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Expert estimates that the number of very serious cases requiring hospitalization in ICU but the loss of patients will continue to increase, although the number of new cases shows signs of remission, confirm the new data on the course of the pandemic in our country.
In the last 24 hours, according to the National Public Health Organization (EODY), 101 deaths were registered and 2,013 new cases were identified, while 607 patients with Covid-19 were treated by intubation. THE Thessaloniki continues to “star” in this pandemic with 545 new infections, compared to 319 in Attica.
The persistence of the pandemic in northern Greece, despite the emergency shutdown, is reflected in hospitals, which operate permanently in the “red” and with a fullness that reaches 100%. Therefore, on Thursday the first transfers of patients to hospitals in Athens took place.
Pressure on NSS is intensifying
The pressure on the NSS is not expected to decrease immediately, and scientists estimate that it will intensify in the next 7 to 14 days, since according to the analysis of epidemiological data, 250 new ICU admissions and 1,600 hospitalizations are expected. In fact, this is the reason why it reflects on how the country will reopen in the run-up to Christmas.
It is observed that, according to the latest data, the ICU occupancy rate in the territory is 88%, while asphyxia is prevalent in the intensive care units of northern Greece.
During the briefing on the evolution of the pandemic, the professor of Pediatric Infectious Diseases of the EKPA School of Medicine and member of the Expert Committee, Vana Papaevangelou, focused on the suffocating pressure that the Health system receives and will continue to receive, especially in Thessaloniki, revealing The Committee on Infectious Diseases will consider phasing out the measures next week.
“It doesn’t say the second wave is gone”
“It does not say that the second wave should disappear,” said an infectious disease specialist, highlighting, however, that our country is in 17th place in cases in Europe and has a low epidemiological burden compared to other countries.
“The curve is decreasing, but the epidemiological burden remains high. There are currently more than 25,000 active cases in the country. Today, around 4,500 patients are being treated throughout the country, of which 1/4 are in Thessaloniki” Ms. Papaevangelou clarified, referring to incidents in closed structures that aggravate the situation.
“Unfortunately, the reduction in cases has a later number than we wanted, while in other parts of the country they are increasing. “This is due to closed structures, where there are confluences,” he stressed.
250 ICU admissions and 1,600 hospitalizations
“The NSS will continue under pressure,” he clarified, although, as he underlined, “we expect a reduction in ICU admissions and a stabilization in new hospital admissions.”
Over the next two weeks, he said, we expect 250 new admissions to the UCI, while some 1,600 will need to be treated.
Regarding deaths, where one more day we mourned more than 100 of our fellow citizens, he said: “Unfortunately, the loss of life continues to increase and it is estimated that we have an average of 85 deaths per day.”
At 48, the mean age of new cases
As Ms. Papaevangelou said, there is an increase in the average age of new cases, which is currently estimated at 48 years. The proportion of people 65 and older who got sick this week remains high.
“We have about 3,200 new cases in this age group, which means that the NSS will continue to be under pressure” and it appears that “it will continue to be under more pressure next week.”
Greece ranks fourth in the EU in death rate
According to data from the European Center for Disease Control and based on their data last 14 days, Greece is ranked 17th based on new cases and 16th based on mortality, however, it ranks 4th in percentage of certified deaths, in relation to officially registered cases of Covid-19, since July 1 to November 23, and pan-European ranks 13th out of 55 states, L, nder and autonomous regions for the same period.
In fact, the percentage of Greece (1.63%) shows a large difference with other countries, with Germany with a mortality rate of 0.7%, Austria 0.65%, Portugal 1.06% and Cyprus only 0, 33%.
What are the reasons for the differences and the percentage of Greece?
According to data analyzed by the website iatronet.grSuch differences, in countries that have poorly developed medical care but also presume transparency in the provision of data, are not justified, while it has also been pointed out by competent persons that our country has one of the best “rescue” rates. in ICU, a fact which should lead to a different result.
Factors that can alter mortality include issues such as age stratification of local communities, outbreaks in nursing homes and other vulnerable groups, as well as pressure on a health system when there is a massive influx of patients. and the Intensive Care Units are “flooded”.
However, among the causes of the differences, according to the same source, is the number, the “mass” of the tests carried out, since unlike the confirmed deaths registered in hospitals, the number of officially diagnosed cases obviously depends on the number of diagnoses. tests performed.
Therefore, the fewer tests (and therefore diagnoses) performed, the higher the mortality rate, for the same size of deaths.
Regarding the impact of demographic factors such as those mentioned above, there are no data available for comparison. However, regarding the differences in relation to the pressure on the health system, such a thing does not seem to exist, since Greece is in approximately the same position for the period from July 1 to October 31 (4 ° in the EU and 17th in Europe), that is, when in our country there was still no suffocating pressure on the health system.
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