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The country is under the “Damocles sword” of the crown. The thousands of cases and deaths that are registered daily confirm in the most tragic way that the pandemic constantly threatens our lives.
Hospitals are suffocating since, in addition to the particularly high number of patients with coronavirus, they are called upon to treat those who need hospitalization for other diseases, while the prognosis for the next few days is ominous as the second wave of the pandemic has not yet reached its peak. Maximum point.
The numbers are staggering: the “black” record of 34 deaths Saturday and 2,556 new cases is as shocking as the number of people intubated Saturday was 207, surpassing 200 for the first time. NSS is in a marginal state.
Anxiety is intensified by the fact that according to experts, the “battle” in the ICU is now being fought by people of the productive ages and not by the elderly.
The government and experts emphasize the need for respectful compliance with restrictive measures, noting that over the next two weeks or so, at the end of which the blockade is expected to bear fruit, we will see a large increase in cases and deaths.
After these, the imposition of the quarantine to stop the frenzied course of the coronavirus, came as a one-way street. It is indicative that many scientists characterize the lockdown primarily as a necessary medical tool, noting that the number of cases in the near future will determine whether it will be lifted on November 30 or not.
They point out that the first 7 days and then the 14 days will show how much longer it will take to control the pandemic in our country.
The dark days await us …
According to Vima tis Kyriakis, in the next few days, daily life is expected to be flooded with the “black” news generated by the pandemic, since the wave has not yet reached its peak, so the vicious circle of imports and intubations continues at a dramatic pace. .
It is characteristic that experts have estimated that 14% of positive cases will require hospitalization, of which two out of ten will develop serious complications, as a consequence of which they will pass through the door of the Intensive Care Unit. However, only 30% of them will survive.
Hospitals are already suffocating as, in addition to the particularly high number of coronavirus patients, they are called upon to treat those who need hospitalization for other illnesses.
“The health system is under pressure.” If we continued to move at this rate, we would not reach the hospitals, “EINAP president Matina Pagoni stressed in the” MEGA Weekend “program, usually referring to the period of the October 20-22, during which we had an immediate tripling of cases, while three are the critical parameters: the number of cases, intubated and hospitalized.
Ms Pagoni also stood firm on the pressure received by hospitals not only from coronavirus patients but also from all patients. As he characteristically said, “uncovered patients must be cared for, they must be operated on.” Then there was pressure because not all sections can be covid. “
“40-43% of those intubated with Covid in the ICU die”
At the same time, the item cited in the same program by Theodoros Vasilakopoulos, Professor of Intensive Care Pulmonology at the University of Athens Faculty of Medicine, is terrifying:
According to the professor, although in a magical way we could multiply by ten the number of hospitals and intensive care units that we have in the country, the problem of mortality from coronavirus would continue, since of those intubated with Covid in ICU, 40-43 % go dead.
“It is necessary to develop as many intensive care beds as possible, which will continue to be a legacy for Greece. But it is not a solution to the pandemic to say that we have thousands of beds either in simple or intensive care,” he said, explaining that if We got to the point of using all these beds we would have millions of dead. “Therefore, we must stop the pandemic and reduce the number of patients,” Vasilakopoulos said, warning that even if the quarantine ends, we will have to learn to live with the coronavirus.
It is necessary to observe the measurements
Ms. Matina Pagoni referred to the crowd caused two days before the closing and noted that the results in terms of cases will be seen in 15 days.
Regarding the measures, he stressed that if we all adapt, then in three weeks we will begin to see results with a reduction in cases. Then we can move on to the next stage, with the gradual lifting of the measures. However, protective measures such as wearing a mask indoors and outdoors, distances, and more will be maintained.
If we adapt to all the measures, we will help them to open shops and work on Christmas days, always with great care ”, he added.
The conditions to end the confinement
However, when asked if a triple-digit number of cases is required to reopen the market, Ms. Pagoni replied: “Of course. We cannot go to store openings etc if we are not below 1,000 boxes. a day. “We have a long way to go,” he said.
For her part, Ms. Athena Linou, Professor of Epidemiology at the EKPA School of Medicine, speaking with MEGA, said: “The truth is that during the last three weeks there has been a serious indication of an exponential increase in cases. access to all epidemiological data. I do not know if the decision that was political had non-medical financial components. “Other measures should have been taken, but obviously it was not possible.”
Regarding whether the three weeks of confinement will be enough to stop the spread of the virus, he said: “It will depend on how the measures and auxiliary measures are implemented in the confinement.” Mask, distancing, hygiene measures, outdoor use and tests, if they work together with the lockdown, we can see a reduction in cases in three weeks. “
According to Ms. Linou, by next Saturday we will have some increase in asymptomatic cases, “but in the real cases as a whole I think there will be a decrease, and from then on they will begin to decrease. I think this blocking measure will bear fruit. if it is done together with the other measures. Many functions are still open. The State is working, some people are going to work, we do not know if the confinement will work so that there is no overcrowding in the MMM, in the schools if the weather is bad the children will be in. I would suggest that remote work and studies that inform us about what is happening be maximized, ”Ms. Linou emphasized.
We estimate that at Attica we have up to 80,000 institutions “
“The scientific community in March had predicted how pandemics tend to be. Pandemics have continuous waves. This is the message we must give to the world so that we have patience,” emphasized Nikos Thomaidis, professor of Analytical Chemistry at EKPA.
“At the moment it seems that we are on the rise of the second big wave in Greece. In the last 14 days, cases in Greece have increased by more than 200%. The viral load in the effluent increased considerably. There is a similar picture in large countries. The climax comes after a few days, up to ten days. In March we closed very quickly and leveled the curve, “said Mr. Thomaidis.
“We estimate that the dispersion at this time in Attica is between 1.5-2%, that is, 60-80 thousand institutions. This will translate into cases in the coming days. This is a reality. Approximately 4.2 million people live in Attica. It is not a scary percentage. We must understand that many are now asymptomatic because the ages of the institutions have decreased ”, added Mr. Thomaidis.
Mask everywhere until spring
Meanwhile, the measure of the mask will definitely accompany us until the spring months, as clarified by Health Minister Vassilis Kikilias, emphasizing that in order to safely get out of this adventure and return our lives to normal again, we must respect the rules. sanitary.
The Health Minister appealed to older people and vulnerable groups to pay special attention in the coming weeks.
He stressed that if the measures are observed, the percentage of positivity will decrease and cited Israel as an example, which in a few weeks managed to lower the blinds from ten thousand to three digits.
The situation in hospitals
Hospitals, however, are at their limits. Licenses for all staff have been suspended, while in the “red” areas regular surgeries are limited to 80%.
Many hospitals are emptying clinics to create coronavirus beds. It is indicative that until Saturday night 180 people were hospitalized at AHEPA. For days now, patients have been transferred from the ICU to private clinics.
The evacuation process from the psychiatric, surgical and neurosurgical clinic is in progress. Patients are transferred to the psychiatric hospital in Thessaloniki.
At the same time, other clinics from the Papanikolaou Hospital were evacuated: ophthalmology, otorhinolaryngology and psychiatric clinic.
The goal is to decongest, so that Covid patients can be admitted.
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