Erdogan in a rift with the US

A “war of words” was launched against her Washington Tayyip Erdogan, on the occasion of the “lukewarm reaction” of the US State Department to the news of the execution of 13 Turkish soldiers by the forces of the PKK , in northern Iraq.

Erdogan did not hesitate to accuse the United States of collaborating with terrorists; he even went to personally address President Biden, urging him to know “what terrorist movementa de Gulen ”. At the same time, the president of turkey It has raised the issue of NATO cohesion, an issue that has long been of interest to US foreign policy.

This is certainly one methodical sharpening by Erdogan, as the first messages from the new US administration. encouraging for Turkish posts.

Hours later, the first phone call between Secretary of State Nikos Dendias and his American counterpart Anthony Blinken was announced, to jointly establish that bilateral relations has arrived at its highest point discuss further strengthening, with special emphasis on the energy and defense sectors, such as in a post of the Greek Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Then Anthony Blinken made the first phone call and to the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ankara Mevlüt Çavuşoλουlu, and the main problem, as announced by the State Department, was the S-400, and the United States again asked Turkey not to “maintain” this weapons system. However, Blinken made one diplomatic movement following strong protests from Ankara, expressing the condolences of the United States for the 13 assassinated Turks and unequivocally calling the PKK “terrorists”.

In any case, the contrast is very intense: on the day that Erdogan describes the United States as almost “terrorists”, the foreign minister of the superpower is discussing with his Greek counterpart a greater of strategic cooperation of the two countries. and obviously the move made last night by Ankara, committed to the Navtex areas of the Aegean for research, just before the 62nd round of exploration, will probably not count in their favor …

The weather on the other side of the Atlantic is heavy for the Turkish president. Indicative h joint letter 54 Democratic and Republican Senators: Sounding the Alarm in Biden and to Department of State, expressing the view that Washington should exert strong pressure on Ankara on the issue of continuing human rights violations and erosion of democratic principles.

Erdogan’s insulting rhetoric to the US president confirms to many international actors the view that today’s Turkey, if pressed hard, will likely return to “Western context”.

This process, after all, has Long ago even if it has not acquired dimensions: the clouds are gathering threateningly for Erdogan: the Turkish economy is on the verge of collapse, the student demonstrations continue, the various replace The slopes of Bahceli also add to the political climate.

In light of all this, the prevailing trend in the US President’s staff is that pressure should be intensified to make the Erdogan regime as vulnerable as possible, in the hope that will recede mischievous, on the other hand to enhance the prestige of the United States internationally. That is why in Washington it is difficult to find supporters of a policy of appeasement of the Turkish president.

President Biden seems determined not to give his Turkish counterpart room for misinterpretation of his determination, clarifying that the period of tolerance that existed during Trump’s presidency it definitely belongs to the past. Washington’s message is clear: only if Turkey agrees to “deactivate” the S-400s, but also withdraw from russia, it will be possible to normalize relations between the United States and Turkey.

With Biden’s arrival at the White House, Erdogan’s direct connection was cut off with Trump. And to avoid any misinterpretation, a deafening lack of communication was imposed between the new American leadership and Ankara. The only contact was the US National Security Advisor. Ibrahim Kalin, which, however, quickly proved that it did not create any solid base to smooth. It is recalled that a few days before taking office, Biden had ignored a phone call he had received from the Turkish president, an unusual move for a United States ally in NATO.

The negative attitude of the new American president that caused malaise in Ankara, that was captured in the interview by Mesut Haki Jassin (Erdogan’s adviser), who stigmatized the fact that Biden has not yet reached out to the Turkish president by phone. The icing on the cake is rhetoric of the representative of the State Department, who with his statements gave the stigma of the different treatment that the new US government reserves for Turkey.

The field on which the first act of the drama will be played is, as mentioned above, the S-400 market. The new US administration warned of new sanctions. In an effort to defuse the crisis, Akar suggested that Turkey use it your S-400 the way Greece uses the S-300s, which were bought From cyprus and now they are stored in Crete.

The Americans did not “buy” the Turkish maneuver and remain in their inflexible position, demanding a complete Turkish withdrawal. Biden may also see Turkey as geopolitically necessary to the West, but seems convinced that this can only be achieved through stifling pressure. After all, the problem isn’t just the S-400. These are the tip of the iceberg.

The iceberg is the informal except real Putin-Erdogan alliance. Anyway, the planetary leader “I made it clear to President Putin, in a very different way from my predecessor, that the era in which the United States was withdrawing in the face of Russian aggression … is over,” he said.

The question, of course, is whether there is a chance that the two leaders will eventually overcome mutual mistrust and reach a compromise. On the one hand, Biden, as the article describes of Foreign Policy, “There is no room for a moral compromise with Erdogan’s Turkey.” On the other hand, the Turkish president is not only known for his adaptability, but is also aware that it would be political suicide to yield to the terms established by Washington.

At first, he tried to build bridges, but when he did not find the answer he expected, he returned even more aggressively to his true self, causing a new tension. It’s more, has adopted forever the role of the would-be leader of the ubiquitous Islam. Only time will tell if and by how much you can shift gears. However, the most likely scenario remains: the crisis in Turkish-American relations To become a breakup

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