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According to experts, the peak of cases is expected on November 10, while they warn of an even greater increase in deaths in the coming days.
The second wave of the coronavirus pandemic in our country has been relentless, with dramatic increase in deaths Y launch of intubated in ICU, while the cases registered daily are fixed four digits. This scenario made it necessary to impose a universal confinement for three weeks, without anyone being able to say with certainty, however, if it will be the last.
Meanwhile, as broadcast by OPEN TV, according to experts, The peak of cases is expected on November 10., while they have also warned about even greater increase in deaths The following days. However, they emphasize that cases will be significantly reduced if the measures are followed.
Sarigiannis – AUTh: Alternate lockout – 21 days closed, 14 open
De-escalation of cases after November 10, reaching 500 cases Daily on November 30, he provides the computer model of the professor of Environmental Engineering of the Department of Chemical Engineering of the Polytechnic School of AUTh, Demosthenes Sarigiannis.
“Starting on the 10th of the month, where we expect a peak of cases of perhaps more than 3,000, we will begin to have a rapid decompression of the situation. I wait until November 30, about 500 cases, maybe a little more, and then the economy will open carefully. The overwhelming epidemiological burden of both Attica just like her Thessaloniki “It is reflected in the sewage from both areas,” he told Open TV. Mr. Sarigiannis.
Despite the temporary epidemiological decompression, the professor believes that the State will have to take other restrictive measures in the future. As he said, his proposal is the implementation of alternative premises emergency shutdown. This plan foresees 21 days of lockout and 14 days of opening, repeating this model three to four times, to drive safely until March. This proposal estimates that the daily incidence will be close to 500 to 800, thus contributing to decompress the health system, since more than 200 patients will end up in the ICU, a manageable number for the National Health System.
Christmas without quarantine and careful opening of the focus
According to Mr. Sarigiannis, after November 30 we left the katholikon emergency shutdown with some restrictive measures, with the reopening of retail and other business activities and a very careful opening of the focus. At the same time, it states that we will spend Christmas carefully For his part, Stylianos Loukidis, pulmonologist, associate professor at the Faculty of Medicine, 2nd Pulmonary Clinic of the EKPA Faculty of Medicine, PGN “Attikon” estimated that we will see results in 3 weeks if the measurements are observed while he stated that there are no evidence that.
“In hospitals we have a greater number of hospitalizations and intubations. The treatment of these patients lasts days, they do not leave the hospital quickly … And that overwhelms the health units. I think we can bear it if the model is confirmed. No health system can withstand a large number of incidents. In ATTICA, as in all hospitals, we are in the process of managing cases ”, he added. Mr. Loukidis.
