Coronaios: The twelve “black” days of the pandemic – Estimates of deaths and intubated



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Approximately 2,460 coronavirus cases, 41 deaths and 45 ICU admissions with increasing trends occur every 24 hours, the last 12 days from November 5 to 16, when the number of deaths and intubations began to increase dramatically.

This is the “darkest” period for our country since the beginning of the pandemic at the end of last February and now it presents the same or greater epidemiological burden of many European countries.

With the main fear that it will follow at least another 15 days to have a large number of deaths and intubated with a happy reduction in the number of cases.

The report

In the specific period, a total of 2,951 cases, 492 deaths, and it is estimated that approximately 540-560 of our congeners were admitted to the ICU.

It is observed that the number of patients admitted to the ICU is taken into account not only due to the numerical differences in the number of intubated patients (they were 187 on November 5 and 400 yesterday) but it is estimated that 40 -50% of deaths, but also the number of people who left these units in the last 12 days, a total of 78.

As well as that the percentage of intubated in ICU is around 90% of the total. Now in our country there are big problems in the tracking system since 82% of the cases in the last 12 days were “orphans” compared to 40-50% a few months ago.

To understand the outbreak of the disease and the nightmare dimensions that it acquires, it is that in the twelve days immediately preceding October 25 to November 5, 19,815 cases were registered (average 1,651 daily), which means an increase of 49% in the last days.

The death toll at the time was 138 (an average of 11 every 24 hours), which is almost quadruple in recent days. The number of people who entered the ICU in the last twelve days is estimated at about 100, that is, it has now multiplied by more than five.

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