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Closure: An impressive 70% of all cases in the country are picked up by northern Greece one week after the start of the quarantine without any change – despite restrictive measures – in the epidemiological map of the country presented by “To Vima” .
Thessaloniki and the six prefectures of central Macedonia (Imathia, Kilkis, Halkidiki, Serres, Pella, Pieria), which account for 17.4% of the country’s population, brought together 48% of coronavirus cases throughout the country without any remission of the pandemic, with this area to cries dozens of dead Y the number of intubated patients remains high.
THE Attica it still has a 22% rate of new diagnoses – despite having 34.9% of the country’s population – without significant trends, fortunately, upward.
At the same time, there is still demand the number of 500 cases per day, as stated by the Minister of Health, Mr. Vassilis Kikilias. it will be the one that marks the end of the “quarantine”.
According to pandemic analysts, Next week (there are reports that this will occur Monday through Friday) a gradual decline in new diagnoses will begin.
It is observed that in the first “quarantine” which was much stricter, with immediate restrictive measures, the rapid decrease in cases occurred around day 24-26 from its inception. Then the cases that were only 70-120 (ss with negligible test numbers) it fell to 30 (70% reduction) which continued in the following days. At the same time, from the beginning of the confinement there was a reduction of new players in Spain, France, etc.
However, other parameters are taken into account in the current count. Initially, before the shutdown in March, there was no health measure or attempt to reduce the disease, resulting in a high early transmission rate and uncontrolled spread. whereas such a thing did not exist now in many areas, mainly in southern Greece, where the measurements were observed.
Still IIt is considered particularly important that the restrictive measures in northern Greece, mainly in Thessaloniki and the surrounding prefectures, have started between 7 and 10 days after the general closure, which will have a drastic effect.
That is, it is estimated that towards the end of the third week of quarantine or The average number of patients will be 600-1200 every 24 hours, which will be considered the first “light” in the tunnel.
But experts say this “planning” and foresight may not work. Verify either by the tendency to over-transmission of the virus or because in the current quarantine the primary schools were functioning, the exclusion was lower and the degree of obedience of the citizens was clearly lower.
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