Coronaios: Fear of the Third Wave of Pandemics – How Vulnerable We Are



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Behind the anticipation of Christmas and the New Year, most feel that the new year will not generously share joy and happiness from day one. The gallop of the pandemic is temporarily covered by the happy rhythm of the little drum, by the flash of fireworks, but the third wave is there and everyone can feel it, it has already crossed the threshold.

In no European country has the mathematics of the coronavirus followed the downward curve. Not even in countries that have already started vaccinating their inhabitants. Russia has already registered a record number of new cases, after vaccinating almost 400,000 people, while in England, where more than 500,000 people have already been vaccinated, the virus appears to have mutated with a more lethal effect, according to several experts. Koronaios: How can we go to New Years Eve?  What SMS do we send to 13033?

In countries like Italy, Spain and even the Balkans, this Christmas is necessarily a date on the calendar. Strict measures were taken to restrict movement because no battle against the coronavirus was won.

The numbers remind us of them

The same is true in Greece and we are deceived by the image of carelessness in the bright Syntagma Square, in every central square of a large city. Every day, for many days, countless people die. The hospitals never met, the ICUs were never emptied, there are constantly more than 500 intubated people struggling. The government and experts fear what will dawn after New Year’s Eve.

Already in Western Attica, which became a dispersing volcano, a universal quarantine was applied, which is observed with strict controls to stop the spread of evil. Checks that are not similar in the rest of Athens where everyone circulates normally and the traffic on the streets gives the misleading image of past times of carefree and wealth. The flapping will reach its peak in the bustling beehive of the capital and when New Year’s Eve passes and the moment of the bill arrives, experts believe that the situation will be very difficult. And nothing will stop tougher measures from being implemented.

Will the vaccine save us?

It’s not just the festive atmosphere that drives people to be careless. Not even the stores that they opened to serve as many people as possible, to maintain the tradition of Christmas markets, to move the market a bit, to distribute pocket money to suspended employees. It is for a part of the population and the feeling of security that the vaccine radiates.

It will arrive in Greece before the end of the year, and the electronic platform will be available to the public so that anyone who wants to make an appointment can book it immediately. The first large batch of vaccines with 83,850 doses is expected to arrive on December 30. By March 1,265,550 doses of the vaccine will have arrived.

Many believe that if these doses are injected into the organism of society, the immunity of the herd will begin to take shape, a maze will form around the virus, in whose walls it will be reflected without being able to infect humans so easily. And therefore, the battle will begin to be won.

But what happened in Russia?

Vaccinations in Russia officially began at the beginning of the month, specifically on December 5, and worried health workers, teachers and social workers. On the 14th of the month, workers from culture, commerce and public services joined the vaccination groups. Today, the process also affects workers in the energy, transport, heavy industry and SMEs sectors.

Insufficient space

The above interval is obviously short to show results. It is also a vaccine that is given in two doses, 21 days apart, which means that the second dose phase will begin immediately after Christmas. Vaccine: When can we make an appointment - The batches to be expected

Furthermore, it is obvious that the process is proceeding very carefully and the “opening up” to new population groups is taking place gradually, which is also evident in the fact that Sputnik-V has not been administered until the dated more than 400,000 citizens. It is something that, among other things, has to do with the fact that vaccination in the population is practically equivalent to the completion of the third phase of trials that was practically never completed (unlike most of the other vaccines in the past), as well as the approvals of the competent bodies were carried out through an emergency procedure.

By ships and planes

As planes and trucks begin to transport science to most countries in the face of humanity’s dangerous enemy, Greece is preparing to face a third wave of pandemics when the second has not yet been imposed. Strict measures have been designed and are ready to be imposed with the new year’s duel. The next few days will show if all that will remain as a memory will be the sounds of the little drummer or the gallop of the pandemic.

Thousands of doses every month

And as the authorities are determined to shake the conscience of the people as much as possible by warning with controls and fines, the country is preparing the last details for the vaccination of as many of the population as possible. The secretary general of Primary Health Care, Marios Themistokleous, addressed the grand plan Monday night, announcing that, fortunately, 9,750 doses are expected on December 26.

On 12/27 the first vaccinations will take place in the Attica reference hospitals, while on 12/28 vaccinations will take place in Larissa hospitals, AHEPA Thessaloniki and Rio University Hospital (Patras). Until December 30th we will receive the unexpected the first large batch of Pfizer / BioNTech 83,850 doses. The deliveries of the specific vaccines that correspond to our population, based on the Central European agreement, will be delivered to us at the end of January 2021 429,000 doses and another 333,450 doses at the end of February.

By the end of March, we will have received a total of 1,265,550 doses of the vaccine from Pfizer / BioNTech alone. These doses will be added, if approved in January, doses of both the Moderna vaccine and the AstraZeneca equivalent.

The big bet

However, a great shock test for compliance with the measures is considered Christmas Eve, since it is no secret to anyone that the great fear of both the government and the scientific personnel of our country concerns the two New Years Eve, where the relaxation in compliance with measures.

This is the reason why a broad government meeting on inspections is expected to take place on December 24 and 25. According to MEGA, on the table is the proposal, the police officers who will be on the streets to control anyone outside the house, whether by car or other means of transportation, from 10:15 p.m. onwards.

In addition, it is clear that there is no case for extending the curfew, after 22:00, which is valid these days.

Who will we put in our house?

However, what they want to send as a message from the government and scientists from the Committee on Infectious Diseases are expected to say during Tuesday’s emergency briefing is that it would be safer to say goodbye to the people we have recently met. month. The important thing is to avoid trips and meetings with people we have time to see. At the same time, the New Year’s measurements are expected to be judged by what they will be like on December 24 and 25. If the measures are not followed, even stricter restrictions are expected to be announced.

Did the mutation reach Greece?

In the last 24 hours, concern about the so-called mutation of the new coronavirus, which was observed in England and spread terror, has spread around the world. Europe has closed its borders to British travelers. Those arriving from the UK are under quarantine. In Greece for 10 days. Some scientists are sure that this mutation has reached our country, others are more skeptical.

It almost certainly exists in Greece too, says Timokratis Karamitros, a researcher at the Hellenic Pasteur Institute and head of the Applied Genomics and Bioinformatics Unit, iatropedia.gr.

The scientist, who together with his team last April managed to decipher the genetic complexity of the new coronavirus and the mechanisms it uses to “escape” the immune response.

“It just came to our attention then.” Because in pandemic situations what we’ve seen is that all the executives go everywhere. “

According to the Pasteur researcher, all the mutated strains of the coronavirus have circulated around the world. Therefore, it is only a matter of time before the new executive, named VUI – 202012/01: Variant Under Investigation – 2020 December / First (mtf: Executive under Investigation, December 1, 2020), is located in Greece:

“Because the borders have not been effectively closed and because something will always happen, and if it is not here yet, it will surely come. It is almost a fact. At the moment, if we do a very careful control of a large sample, it is almost certain that we will find almost all the strains, in very small percentages some, circulating around the world. “Yes, it is almost certain that it will move from the UK at least to neighboring countries, but also to other countries,” notes Mr Karamitros.

Majorkinis: I am very skeptical

Gikas Majorkinis advised calm in her post on the latest UK developments and coronavirus mutations.

The new strain of the virus that appeared in Great Britain caused the concern of the experts since it shows in the first studies that it causes an increase of the transmissibility. After all, most EU countries have already cut ties with the island, while others have taken additional measures.

The EKPA assistant professor states in a post that “this particular mutation in the UK has been described since September, while it has also been found in South Africa” ​​and then lists some reasons that make him recommend composure.

Gika Majorkinis’ post

I’m still very skeptical about the effect of the mutation, which they say is probably easier to pass on (which I mentioned last week).

Note that this mutation in the UK has been described since September, while it has also been found in South Africa (independently developed). It has also been found in Wales (although not shown in the diagram below) where it developed independently.

I believe that scientists must first do enough contagious analysis of these controversial phenomena before making solid claims. Even if they have any effect on the transmission, it will be so small that it will have no practical meaning.

So I recommend COLD, even those who ring the “bells” say we keep the plan as is. We maintain the measures and wait for the vaccines that everyone admits that the mutation will not affect.

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