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From the 207 on Saturday, intubated numbers rose to 228.
Respectively, the dead from 34 rose to 35 within 24 hours, numbers we didn’t see a few days ago.
The focus of the experts is on whether the measures of the universal blockade will bear fruit, which according to estimates are not seen immediately, but at least after 15-20 days.
Linen: The boxes will increase in the coming days
Professor of Epidemiology Athena Linou, speaking Sunday night in the main ANT1 newsletter, estimated that in the coming days the Health system will receive more pressure and possibly there is a greater increase in cases.
Cases will increase next days because the latest measures are in force just a few 24 hours and there was also overcrowding in several places on Friday, according to the professor.
Ms. Linou emphasized that:
“And, of course, we cannot be sure that because there is a lockdown there will not be an immediate increase in cases. Ultimately, in combination with lockdown, enforcement, and all the other measures that we need to observe, we will be able to reduce the number “.
How many ICUs are available
The Ministry of Health reports that a total of 1,063 ICUs operate throughout the country, of which 734 are occupied and 329 are vacant.
According to the same information, of the 643 non-Covid ICUs, 475 are occupied while the vacancy is 26% (168 beds).
Of the 420 ICUs for Covid patients, 259 are occupied while 38% (161 beds) are empty.
The situation is suffocating in North greece, as the Covid ICUs serving the needs of Thessaloniki (including Halkidiki and Kavala hospitals) are currently 124.
Of these, only 31 are vacant (25%) while 93 are occupied.
In Attica hospitals, the ICU-COVID is currently 168. Of these, 112 are occupied and 56 are vacant (33%).
The total number of beds available nationwide for confirmed COVID-19 cases is 4,452.
Alternative closure proposal until March
In turn, the computer model of the professor of Environmental Engineering of the Department of Chemical Engineering of the Polytechnic School of the AUTh, Demosthenes Sarigiannis, predict de-escalation of cases after November 10, reaching 500 daily on November 30.
“Starting on the 10th of the month, where we expect a peak of cases of perhaps more than 3,000, we will begin to have a rapid decompression of the situation. I’m waiting until November 30 about 500 cases maybe a little longer and then the economy will open carefully. “The heavy epidemiological burden of Attica and Thessaloniki is reflected in the wastewater from both areas,” Sarigiannis told Open TV.
In spite of the temporary epidemiological decompression the professor believes that the State will have to take other restrictive measures in the future. As he said, his proposal is the implementation of an alternate local closure.
This plan provides 21 days closed and 14 open, repeating this model three to four times, to be able to drive safely until March. This proposal estimates that the daily incidence will be close to 500 to 800, thus contributing to decompress the health system, as no more than 200 patients will end up in the ICU, manageable number for the National Health System.
Check Scan – Fine “Rain”
However, for discipline the the citizens With the measures, police controls are spread throughout the country.
Dozens of cases The citizens who did not comply with the restriction measures were identified by the competent control authorities and executed provided fines, yesterday Saturday, its first day of validity emergency shutdown.
According to official data released by the National Transparency Authority, on Saturday checks in 10.808 points of interest and fines were imposed in 78 cases, totaling 29,250 euros mainly for not wearing a mask and not sending SMS.
In three cases the respective companies were imposed and a sanction 15 day suspension.
Special emphasis was placed on the issue of pedestrian and vehicle movements (toll stations, public transport, boats, cars and trucks) with controls, especially on Saturday morning, to have the character of informing citizens about the new measures.
At the same time, the control S in nursing homes, health food stores, food stores and flea markets.
According to the independent authority, inspections will continue with an undiminished intensity throughout the territory based on epidemiological data and other data collected by inspection authorities in order to protect public health.