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Suppose a breakfast, 100 positive people in coronavirus reach a country on the planet where not a single case of the new influenza strain has been recorded, for example in the Kiribati archipelago of Oceania, the Republic of Nauru in the South Pacific or the kingdom of Tonga of some 170 islands scattered throughout all of New Zealand.
Given that each person infected with Covid-19 transmits the disease worldwide to an average of about 3.5 people, these 100 should infect another 350 and these 350 in turn infect others. 1,225 and it goes without saying, correct; Error! The transmission speed will be much higher and even from the first link in the chain, from 100 positives in the virus that entered the virgin from the country of the disease.
The 20/80 rule
For at least two decades the scientific community has discovered that in the transmission of infectious diseases, unfortunately not all are the same and the so-called 20/80 rule applies. That is, about 20% of carriers transmit infections to much more than the average. These … transmitters have also been identified in the coronavirus and they are not numerically negligible, we are talking about almost one in every 5 vectors.
There are many factors
Scholars have not yet clarified the reason why this happens. Most likely it is due to multiple factors. For example, your immune system may not easily suppress the Sars-Cov2 coronavirus (even though the person has absolutely no symptoms and feels fine) or there may be a higher dose of the virus in the body or a combination of the two or something like that. different. However, one thing is for sure. That it is impossible to know who is a new transmitter of the new strain of flu and who is not. Of course he doesn’t know either.
The fatal conference
A typical case has been reported by the British newspaper “The Guardian”, a 50-year-old Englishman who became infected with coronavirus when the disease became known, when he went to Singapore to attend a scheduled professional conference. Unaware that he was already a carrier of the virus, he went skiing at the French alpine resort of Le Condamine Monzua (near the border with Italy). Upon returning by air to the UK, he begins to show the first symptoms and testing in the Brighton area is positive for the coronavirus. They immediately quarantine him, but the damage has already been done.
Tracing his contacts, he discovered that he had infected at least 5 other people in the French chalet, including a 9-year-old boy. Along with the coronavirus, people who had attended the Singapore conference and had sex with it were also found, while people sitting on the plane seats around them were also tested. A single vector had inadvertently infected many more people than the average.
A woman with typhoid fever had infected 51 people in 1900
The same goes for the others infectious diseases. In the distant 1900 a woman was found with a typhus that had infected 51 people. More recently, in 1995, two people alone infected 50 people in the Democratic Republic of the Congo with the Ebola virus, which causes severe hemorrhagic fever, while in 1998, a Finnish student with measles infected 22 others. even though 8 of them had been vaccinated.
Finally, in the two years 2002-2003, when the Sars acute respiratory syndrome epidemic broke out (caused by nasopharyngeal bats in caves in the Chinese province of Yunnan), people were found again, this time in Singapore, who contracted the disease up to 10 people. everybody.
The solution is only in masks at the moment.
In this case, in the context of facing the coronavirus, to stop all this evil and prevent the transmitters from acting uncontrollably, which could potentially be us, we must reduce the contacts for life and all wear and tear. mask. There is no other solution until the vaccine and then the 2019 Coronavirus disease drug is first released, or else the 2019-nCoV acute respiratory law is scientifically known as coronavirus.
And it concerns everyone, whether they are transmitters or not, since the first to be protected are those who belong to the so-called vulnerable groups of the population, so they are not forced to be hospitalized in an intensive care unit and some of them lose life. its.
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