Coronaios: the three reasons scientists fear for the third wave of the pandemic



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The cases do not decrease, the number of patients intubated in the ICU, in the COVID clinics, does not decrease in any bed that the oxygen tube can reach. The death toll is not decreasing. About 100 families live in dumb pain every day while an equal number of people die. It is the second wave of the pandemic that does not say to stop, but simmers like thick magma in the heart of the earth, ready to spread everywhere.

The “forgotten” war is unleashed even as Christmas approaches and let the sound of the vaccine leave a ray of hope in the weakened combatants. No. Admission of patients to areas of northern Greece is not decreasing, Macedonia is in the red on the death map with the highest mortality from coronavirus. The pandemic moves sand and the abyss is below.

That will explode

Will it go out there? Or in Attica that was never cured. Red and West Attica on the same map. Cases broke out, of people who do not mind wearing a mask, but also of people who worry about going to work every morning, in the factory, in the industry, in the crafts, but nobody cared to arrive safely . Overcrowded again to get the daily job on the locomotive west of Athens, return home by bus, those who can, to get there quickly. Along with the virus. Koronaios: Meeting of Chrysochoidis in Elefsina on the epidemiological situation in West Attica

From work at home, to care and indifference, those who will not sit in the living room to discuss who will come to New Year’s Eve. There will be no New Year’s Eve for them.

There won’t be many in prefectures like Pella, Thessaloniki, Serres, Pieria, Imathia because many of the 3,870 dead so far have died there. The 3,970 until tomorrow, the 4,000 in two 24 hours. But the country will celebrate and the virus will precipitate as scientists fear. There is a large amount of flammable material collected. “We will seal house, house,” says Chrysochoidis. But the houses will open. Christmas and New Years. For the joy and hope that the festive table will bring, the parties that will take place, the good clothes that will be worn.

Everything is ready

The houses will open and it is this “Happy Birthday” that all those whose hair is tingling shudder to shout “be careful”, “stay away”. The flammable matter we said has been collected, waiting to explode with a momentum that will hit hard, like a wave, like a third wave.

The question is when and where. In northern Greece, where the ambulance sirens never sounded? That people in white uniforms are not so invulnerable when behind transparent masks their eyes are closed forever? Where do people not feel human when they cannot say goodbye to the one who would sit in the empty seat at the table the day after tomorrow?

Will it blow up in an area like western Athens? From the wrinkled hands of the worker while the stove is lit to heat the room to share at the table “these little things we have to eat?” Koronaios: Mayor transported patient in absence of EKAB rescuer

Or maybe when the fireworks of hope go out, when it’s set in 2020 and no one will want to remember it again? Scientists know that the third wave is there. From fatigue, despair, carelessness, the anticipation of the miracle of science that conceived the vaccine predominates.

And here are the data

Experts consider that the period of the holidays until the vaccines arrive is crucial. “We must avoid the outbreak of the virus during the holidays so that we can open in January and not have to take us to an extension of the measures after January 7,” EKPA rector Thanos Dimopoulos said Tuesday.

Speaking to MEGA, he stressed that it is necessary to limit the number of people on New Year’s Eve, because otherwise there is a risk of spreading the virus asymptomatically.

You need patience for a few days until the vaccination starts, he stressed. When the vaccines start we will have a “roadmap” of how we will move forward next. However, the restrictive measures will be in place for a while and will be gradually lifted, he said.

Over transmission

According to experts, home concentrations are hotbeds of the virus. In fact, it has been estimated that just 8 minutes is enough to transmit the virus indoors.

That is why experts are sounding the alarm for New Year’s Eve and some are very wary of family dispersion, clarifying that the safest option would be to choose to stay at home without guests.

“Our houses, the closed spaces, are important factors of dispersion. One player can keep all of them. If in an apartment of 120 square meters and 20 people gather, even wearing a mask, it can be scattered. If they don’t wear a mask, only 8 minutes are enough for the spread to take place, “said Vana Papaevangelou, pediatrician – infectious disease specialist during regular information on Monday on the evolution of the virus.

Mask in pocket

Professor Gikas Majorkinis also recommended paying attention to festive gatherings, emphasizing that the safest option is not to meet people from other households during the holidays. Public decorations

As he explained, it would be logical for something like this to happen during the holidays, however, this must be done with great care, with hygiene and protection measures for everyone.

“If we decide to meet, there are simple instructions for safer meetings,” he said.

“If we have symptoms, of course we must abstain. It would be good to wear a mask. It is understandable that it is not always possible to wear it, but we must protect the most vulnerable.” If we visit grandparents, the sick or other people who are in groups vulnerable we should definitely wear a mask. “

The forgotten volcano of Attica

“In areas like Aspropyrgos, Elefsina and other places there are ten times more cases than other areas of Attica with almost the same population. Many are due to people of predominantly Russian or Roma descent who do not take occupational health measures, attend large family gatherings, and show no care. “Unfortunately, in these areas and in special cases, we can take measures as before in Larissa or elsewhere, with the exclusion even of houses or areas, to prevent the spread of the disease.” Koronaios: Unprecedented Christmas with a limit of people at the table and SMS everywhere

The Minister of Civil Protection, Michalis Chrysochoidis, participated in a meeting in the Elefsina Sub-region, with the participation of the Secretary General of Civil Protection, Vassilis Papageorgiou, representatives of the Region, mayors of West Attica and health organizations on the problems they face the West Attica regions.

Immediately afterwards, Mr. Chrysochoidis stated that “I don’t have much to say, in fact I only have one thing to say: nobody can shake their head. We are here to help, explain, help, but nobody is in the lead. Otherwise the areas will be sealed, even from house to house. It is not a threat or a warning. It is a decision and will be made if necessary. “

What is happening now

Indicative of the severity of the second wave of the pandemic that we are experiencing now, and what is critical of the situation is the fact that of a total of 3,870 deaths, 3,061 were “lost” between November 1 and December 14. Only in December, until yesterday, December 15, we had 1,379 deaths from Covid-19.

Northern Greece mourns most of the dead

Analysis of the data shows that the areas with the most deaths are:

Thessaloniki (750)
Attica (659)
Pella (208)
Serres (184)
Pieria (148)
Imathia (138)
drama (140)
Larisa (122)
However, the reduction in deaths per 100,000 inhabitants (calculation that allows us to compare areas with each other) shows that the areas most affected by the pandemic are:

Pella (148.9 deaths per 100,000 population)
Drama (142.4)
Pieria (116.8)
Serres (104.3)
Thessaloniki has 67.5 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants and Attica 17.2.

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