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The country remains in an “extremely fragile state” due to the coronavirus, as the four-digit number of daily cases returned after a small decline over the weekend.
At the same time, the high number of deaths in our country remains firm, again reaching 100 in 24 hours, having dangerously increased the death rate in the second wave of the pandemic, placing the country at the top of this sad list .
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It is now a fact that the epidemic wave is slowly increasing dramatically, even though we are in the sixth week of lockdown.
The resilience of citizens, the healthcare system and the economy is still being put to the test as today’s figures have returned to daily levels at all levels except the number of intubations which remains stable but alarmingly high.
For scientists, only the vaccine offers real hope. However, based on the models in your hands, if the epidemic wave continues to evolve in the next time period as it does now, then the number of people intubated may have dropped to 300 during the holidays (from 550 today).
Experts estimate that it will take one more week to see a drop in cases, however the number remains high, as today it again exceeded 1,000.
And while there are some early signs of stabilization in newly intubated patients, this does not appear to be the case for deaths, which persist at elevated levels, 80-100 per day.
It is indicative that although 62 deaths were announced yesterday, today the figure has risen again to 98.
Launch of mortality rate
The launch of the mortality rate in our country during the second wave, which reached 3.1%, generates great concern and concern.
The vertical rise in this index is also evidenced by the CDC chart showing Greece in second place in terms of mortality rate, closing in on Belgium.
According to the graph, the mortality rate in our country until December 14, 2020 was 2.9%, while in Belgium it has reached 3%.
They are followed by Sweden, Portugal and the Netherlands, with the latter with a positivity rate of 1.6%, a percentage we had before the “arrival” of the second wave in our country.
In fact, Greece has almost twice the death rate compared to other European countries, such as France, Italy, and Great Britain.
Three deaths per 1000 cases – Comparison with other countries
According to an exclusive article by in.gr, between October 15 and December 3, our country registered 100,587 cases and 3,143 deaths, which means a ratio of 31 deaths per 1,000 cases (3.1 deaths in 100 diagnoses) that it is one of the largest in Europe.
In Spain this figure is 17 per 1000 institutions, in France 17, in Italy 19 and in Great Britain 18. Something that is attributed to the domestic contagion of the elderly who live with relatives, to the burden of the health system despite the efforts of doctors and nurses staff and for other reasons.
It is indicative that Germany has in the same period 989,667 cases with 12,596 deaths, that is, around 1.5% mortality in relation to the cases.
Belgium, which also had a large number of cases this time (424,455), has mourned 7,624 deaths at a rate of 18 deaths per 1,000 cases. This proportion in Portugal is 12 deaths in 1000 bodies.
What is the reason for the increase in the mortality rate?
The sad record in the mortality rate causes terror but also many questions, heating up the discussion due to a large underdiagnosis of cases, due to the few tests carried out, as well as an untimely and complete treatment due to the pressure on the SEN and of course the severe shortage. mainly in the hospitals of the Region.
These reasons, together with the absence of organized primary care, largely explain -according to the experts- the negative evolution of the mortality rate.
Iatronet.gr makes an interesting observation, noting that it does not appear that the increase in the death rate is at least strongly linked to the fact that Greece is one of the oldest countries in Europe.
He adds that comparing countries with high mortality rates does not show a strong correlation between the two factors, as countries with young populations such as North Macedonia, Romania and Poland rank first in mortality, unlike older countries such as Germany. . and Portugal or even Belgium (which has been accused by Amnesty International of being indifferent to older structures) occupy much lower positions.
On the contrary, he points out, there is a very strong correlation between the high mortality rate of the cases and the comparative ranking of European countries based on the diagnostic tests they perform.
The price for seniors and NSS is high.
The pressure that the system has received in the last 45 days, which has led to the request for private clinics, as well as the transfer of patients to hospitals other than those that were treated, but also the rapid development of new ICUs, shows how strong the coronavirus has hit our country. during the second wave, with the virus even being twice as aggressive as the first wave.
Indicative of the pressure placed on the NSS last month is that coronavirus patients in northern Greece were intubated even outside the ICU in other areas of hospitals, especially in surgeries and resuscitation rooms.
Another shocking figure of deaths comes from their geographical distribution, according to which about 70% of coronavirus deaths have been recorded in hospitals in Macedonia and Thrace, showing how the epidemic wave “washed away” northern Greece and 30 % in Attica hospitals.
In any case, the high price is paid by the “third age” in our country, it is paid by those over 65.
According to data from today’s epidemiological report from the National Public Health Organization (EODY), the average age of death is 79 years.
Of course, the coronavirus is known to ‘scan’ young people and people of working age, leaving behind thousands of new covid-19 infections, but the biggest impact seems to be in the age group, those 65 and over, where they are registered. most of the deaths.
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