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The evolution of the pandemic in Greece in the coming days and during the Christmas season is evaluated by a group of researchers from the Nanotechnology Laboratory of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki.
Based on available data, but also with the course of the pandemic and the daily and total cases recorded, the researchers say, restrictive measures may be lifted in the coming days and weeks, on a case-by-case basis.
“The situation is not the same in Crete and Thessaloniki, for example.” Some stores will be able to operate in areas where there are few cases, under certain conditions, with strict measures, measurements and tests and with even more strict fines in case of infractions “, emphasizes Professor Stergios Logothetidis, head of the research team.
The AUTh team estimates that we have already passed the peak of cases
As he explains, “from the middle to the end of the week that we are going through, there will be a significant number of human losses due to the pandemic, but from the end of the week, the number of human losses will begin to decrease rapidly.”
A drop in the number of intubated patients is expected in the coming days
Forecasts in detail
- As of Monday, November 30, after the maximum number of intubated patients observed in recent days, its rapid reduction is forecast in all clinics in the country, while in two weeks, specifically as of December 14, it is expected to have a significant reduction in the number of intubated patients. in the ICU, and they drop to around 320 nationwide, as shown in the “forecast curves.”
- On the contrary, during this week the number of victims of the pandemic in Greece is expected to be high and even increase, reaching the maximum round from December 5 to 6. After this date, the gradual decrease will begin, as shown by the “analysis and forecast curves” with the data to date.
- As for infections or cases, which showed a peak number on November 16, they will continue to decline rapidly across Greece and Thessaloniki in the coming days, approaching on December 14, approximately 540 and 110 cases. , respectively, as shown by the forecast curves. All of this will be valid provided that the blocking measures that are valid throughout Greece are reverently maintained until then.
- On the other hand, in areas such as the south and the island of Greece, where infections and cases were limited during this period, some of the blocking measures that are applied throughout the country could be lifted earlier. However, it should be noted that for any withdrawal, for example, the opening of stores must be carried out under very strict measures of personal protection and use of a mask everywhere. In addition, in any case, very strict supervision and monitoring must be carried out, and the Authorities must carry out systematic tests and measurements, so that in the event that for any reason there is a sudden or significant increase in cases, the timely restrictions and measures. , to avoid phenomena such as Thessaloniki.
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