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Coronavirus: Researchers from the nanotechnology laboratory of the Department of Physics of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki with mathematical models study, analyze and predict the continuation of the pandemic,
Nanotechnology professor, Mr. Stergios Logothetidis, spoke to GRTimes.gr, and explained how predictions are made, while analyzing the course of cases, intubations and deaths in the coming weeks.
“The coronavirus is a natural biological phenomenon. If you release it, follow the laws of nature, follow its course. Of course, when humans intervene, the facts are different. In this case, man intervened, taking protective measures and through lockdowns. We collect all this data and, using various tools, various mathematical models, which we have well, we can predict what will happen in the future, not just in Greece, but around the world. “said Mr. Logothetidis.
Logothetidis explained that just as the course of a pandemic can be predicted by studying the data it has (the nature of the virus, on the one hand, and human interventions to reduce infections, on the other) and using mathematical models, it is also possible to You can define who wants to lead the pandemic. “It is possible to establish a series of objective cases and achieve it. It is done. You see the data you have and create strategies. For example, you say, I want that amount of cases and at the same time I want to open this professional field, and you brainstorm strategies to achieve it. “,.
“Not all of our forces have been mobilized”
When asked how feasible it is to follow a strategy, targeting exact numbers, Logothetidis emphasized that: “That is why we need the experts, the experts. To be able to anticipate and create a strategy in the face of any eventuality using the tools that it has. Unfortunately, the government, despite constantly saying that we have a war, he has not mustered all his strength. When you have a war, you use all your excellence. You recruit all your people. You don’t just work with four or five people. “More specialties are needed in the scientific team that works with the government.”
Thessaloniki: Case cases, increased intubations and deaths
When asked what to expect in the next few days in Thessaloniki, Logothetidis underlined: “The Thessaloniki cases show stability. They are not growing exponentially. Next week, we are waiting boxes drop at 300-400. But intubated ones will be launched and deaths will increase. As the country is a health district, at the end of the week, or the beginning of the next, we will have around 580 intubated. That is, exactly how many ICUs we have. Next week is the week the NSS will be tested. “
And I add: “When in two weeks the measures begin to be lifted, to save the economy, a reverse course will begin again, where infections will increase. The blockage should be removed gradually. If we do Christmas like we did in 2019, all of Greece will reach the numbers we had last week. Forget about the Christmas we knew. We must be careful to be careful. If only certain parts of the market are opened, the mask is used universally and correctly, then the chaos will be controlled. Otherwise, the thing will escape again and another Lockdown will be inevitable. “
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