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The outcome of the 2020 US elections is expected to be decided in ten ambiguous states, which may tip the balance in favor of one gladiator or another.
And that’s why both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have turned their attention there and thrown the full weight of their recent election campaign on their way to the polls to secure the required 270 votes out of a total of 538 from the Electoral College.
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In 2016, Donald Trump prevailed in all six key state states: Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Arizona. This time around, the average poll, according to Real Clear Politics, gives Joe Biden the upper hand. The former vice president of the United States also leads in Georgia, a state that has had a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976. However, in the Democratic field, optimism is contained, since Hillary Clinton also led the polls in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Wisconsin, but in the end his Republican opponent won out.
Florida
For Trump, Florida is vital if he wants to be re-elected president, as the “sunny state” with its large community of Cuban voters and many retirees – two traditionally conservative groups of voters – has 29 voters. Indicative of the importance that the Republican president attaches to the battle of Florida is that he exercised his right to vote there a few days ago. Joe Biden’s four-point lead in early October has closed about one point there, and the Democratic nominee hopes to draw votes from young people, especially Hispanics, with an increased sensitivity to immigration issues. Donald Trump had won Florida in the last election thanks to the votes of the elders. Only this time things can turn out differently, since this age group has been the most affected by the coronavirus and they may want to punish the occupant of the White House for the catastrophic management of the pandemic.
North Carolina
Donald Trump relies heavily on the votes of whites, farm workers and elders, as well as evangelical voters, whose support was decisive four years ago for his victory in North Carolina. Joe Biden, on the other hand, is looking forward to the votes of educated African Americans and whites to extract the 15 voters from that state. But even here, the lead it held in the polls has been significantly reduced and almost gone.
Pennsylvania
In previous US elections, Donald Trump had won by a narrow margin of just 44,000 votes the traditional Democratic Pennsylvania with 20 voters, which has been affected by globalization and industrial decline. Biden, who was born in Pennsylvania and has a 4% stake there, has urban voters, seniors and workers who turned their backs on Hillary Clinton to retake Pennsylvania.
Trump, on the other hand, wants to take advantage of white votes from rural areas and limit his losses to black voters, promising a “fantastic” economic recovery if he is reelected.
Wisconsin
Four years ago, Hillary Clinton bypassed the “American Dairy” with 10 voters, with the result that Wisconsin gave Trump the victory. In this election, Biden has a poll advantage of six percentage points, but the battle will be ambiguous in a state where two people lost their lives in clashes between the far-right and anti-racists last August.
Michigan
Donald Trump had managed in 2016 to win all 16 electoral votes in this historically Democratic state, promising economic prosperity in this former industrial zone. Democrats trust the votes of white suburban voters, the black community, and unionized workers.
With a six-point lead, Joe Biden is also confident in the governor’s popularity. Gretchen whitmer, a fierce opponent of Trump, who was also the target of a kidnapping plot by a far-right militia.
Arizona
Joe Biden hopes to make the big surprise in Arizona with his 11-vote Democratic nominee since 1996. His lead there has been reduced to less than one unit, but he’s looking forward to the vote of young Hispanics in urban centers that have pushed Kirsten Cinema. to the Senate two years ago.
Donald Trump has been ostracized by some conservative voters in the war he declared against the hero of the Vietnam War, the senator. John McCain, who didn’t even want to attend her funeral two years ago. On the other hand, it is based on the votes of those who react to illegal immigration and approve the construction of the infamous wall on the border with Mexico.
Georgia
Donald Trump had obtained 16 votes in Georgia in 2016, but in recent polls he was slightly behind Biden, who is based on the vote of the African American community (32%) of the population and voters in urban centers, who traditionally vote for them. support. Democrats.
Trump, again, promises a program that will improve the financial situation of blacks. Both gladiators also advocate for white voters in wealthy suburbs.
Iowa
In 2016, Donald Trump easily prevailed in this sparsely populated, deeply religious, rural, majority-white state that had voted for Barack Obama twice, in 2008 and 2012, and may repeat his triumph this time. as a recent survey showed.
Ohio
Four years ago, Donald Trump prevailed in Ohio by 8% with 18 overseas voters, attracting frustrated Democrats whom Joe Biden is trying to bring back to his camp after the current White House resident failed to comply, despite the promises. jobs in that state, which is affected by
industrial crisis and relocation of factories abroad, and in which the situation is worrying for farmers. A few hours before the elections, the two gladiators appeared almost the same at the polls.
Texas
After Florida, Texas with 38 voters, which has been voting for Republican candidates in every election since 1980, is the other state that Trump shouldn’t lose if he wants to be reelected. The Republican president is betting on his anti-immigration policy and his support for the oil industry, but Biden may be surprised by the changing demographic makeup of the state, including the growing Hispanic community, and the mobilization he expects from new graduates from urban centers.
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