdogan.
According to Mr. Costarakos, the strategic error is that with his “hybrid invasion” our neighbors have activated the national reflexes of the Greeks to guarantee the national integrity of the country.
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Referring to the instrumentalization of Turkey’s refugees, Mr. Costarakos said that “everyone understood that international law, reconciliation, non-violence, avoidance of the use of military force, good neighborliness and respect for their rights” . others do not refer to the current Turkish leadership. ”
It concludes, considering it a one-way street for Greece, to strengthen “strong deterrence and defense, along with strong and dynamic diplomacy and strong border guards and law enforcement.”
“Mr. Erdogan’s Strategic Mistake”
The entire publication of Mr. Kostarakos:
“Much has been written about the failed Turkish action in Evros on the three days of Clean Monday. In attempting an analysis from a different angle, I believe that this action and its results constitute a serious strategic error by Mr. Erdogan and his recent policy. I think that the “risk analysis” may not have been done correctly before the decision was made in Ankara, because what our neighbors have lost due to their failed action is, in my opinion, a lot.
The strategic error is that with their “hybrid invasion” our neighbors have activated the national reflexes of the Greeks to guarantee the national integrity of the country.
Until recently, political and academic circles in Greece believed that the main (and perhaps exceptionally acceptable) option for Greek-Turkish relations was to cooperate with Turkey, resolve our differences through mutual trust and confidence-building measures, and manage and jointly manage. “A division” in the Aegean and the Eastern Mediterranean.
At the same time, understanding Turkey’s positions, demands and sensitivities, and calling on international tribunals to find comprehensive solutions in the context of a true Greek-Turkish dialogue that safeguards the interests of the countries and peace and stability. in the region.
This approach has huge implications. First, the need for strong armed forces (and not formal forces with an international presence as in central and southern Europe), the need to allocate funds for defense, and compulsory participation in it through military service are secondary.
The adequacy of dynamic reactions to guarantee national sovereignty and integrity is also questioned if her neighbors threaten her.
The final solutions, according to this approach, will be given in conference rooms or in international tribunals in Washington or Brussels by experienced diplomats and legislators, and as a result, the Armed Forces have little or no participation in the national power that the country
All this, in my opinion, was swept away and disappeared with the recent blatant Turkish instrumentalization of immigration. It has been made clear to all that international law, understanding, non-violence, non-use of military force, good neighborliness and respect for the rights of others do not concern the current Turkish leadership.
Mutual gain solutions have been unknown to the Turkish leadership, while solutions in which Turkey wins everything at the expense of a defeated or retreating opponent are always the desired result.
Mr. Erdogan has specific expansive national and personal goals and will try to implement them at all costs, including using any available means.
He could accomplish a great deal, even with relative ease, if he could take advantage of the peaceful peace of the Greeks, hitherto, and the communication or academic efforts to solve the problems that had prevailed in Athens until recently, defying the threatened and “civilized” restriction . finally calmed down.
So, Mr. Erdogan was fortunately rushed towards us, unfortunately for him, he underestimated the current Greek government and its dynamic reaction, so it brought down this whole virtual theoretical “building” that we had built to hide inside and to avoid dynamic decisions and decisions. potentially unpleasant to guarantee our integrity and national sovereignty.
Erdogan’s strategic error inevitably reminds (perhaps his own) of a similar strategic error of the Italian dictator Mussolini that sparked the national reflexes of the Greeks with his arrogant criminal and criminal torpedo of the 1940s. .
The results were extremely unpleasant for Italy. Ignorance of the history and national characteristics of potential opponents is an omission that is generally punished.
I don’t think there are any more Greek politicians, academics, military, journalists, or even citizens who believe that with the current Turkish leadership we can at this time and unfortunately for the foreseeable future achieve something that is not based on strong deterrence and defense at the same time . with strong and dynamic diplomacy and strong border and police guards.
Strengthening these separate pillars of our national power is now the only way, if we want to preserve our integrity and national security. ”
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