Coronaios: urban centers at the center of the pandemic – which areas are in “red”



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Attica remains at the center of the pandemic wave in Greece, yet the government and experts are deeply concerned about the increase in coronavirus cases in three areas, namely in Kozani, Ioannina and Pella.

As the professor of the EKPA School of Medicine and member of the Expert Committee, Gikas Majorkinis, highlighted during the relevant information on the course of the pandemic in our country, the size of the city or village where there are active cases is of great importance .

“The larger the population, the stricter the enforcement of measures should be in urban centers,” he said, analyzing the phenomenon of the “boom” of the pandemic and explaining why it is easier to limit the smaller populations in an area.

International experience has shown that measures are more effective in small communities than in large ones, a phenomenon that can be compared to that of inertia in physics: the larger a body, the more difficult it is to stop it.

So, based on recent epidemiological studies in different cities, we see that the size of the city / village plays an important role in the dynamics of the epidemic. There is currently clear evidence that the speed of response to preventive measures is inversely proportional to the population to which they are directed.

This phenomenon is supported by at least two studies, one in the journal Nature Medicine, which analyzed data from the first wave of epidemics in China and Italy, and the other in the journal PLOS ONE, which analyzes data from the epidemic in Brazil.

The phenomenon, Mr. Majorkinis said, is similar to the phenomenon of inactivity, which we have become accustomed to in our daily lives. The larger a moving vehicle, the more difficult it will be to stop. Therefore, the larger the infected population, the greater the mass of the epidemic and the more difficult it will be to stop it, even if the infection rate is similar between populations.

“So it will take a lot more patience, perseverance and dedication to measures in urban centers to control the spread of the virus,” he said.

The focus is on Athens

Atenas remains at the top of the list of daily cases with 170 new patients, however it seems that the restrictive measures are working, since in the last 24 hours there is a stabilization in the number of new cases, with decreasing trends.

The big problem, however, in relation to the population of the areas, is located in Kozani, Ioannina and Pella, where there are dozens of active cases, with increasing trends.

Specifically, in Ioannina, 200 active cases have been identified, 24 patients are being treated for COVID-19 infection, while 147 “close contacts” are isolated.
In fact, just yesterday another 13 new diagnoses were added, two of which are associated with known confluences.
Respectively, in Kozani there are 181 active cases, 8 patients receive hospital care and 101 contacts have been isolated at home.

In Pella, again, active cases reach 212, however and according to Hardalias, this is a notorious confluence, with the result that it is possible to “seal” the area.

However, a high number of positive diagnoses was also found in Thessaloniki, reaching 36, while last Monday they did not exceed six.



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