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It has been a year since the appearance of the coronavirus in Greece and about 14 months since we first heard its name. In these months we have learned a lot about the deadly virus that has brought ups and downs in lives, about the way it is transmitted, while the vaccine is being created, that it is expected to “go away.”
However, what we have not been able to do for a year is “tame” the pandemic, stop its rapid spread and therefore the “explosive” increase in cases. Since the first case in Greece on February 26, 2020 until today, more than 200,000 cases have been registered. Specifically, the 2,215 cases announced today by EODY brought the total report to 201,677 since the beginning of the pandemic. Of these, 6,664 people lost the battle against the deadly virus.
The fact that to date almost no country on the planet has managed to control the coronavirus, leads governments to take measures, which are often even stricter than those of last March, when fear of unknown governments they had imposed very “extreme” – by then – measures.
A year later, in March 2021, despite the strict framework in Attica and many other areas, scientists warn that the strong wave that is in progress over the last 24 hours will continue into the next week, “pointing” to a de-escalation towards the final. Of the month.
What is the reason for the increase in cases?
Referring to the “explosion” of cases, Professor Vana Papaevangelou, during today’s briefing, stressed that “the epidemiological burden is increasing and has doubled in the last 15 days.”
“The positivity rate increased, reaching 4%,” he said, sounding the alarm.
“The epidemiological burden of our country continues to increase, hospitalizations have increased, the pressure on the health system is obvious, yet the mortality rate remains consistently low,” said the Professor of Pediatric Infectious Diseases.
Referring to the reasons that led to the increase in cases, she herself stood out especially in the winter weather “that locked us in”, but also in the British mutation that makes the coronavirus spread faster.
“We have faced a different virus,” he said. “These factors, combined with the fatigue of the citizens, which caused relaxation and the already great spread of the virus, caused the increase,” stressed the professor.
In particular, he did not say about the mutations that scientists are very concerned about, but it seems that the British mutation is treated with vaccination and the South African mutation can be treated better than some vaccines. Speaking about the mutated strain in Brazil, he said that it was new and had not been sufficiently studied, but he seemed reassuring when speaking of “cellular immunity” in sick people, since he explained that they develop significant defenses against the virus “through activated lymphocytes” . .
At this point, however, he described the measures taken in part as effective, saying: “Think about where we would be now without them. If we had not implemented the measures, we would have had a much worse picture.” Most follow the measures and create a firewall, “he added, referring to an unequal fight in the age of mutations.
“Crash test” on the weekend
At the same time, the government is trying to reduce crowded footage on weekends in Attica and Thessaloniki, with the new measures for the moves to be tested in the next 2 days.
The government has relied on mobility elements, which depending on the image of the hospitals will show whether next Friday there will be announcements for the “opening” of some activities -such as retail-.
According to the Ministry of Digital Government, every day the volume of messages for all codes related to the movement reaches 4.2 million messages.
Saturday is the most difficult day as messages reach 4.8 million, while on Sundays 3.7 million. What will happen this weekend will demonstrate the effectiveness of the new measures.
Traffic is reduced on the streets of Attica
According to the latest data on road traffic, the last two days have seen a 17% reduction in traffic on Poseidon Avenue, which shows that the changes made to traffic codes are starting to pay off.
In addition, on 12 major highways in Attica we had a 4.5% reduction in traffic, while the data shows that the reduction continues with each passing day.
Up to 3,000 cases next week
Nikos Tzanakis, professor of pulmonology at the University of Crete, expressed the certainty that mutations have prevailed throughout the country, highlighting that next week we will be able to see up to 3,000 cases.
Speaking to SKAI, Mr. Tzanakis, referring to the continued increase in cases, said: “I strongly believe that mutations have been prevalent throughout the country” and that is why cases are not decreasing. In Crete they have absolutely prevailed. That is why this wave does not budge. “It is durable,” said the professor.
He further explained that “due to the timely measures taken in Attica, the exponential increase in this wave is significantly less dynamic than the previous one, so this valuable differentiation allows the system to respond, albeit with difficulty.”
Depending on the model, these cases will persist and there may be an increase next week, on the order of 2,500 cases.
Mr. Tzanakis noted that “it is not excluded that we will see 2800-3000 cases one day.” This will continue until around March 15-18 and around March 20-25 we will see the numbers decrease, very slowly. “
He also estimated that by the end of the month the cases will be around 1000-1500. “When the phenomenon is in a phase of decline, some activities can be released with caution.”
Finally, he commented that there should be more control in the MMM, as it is abuzz with over-transmission.
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