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For the reduction rate of cases and the estimate number cases weekly until the end of the year spoke the professor of Environmental Engineering of the AUTh and specialist in mathematical models of epidemiological dispersion Demosthenes Sarigiannis.
In statements to SKAI, Sarigiannis estimated that by December 22 the cases will have remitted in 900.
In fact, he pointed out that the fall in cases is slow and the opening of the market, always based on these data, is precocity.
As Mr. Sarigiannis estimates, in 8 December cases will have reached 1,475 per day.
TO fifteen December the country will count 1,100 cases.
TO December 22th cases will have decreased to around 900 and by the end of the year in 770 cases.
However, as the expert pointed out, the cases are not in line with the target of 500 cases set by the Minister of Health. Vassilis Κικίλιας to open the market.
“Our simulations show that if the stores open and the measures are not observed, between 15 and 20 days later we will see a resurgence. Therefore, any opening will be premature ”, stressed Mr. Sarigiannis.
What the data shows
Although the data has started to show a first decline in cases, it remains disappointing.
Yesterday, Friday, 98 more were announced deceased, raising the total number of deaths in our country to 2,804.
At the same time, EODY announced 1,667 new cases of the new virus in the country, of which 9 were detected after controls in entrance doors from the country.
The total number of cases is 113,185, of which 52.8% are men.
In turn, 4,966 (4.4%) are considered related to trips from abroad and 29,765 (26.3%) are related to an already known case.
Of particular concern is the fact that 612 of our fellow citizens are being treated by intubation.
THE intermediate years They are 65 years old. Of these, 175 (28.6%) are women and the rest are men.
76% of intubated patients have an underlying disease or are 70 years or older.
At the same time, 635 patients have out from the ICU.