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The slow but steady decline of the epidemic wave is reflected in the data in today’s report from the National Public Health Organization (EODY). According to her, 526 new cases of coronavirus were registered out of a total of 11,861 tests (molecular and antigenic tests). A week earlier, last Monday, a three-digit number of cases had been announced again, 639, although during the next three days the number returned to four digits, out of a total of 11,979 tests.
Given that Monday has emerged as the day of the week in which fewer tests are confirmed, since they are associated with the reduced attendance of citizens for a check-up on the weekend, it is obvious that the comparison of the first working day of the week with that of seven days ago It can with some certainty allow the conclusion of the course of the coronavirus epidemic. Today, with approximately the same number of tests, 113 fewer cases have been registered than those of the previous Monday.
However, last week’s four-digit case figures as well as high three-digit numbers for Friday and Saturday (916 and 901 respectively) foreshadow the usual picture of Tuesday, an increase in the number of cases compared to today.
In any case, the epidemiological picture seen through the prism of the new cases is considered significantly improved, although it should not be overlooked that the country is going through the seventh week of confinement, with the areas of Kozani, Aspropyrgos, Tribe and Mandra. Being in a special regime of restrictive measures within the universal “prohibition”.
Why isn’t the intubated rate doubled?
However, through the perspective of the “hard index” of intubated, the picture changes. The number of 505 intubated patients with serious complications due to coronavirus and covid-19 infection, proves to be a really “difficult” number that does not show easy bending.
Information experts from the Ministry of Health had expressed the estimate ten days ago that if the reduction in cases continues, the number of patients intubated in the ICU would probably decrease – from about 550 at that time it was estimated that by Christmas the report would be of 300 intubated.
Plus, five days before Christmas the landscape in the ICU with 505 intubated it is not expected to change drastically. The decline in this index will be slow for the next 3 to 5 weeks. If we take into account that each patient stays in the ICU for at least 10 days, which can be extended up to two weeks, it is clear how slow any decline is achieved in this area and why it will take several weeks to decompress the ICU and reduce it. number of intubated.
To achieve this goal, of course, it is crucial that the decline in cases and the reduction of the spread of the coronavirus in the country continue, as any outbreak of the epidemic will trigger a new “wave” of patients in the ICU.
Of the 505 currently intubated, more than half (almost 60%) are over 65 years of age.. 38.4%, that is, 194 patients, are in the age group of 40 to 64 years, and finally, today the number of intubated people between 18 and 39 years is significantly reduced compared to the previous weeks: it is only 11 when they had reached 23 at the end of November.
Unfortunately, the field of deaths is constantly “expanding”. The total number of victims is now 4,257 and 1,851 ended in December. Today 85 people finished, of which 9 were between 34 and 59 years old. In fact, with respect to the 34-year-old man who ended up in the Veria hospital, the 46-year-old man who died in AHEPA and the 58-year-old man in the Volos hospital, no underlying diseases are reported.
The distribution of cases
Of the 526 cases, half refer to the metropolitan areas of Attica and Thessaloniki, where 134 and 118 cases were registered respectively.
Their cases Basin, come from the Peripheral Unit as follows: 11 from East Attica, 28 from the North Sector of Athens, 24 from West Attica, 13 from the West Sector of Athens, 31 from the Central Sector of Athens, 9 from the South Sector of Athens and 18 from Piraeus.
The remaining cases are distributed in 38 additional Regional Units of the country, ten of which register a two-digit number of cases.
Kozani counts 26 cases; The strict restrictive measures are expected to bear fruit next week. Imathia remains stable on the epidemiological map with 15 cases, as well as in other regions of Macedonia: Kavala (14), Xanthi (19), Rodopi (11), Serres (10).
From Thessaly, the two areas with double digit cases are Larissa (10) and Trikala (17). Finally, 14 cases were registered in Boeotia.
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