Scenarios for a new extension of the closure: the government wants a horizontal opening



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The government does not approve the scenario of making the measures more flexible -or the local closure- since the main objective continues to be the drop in the epidemiological burden throughout the territory. Scientists reject any idea of ​​hastily lifting existing measures.

In fact, according to a government official quoted by SKAI, another extension of the confinement is considered quite possible, this time until December 14. Elementary and kindergartens may be possible exceptions.

“I think depression is one of the worst things that can happen to a person.”

“Yes” in horizontal opening, “no” in local blocking

It also remains questionable whether there will be a two-speed opening, based on geographic criteria, something the government does not want, however Commerce Secretary General Panagiotis Stampoulidis did not rule it out.

The government seems to favor horizontal opening, although there may be additional exceptions or restrictions for certain areas.

“We cannot see at this time, different speeds to lift the blockade between Regions. We do not have any suggestions from the experts,” said Stelios Petsas today, speaking of the possibility of lifting the closure.

“It is necessary to eliminate the epidemiological burden throughout the country. If we see next week that there are different outbreaks in different geographical areas,
this will be suggested to us by epidemiologists. But we are not there. “Nor has such a thing been considered,” he said.

The numbers bring a slower relaxation of the measures.

The figures from the analysis show that the government is leading a slower relaxation process. For example, the epidemiological burden is particularly high in 18 areas of the country out of a total of 74.

Indeed, Ms Papaevangelou was disgusted that it “does not say that the second wave should go away” and added that the reduction in cases is slower than the committee wanted, while in other areas they are increasing.

“The curve is decreasing, but the epidemiological burden remains high. Currently there are more than 25,000 active cases in the country. Today, around 4,500 patients are being treated throughout the country, of which 1/4 are in Thessaloniki” , he clarified.

Epidemiologists and consequently the government were waiting for more information to proceed with lifting the blockade. The final plan will be judged by the two factors now known which are the number of cases and the pressure on the SEN.

The truth is that next week we will have the new announcements from the government about what will happen at Christmas, most likely through the Prime Minister.

Apart from the schools that, except for drastic changes, will open on December 7, we also bet on a different model both in terms of our movement and the opening of a store.

The latest information speaks of a new number that will be added to the existing ones for travel, most likely number 7 and will be related to the move to a retail store. At the same time, there will be an extension of business hours.

Six fingers: relaxation of measurements only with two-digit number of intubated

Speaking to ANT1, the president of the Panhellenic Medical Association, Athanasios Exadaktylos, stated that he needs time to carry out the blockade.

He remarked that “regarding the figures, we will draw our conclusions once the phenomenon is completed and after it is studied. However, it seems that from the moment the last measure was taken, there is a decrease in the number of people who are detected positive, and we must leave this as a lesson. The second is that having started a lockdown with a high circulation of the virus we must know that we will have more time until we see the results we want ”.

Regarding the removal of the confinement, he clarified that “the truth is that the numbers do not seem to tend so that on the 7th we can go to the inauguration with great comfort, this remains to be seen in the next few days because as the numbers rise suddenly, then it can bend suddenly. But we should definitely see that the people in the intensive care unit decrease a lot, and that means that the deaths will also decrease, but the people in the intensive care unit should decrease a lot, as well as the number of patients.

“We should see a two-digit number on the intubates to relax the measurements a bit.” If we go back and see where we were a month ago the number of two-digit intubates was the October 25 number, “he noted.

What Papaevangelou said – Hardalia

During the briefing on the coronavirus, Vana Papaevangelou stressed that the gradual lifting of the measures has not yet been discussed in the infectious diseases committee and will be examined next week.

“The pressure on the ICU is an important criterion for our decisions. A hasty lifting of the measures will mean an immediate and sharp increase in cases. This is due to the large epidemiological burden that exists. It must be done gradually and safely, while it is necessary to avoid overcrowding and meetings, “he said.

Regarding the discussion that is taking place in recent days about the measures to be applied during the Christmas holidays and about a possible lifting of the confinement, Nikos Hardalias stressed that it is still early to make decisions.

However, he warned that this year Christmas will be different, as in the whole world.

The “two-speed” lockout scenario

However, previously the professor of Microbiology at the University of West Attica and member of the Expert Committee, Alkiviadis Vatopoulos, had left open the possibility of lifting the closure by region.

Vatopoulos noted that the problem with the spread of the coronavirus has moved to the province. Therefore, he did not rule out the possibility that during the phasing out of restrictive measures, some areas may be blocked and others not.

“The Ro index has started to be below unity in Athens and perhaps Thessaloniki, but it is above 1 in some provincial cities, mainly in central and northern Greece.”

“The problem is beginning to move to the province.” The inhabitants of a small town or village should not feel that the issue does not concern them, “he said characteristically.

Mosialos: “The whole country should not be opened together”

The two-speed blockade was also promoted by Elías Mosialos, speaking of the next stage of lifting the measures.

The LSE professor explained why the country should not open up as a whole and presented the six indicators on which the experts rely to make their decisions to lift the blockade.

The six indicators are:

  • The first is the rate of increase and decrease in cases.
  • The second is whether the number of cases in vulnerable social groups is decreasing
  • The third is hospital admissions.
  • The fourth indicator is the number of deaths
  • The fifth indicator that we do not have in our country is how many are trapped in each region of Greece. This is achieved by random sampling
  • The sixth is what you want to open first.

Regarding the confinement, Elías Mosialos stated that removal must be done on a case-by-case basis.

“The whole country should not open together, that is, the north and the south of Greece at the same time. I had to open it to do it again in zones.” Now, whether it be two or three, the experts will judge it based on the data statistics “, stressed the professor of Health Policy, Elías Mosialos, in statements to SKAI.

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