Koronaios: The image in Europe and the messages for Greece [πίνακας]



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Encouraging data, such as the impressive percentage reduction of coronavirus cases in Attica to the “record” of 15% in the country, the downward trend in the number of cases in large countries such as Spain, France, Great Britain and others, such as the This coming fall of new diagnoses in our country arises from the analysis of pandemic data these dramatic moments with the vertical increase in deaths in our country.

It is characteristic that yesterday Sunday there was an unprecedented number of deaths with cases of the order of our seven human companions killed in 100 diagnoses. This is because the downtrend for new entrants is now combined with an increase in fatalities, something that is expected to continue through Christmas. Dramatic increase in case-related mortality rates.

So one of the most impressive data of the last 48 hours is the relatively smaller number of cases recorded in Attica, which corresponds to a percentage of around 15-16.5% of the total.

And this, when in September or in the initial phase of the pandemic it had a “participation” that reached 70% of the entire country. With Thessaloniki at the end of September with less than ten cases and self-identification as a “no covid-19” area. Now there is an almost complete reversal of the situation.

Waiting for a further de-escalation

In addition, based on epidemiological data from the first quarantine phase, it is estimated that from the next 48 hours there will be a greater de-escalation in the number of cases, with an additional improvement for November 30. It is observed that the decrease in cases will entail a delay of 15 days and the gradual reduction of deaths in our country.

The image in Europe

Likewise, the analysis of the data in other European countries – compared to the last five days with that of November 8 to 12 – shows that there is a 50% reduction in cases in Spain, 31% in France, 15 % in Great Britain. and in the only countries where there is a small increase is in Italy with 4% and in our country 8%. But Greece has by far the highest death rate (31) per 1000 cases when this number was in the five days 8-12, only 20.

Furthermore, our country has one of the highest mortality rates with 38 deaths per 1,000,000 inhabitants, clearly higher than those of France, Spain and Great Britain, while only Italy has the highest (56 deaths in the same sample of population ).

956 dead since November 5

Finally, it is indicative that from November 5 to today, 956 deaths have been registered in our country with a daily average of 53 deaths per 24 hours, in a tragic and deteriorating situation that can last from two to three weeks, even when the confinement is over. Furthermore, if we take into account the number of people who have been intubated since November 5, the number of people who lost their lives in the ICU despite the superhuman efforts of nurses and doctors, it is estimated that those who happily abandoned these units have the last 17 days. approximately 1000 patients were admitted to the ICU and at least 880 to 900 of them were intubated.

That is, on average, 50 to 60 patients are admitted to these units every 24 hours with trends constantly increasing in recent days and the highest percentage of the problem, around 75-80%, is estimated in northern Greece.

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