Coronavirus: infectious disease specialists want lockdown until Christmas: the six parameters for its elimination



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Infectious disease specialists and government officials are “slowing down” discussion about the possible lifting of the blockade in early December, which has been “on fire” in recent days.

After the first extension of the confinement until December 7, everything shows that we are heading for a second extension with specialists in infectious diseases, seeing a decrease in viral load, but not the corresponding reduction in ICU admissions.

The percentage of positivity based on molecular tests is 9.68%, according to information. In the last 24 hours, 12,320 molecular tests and 4,106 rapid tests were carried out, while a total of 1,193 cases were detected.

It turns out that the most likely dates to unlock the lock are December 14 or 21. However, final decisions have not yet been made and it will all depend on epidemiological data.

Doctors and nurses express their anxiety about the possibility of an early opening, as the ICU and Covid-19 beds are “suffocating.” Members of the Infectious Diseases Committee, according to information from MEGA, affirm that it is too early to relax the measures on December 7 and propose to the government a gradual return to relative normality as of December 14. However, there are suggestions to extend the lockdown until December 21 and then begin a short 15-20 day break to move the market.

The government and specialists in infectious diseases are thus entering a very difficult week with their eyes on the resistance of the National Health System, while people must prepare for Christmas and the New Year at home, strictly as a family and to a short and specific quarantine pause.

Kyriakos Mitsotakis also stigmatized citizens about what the holidays will be like this year. We will spend much more limited time with our families and, as the Prime Minister said on Saturday, possibly with one more family.

The 6 indicators that will give the green light to remove the lock

It is indicative that even the preliminary announcement of the opening of elementary schools for December 7 has already been “frozen” as a scenario with the Ministry of Education referring to the recommendations of the committee of specialists in infectious diseases, in the next 24 hours.

According to SKAI, the six parameters that Maximou is studying for a possible removal of the blockage are:

  1. the number of daily cases,
  2. the number of patients and in particular the intubated
  3. the balance of imports and downloads
  4. the positivity index
  5. the Rt index, that is, how many people are infected by one case, which according to Kathimerini is approximately 0.68 in Attica and 0.85 in Thessaloniki
  6. the number of active cases

Kyriakos Mitsotakis, however, prioritized decompression of the NSS.

“Strict” infectious disease specialists want to open after December 21

Even among infectious disease specialists, the issue of lifting the blockade is controversial, with scientists divided into “camps”: those who insist on tough measures until Christmas and those who are open for a short break: “encouragement” for citizens to Christmas vacations.

The president of the Panhellenic Medical Association and member of the Committee of Experts of the Ministry of Health, Athanasios Exadaktylos, in statements to Star’s main newsletter, stressed that any discussion on lifting the measures is hasty.

“It would be tragic if we opened early and without securing our steps. “We will have a relapse of the second wave that will create a worse situation than the current one,” he explained.

Referring to the partial lifting of the blockage, the professor pointed out that “it would be safe to approach this step when we see that the number of intubations is in two digits and when we have completely analyzed the results that we obtained from the first and second block comparatively to decide what can be opened” .

This means that the country will begin to relax the measures from December 21.

As Mr. Exadaktylos said, there is fatigue but the danger is real and our effort is not in vain. The pandemic is not treated any other way when there is no vaccine or treatment.

The team that wants to open on December 21 also includes Demosthenes Sarigiannis, professor of Sanitary and Environmental Engineering.

Commenting on the reduction in cases in recent days, Mr. Sarigiannis estimated that around December 14, when the opening is discussed, we will be in satisfactory numbers. However, the true decline will be around December 19-20.

“It’s safest to open around December 21.” One week can make a significant difference, “he emphasized. As he told SKAI, initially the retail store will open and then the restaurant.” It doesn’t make sense for schools to open on the 14th. December and close again on the 20th, “he said, adding that it is too early to open at 7 am. Finally, he said that it is” good to keep the SMS and the ban “. They help to be prudent.”

“Heimarros” was also Matina Pagoni, president of EINAP, who explained that the number of deaths and the number of intubated people cannot be reduced at this time, that is, if they do not spend 10 to 15 days.

“Then we can continue with better conditions and with the gradual lifting of the measures, evaluating it every day and only if we implement the measures properly,” he told ERT, adding: “New Year’s Eve and the tables should be done next year after vaccinations “. .

Gogos: Small lifting of measures December 14 to 21

Pathology professor Charalambos Gogos spoke about the small lifting of the confinement between December 14 and 21.

“The most important thing at this time is to end the alarm in the health system and that is where the eyes of the Commission are focused,” he stressed in statements to SKAI, adding that the gap between hospital admissions and discharges begins to widen. close.

Mr. Gogos identified a small lifting of the measures between December 14 and 21. “Small lifting of measures and a lot of care.” We will celebrate Christmas together, “he said characteristically.

As explained together with Mina Gaga, pulmonologist and coordinating director of the VII Pulmonary Clinic of the Sotiria Hospital, we first need relaxation in the health system and then open ourselves to society.

“Little by little we will have enough beds,” said Mr. Gogos, adding that the flattening of the curve has begun.

Papanikolaou, UCI Director: We must not open

Finally, there is the other point of view: that of health workers, who experience the battle with the coronavirus first hand.

The director of the ICU at Papanikolaou Hospital, Nikolaos Kapravelos, described the situation in Thessaloniki in black and asked that the blockade not be lifted.

“Let’s not open, especially without restrictive measures,” he suggested, speaking to SKAI TV. As he said, the situation in Thessaloniki is “tragic”, as there are no other beds in the intensive care unit. “We are living a tragic situation. We do not have intensive care beds.” We have built another space, at the cost of other specialties, to face this wave, which escaped us, “he said characteristically.

He estimated that the second wave that started in October will end in March. “We must not open ourselves. The dispersion is now at our next door. He who opens, if he opens, must know that he opens at the risk of his life.

“At the moment, there should be no talk of opening. From me and the martyr Thessaloniki, you will never know about the inauguration. We will tell him restrictive measures,” stressed the UCI Director of Papanikolaou.

Mr. Kapravelos characteristically commented: “We put pressure on her. If no action is taken, it will be a national tragedy,” while highlighting the tragic record of Thessaloniki, which on 25 November recorded the highest number of deaths per 1 million of inhabitants in Europe, as he characteristically said.

“If we open without measures, the third wave will be terrible. The virus is terribly contagious. The vaccine is the hope of society. “

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