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As the President of the United States, Donald Trump, pressures various states to reopen their economies to reduce recent economic blows, his government anticipates very ominous developments on the front line of the coronation pandemic.
In particular, according to a secret government report obtained by the New York Times, Covid-19 and pandemic deaths will continue to increase steadily for the next few weeks, and will likely reach 3,000 deaths per day. June, nearly double the approximately 1,750 deaths daily in the past few days.
In fact, in terms of cases, the increase provided by the document is even greater, with 200,000 new cases per day at the end of May, a much larger number than the 25,000 cases per day in the current period.
These government forecasts are on the same wavelength as the fears of many public health experts, who are concerned that an “opening” of social and economic activities will bring the United States back in mid-March, when cases were growing. so fast. In some states, patients die in hospital corridors because the Health System was overloaded in such a way that it became impossible to respond to the spread of the pandemic.
Restart
Meanwhile, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo today revealed the phases of restarting commercial activity in the state, starting with very specific areas, such as construction, in areas least affected by the pandemic.
Cuomo did not give a timeline, but the state quarantine expires on May 15. The governor had previously stated that areas where few cases have been reported and several free hospital beds may reopen after that date.
Although he did not elaborate, the scheme revealed by Cuomo during the regular press conference is the most detailed to date on how restrictions on businesses and residents will begin to relax. He said he understood the sentiments of protesters calling for an early resumption, but warned that it could rekindle the virus. He even recalled that the Spanish flu of 1918 was more deadly during its second wave.
“We can do it for a short period of time, but not forever,” Cuomo said, referring to the March quarantine order. “But restarting is more difficult than closing,” he added.
In the first phase, construction, manufacturing, and selected retail stores can be resumed. The second phase will be followed by financial services, real estate agencies and car rental agencies, while in the third phase, restaurants, general catering services and hotels may reopen. The fourth and final phase includes entertainment and recreation areas and schools.
Each region will be able to restart its economy once certain conditions are taken into account: the rate of new infections, the beds available in hospitals, the possibilities of diagnostic tests and whether there are enough “trackers” to locate the contacts of the patients. Hospitals must also keep personal protective equipment in stock for 90 days, so there will be no shortage again, as happened in March.
Although he did not specify which areas would be the first to open, he did show a slide describing the northern and central areas of the state as “low risk”, as opposed to New York City and Long Island.
According to Cuomo, more than 1 million people have been tested in New York, or about 5% of the population. This percentage is higher than in any other country, even in Italy (3.5%) and South Korea (1.2%).
The governor also announced that another 226 people had been killed by Covid-19 in the past 24 hours, the lowest number since March 27. The downward trend in the number of people being treated and admitted to the ICU continues. However, he noted that the downward trend was not “as acute” as the increase in cases in March and warned that the virus, which some initially thought was similar to seasonal flu, but had killed some 25,000 people in the state will not be underestimated. “We are dealing with a different beast and we have learned it the hard way,” he said.
Source: NYT, Reuters, APE
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