Coronaios: scenarios and leaks to eliminate the confinement with 120 dead and 600 intubated



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The “generals”, hundreds of kilometers from the war front, carry out exercises on paper, write and erase announcements and plans to lift the blockade. Away from the battlefield, which claims 100 lives every day and puts people, focusing on Thessaloniki.

Where there is no indication that this lethality will stop anytime soon, as all defenses appear to be collapsing. In northern Greece, where war has darkened the sky and the souls of the world.

If they listened to the pulse on the northern border, the pulse and agony of the battle for survival, and realized that every day more than 100 families lose a man, a man who did not have time to see, kiss and say goodbye, They would be more shy, those with little heart who anxiously await the lifting of the blockade. And they would not worry about whether the blockade will be lifted now, tomorrow, or whether it will be lifted and re-imposed.

But scientists see and know the situation. They see inclined doctors, patients with the virus alongside patients who are characterized by pathological cases. His companions who today were in battle and their next home, quarantined, infected or in a bed in the same hospital are also sick.

The cases do not remit as many expected. And warn those who see and know that the lifting of the ban will open the bag of hell. “We don’t have antibodies,” they say.

On Saturday the death toll reached 121 and 606 people were intubated, not only in the ICU but in any hospital area that can fit a bed and the oxygen tube can reach. From Tempi and above, everything hangs by a thread. These people and many more that the virus will choose among the 100,000 people in this country that has been infected, they have a few hours to come out winners, otherwise someone else will take their place, hoping to be more fortunate.

No one can fit in the ICUs of northern Greece anymore. They are looking for a bed for a 58-year-old man from Grevena, his health has deteriorated, superhuman doctors have stopped the poison of the virus, they have put him in MAF, they have looked for a bed in an ICU. Nothing was found. The incidents from West Macedonia go to Ioannina and Patras, the incidents from Thessaly reach Pyrgos, the incidents from Drama begin to reach Athens, and this puts even more pressure on the health system in Attica.

Not in the lifting of the quarantine before December 21

Infectious diseases professor Nikos Sypsas was in favor of extending the confinement until December 21, clarifying that it is his personal opinion and that he considers the date more ideal than December 14.

Sypsas said the reasonable removal of the shutdown as of December 21 will give the system more space. “To have 15 days off, to have a certain regularity,” he said characteristically.

Also, speaking with SKAI, he pointed out that at the moment we have a small drop in the number of cases and the percentage of positive samples – it has dropped from 19% to 10% but we have very poor quality data which is a large number of active cases. , which show many admissions, which are more than high, and unfortunately intubations and deaths.

“I do not think so”

“These data do not allow any prediction at the moment because I do not believe that we will open the company having the units covered at 88%, in Thessaloniki at 100% and having this number of deaths.”

In addition, Mr. Sypsas pointed out the slow decline of the pandemic, attributing it to various reasons such as the great dispersion during October and the fact that the lock we have is a bit loose and does not help the rapid de-escalation of the pandemic.

Greeks don’t have antibodies

At the same time, he pointed out that the day the company opens there will be a spread of the coronavirus, while reminding that few Greeks have antibodies.

“Most do not have antibodies and the climate favors the spread, which means that in the next 15 to 20 days the cases will begin to increase. “All these elements do not make me optimistic at all,” he said, adding that “we must forget about the opening on December 7.”

The professor of Pathology, Charalambos Gogos, speaking of the conditions for the lifting of the ban, said that the bad thing is not only that we have many cases, but that we have many active cases. There are more than 20,000 diagnosed, while there are an estimated 100,000 undiagnosed.

“It’s difficult to open something before December 14”

Mr. Gogos said that next week there will be a discussion about what will open, but before December 14 it is difficult to open something. “We are beginning to have some adaptation in the beds, but unfortunately in the ICU it is not like that.”

As for whether the measures will continue to exist after the end of the lockdown, Gogos said that the measures should be horizontal, however in some “red” areas they can be increased.

“There are predictive models. The slower we open, the better the forecasts. But there is also the problem in the economy. For now, the health situation precedes,” he stressed.

“The cases are not reduced as we expected”

Professor of Pediatric Infectious Diseases at the EKPA School of Medicine and member of the Expert Committee, Vana Papaevangelou admitted that “unfortunately the reduction of cases has a later number than we wanted, while in other parts of the country they are increasing. “This is due to certain structures,” he said. Coronaios: a 102-year-old woman defeated the virus and was discharged

He also said that pressure on the NSS remains critical. 4,500 are hospitalized across the country, and most of the 1/4 are being treated in Thessaloniki.

“The NSS will continue to be pressured”, clarified the member of the infectious diseases committee, although, as he stressed, “we expect a reduction in ICU admissions and a stabilization in new hospital admissions.”

88% integrity of ICUs

As Ms Papaevangelou said, in the territory at the moment the ICU filling is 88%, while in the next period it is estimated that some 1,600 people will need to be hospitalized and 200 people intubated.

“Everyone knows the fullness of ICUs in Thessaloniki. The fullness of ICUs in the territory is 88%, while in the next few days we expect 250 new ICU admissions, while around 1,600 will need to be treated,” he stressed, while than for deaths from coronavirus, he added: “Losses are increasing. We have an average of 85 deaths a day. Although there is a clear reduction in cases, we expect continued pressure on the NSS.”

They plan to restart the economy

In the final stretch is the government’s plan to restart the economy after the official announcement of a one-week extension of the lockdown, with focus being one of the key questions. Coronaians: more than 400,000 dead in Europe

There is another extension on the table for another week, and final decisions will be made within the next week, where the outlook regarding the course of the pandemic will be clearer. The final decisions will be judged by the two known factors, which are the number of cases and the pressure on the SEN, which is reflected in the hospitalization of the patients, as well as in the intubated patients.

Government officials say all scenarios are possible for the moment, with the prevailing one wanting the “ban” to last until December 14 with the sole exception, perhaps, of schools.

What will happen to the focus?

However, the most difficult puzzle is the focus aperture. Despite the scenarios that saw the reopening of restaurants and cafes around December 20, a few days before Christmas, this solution does not seem to be in favor.

According to exclusive information from MEGA, the scenario of not opening the restaurant during the holidays is gaining more and more ground. MEGA revelation: Christmas with closed restaurants the most prevalent scenario

According to the same sources, several industry representatives have already sent their message to the government and the ministries in charge of not opening stores at all during the holidays, that is, not to enter the “accordion” scene, because the damage that have suffered is severe.

It should be noted that this decision does not refer to bars and clubs that are not expected to open anyway, but to cafes and restaurants.

“Better not open if the conditions do not exist”

For their part, catering entrepreneurs reiterate that the conditions in which they will reopen are more important than the date they will open, while emphasizing that it does not make sense to operate for the holidays and to close again immediately afterwards.

The president of the Panhellenic Federation of Restaurants and Allied Professions, George Kavvathas, stressed in the previous days that, if the fullness for the operation of the stores is set below 50%, then it is better not to open the restaurant at all for the Christmas holidays.

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