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Lockdown: De-escalation of cases after November 10, reaching 500 cases per day on November 30, predicts the computer model of the professor of Environmental Engineering of the Department of Chemical Engineering of the Polytechnic School of AUTh, Demosthenes Sarigiannis.
“Starting on the 10th of the month, where we expect a peak of cases of perhaps more than 3,000, we will begin to have a rapid decompression of the situation. I wait until November 30, about 500 cases, maybe a little more, and then the economy will open carefully. The overwhelming epidemiological burden in Attica and Thessaloniki is reflected in the wastewater from both areas “he told Open TV.
Emergency shutdown and again
Despite the temporary epidemiological decompression, the professor estimates that the State must take other restrictive measures in the future.
As he said, his proposal is the implementation of alternative premises emergency shutdown.
This plan provides 21 days of lockdown and 14 days of relaxation., repeating this pattern three to four times in order like this drive safely through march.
This proposal estimates that the daily incidence will vary daily about 500 to 800, thus contributing to decompress the health system, since no more than 200 patients will end up in the ICU, number that the National Health System can manage.
Christmas without quarantine
According to Mr. Sarigiannis, after November 30 we left the universal confinement with some restrictive measures, with reopening of retail and other commercial activities and very careful opening of the restaurant.
Next to, predicts that we will spend Christmas carefully but openly.
For your part, oh Stylianos Loukidis pulmonologist, associate professor of the Faculty of Medicine, 2nd Pulmonary Clinic of the EKPA Faculty of Medicine, PGN “Attikon” estimated that we will see results in 3 weeks if the measurements are followed, while he stated that there is no evidence that the virus has mutated.
“In hospitals we have a greater number of hospitalizations and intubations. The treatment of these patients lasts days, they do not leave the hospital quickly. And this overwhelms the health units. I think we can bear it if the model is confirmed. No health system can withstand a large number of incidents. At ATTICA, as in all hospitals, we are in the process of case management “, added.
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