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The president once again ran in his current favorite role, as an advocate for law and order in America. First he trudged through the rubble of a burning house, then got himself photographed with the police.
What happened here is really bad, said Donald Trump on a visit to the southern Wisconsin city of Kenosha. The unrest, the protests after the execution of black Jacob Blake a few days ago. This is not a “peaceful protest” but “internal terrorism”.
But fortunately there are the police and the national guard. They took action and got the situation back under control, he praised. Law and order are a great thing, Trump said. “Some people think these are terrible words: law and order. But they are not: they are beautiful.”
Trump’s visit to Kenosha lasted only a few hours, and then the president was already on his way back to Washington. In his opinion, the short visit must have been worth it anyway.
Once again, Trump was able to get his message across to the electorate in front of the nation’s television cameras: he alone will be the guarantor of security in the country in the future. The Democrats, their candidate Joe Biden, and the radical leftists, arsonists and looters, however, would lead America into the abyss. Like kenosha.
Good polls for Trump
It’s a fairly simple tactic the president uses to try to win over voters. He wants to present himself as a strong man with the “Law and Order” course and at the same time distract himself from the massive problems of the country in the crown pandemic.
The bet may or may not work. With some nervousness, both Republicans and Trump Democrats are on the lookout for possible evidence of a mood swing among the electorate. The true state of mind of the nation has not been clarified after the two-party conventions, after Kenosha and the recent riots in Portland.
One thing is certain: In recent polls, there have been some swings in favor of Trump. An Emerson College poll sees challenger Joe Biden nationwide just two percentage points ahead of Trump (49 to 47 percent). Around the same time, other institutes like Morning Consult continue to report devastating approval ratings for Trump: A good 58 percent of Americans are dissatisfied with the president, only 38 percent are satisfied.
Trump’s attempt to hold elections to a referendum on law and order makes some sense, but it is not a sure success. Analyzes Washington Opinion Poll Expert Amy Walter from Cook’s Political Report. Trump tries to target primarily working-class white voters, his base. He wanted to keep her away from Joe Biden at all costs. Other voters, especially women, in wealthy suburbs would be put off by Trump’s actions at the same time.
Walters sees the reason for this in Trump’s inability to condemn the violence of his followers in Kenosha and elsewhere. In Kenosha, a presidential fanatic allegedly killed two people; In Portland, Oregon, Trump supporters raced their cars through groups of Black Lives Matter protesters over the weekend.
In none of these cases has Trump so far clearly distanced himself from the violence. Walters: “Trump is not helping defuse the situation. He is feeding it.” The president is therefore a bad ambassador for a policy of “public order”.
Conspiracy theories straight from the president
In fact, Trump does little or nothing to appear as a healer or a reconciler. He shows little understanding of the Black Lives Matter movement and downplays cases of police violence against blacks. Some officials would fail under pressure, a bit like golfers on the hole, Trump said, referring to the police shooting Jacob Blake.
Rather than reach out to his opponents, Trump falls back on his old passion for spreading unbridled rumors. In an interview with the Fox News broadcaster, his challenger Biden is rumored to be being remotely controlled by dark forces, “people you’ve never heard of.”
At the same time, the president reported on a plane full of leftist “black-clad criminals” who were said to be heading to the Republican convention in Washington last week to disrupt it. The matter is currently being “investigated”, Trump said without providing further evidence. Even Fox’s right-wing interviewer Laura Ingraham probably went too far. Trump’s comments would sound a lot like a conspiracy theory, he said.
A repeat of the midterm elections?
Trump’s actions in this election campaign are reminiscent of his tactics in the 2018 congressional elections. At the time, Trump warned against the ever-new so-called “caravans” of tens of thousands of immigrants marching toward the US border to “invade” the country. Although the real risk of an immigrant storm at the border was low, the “hordes” and “caravans” became the centerpiece of a campaign of fear with which Trump wanted to win the election.
As is well known, the matter did not end too well for him: Trump managed to get many of his loyal fans to the polls in the strongholds. Republicans defended their majority in the Senate.
But at the same time, Democrats won a clear majority in the House of Representatives. They mobilized their own supporters who absolutely wanted to teach Trump a lesson. Above all, however, Democrats won voters in the big city suburbs who had voted for Trump in 2016.
Trump suffered significant defeats in many places in the so-called battle states, such as Arizona or Pennsylvania. If this scenario is repeated in the presidential elections on November 3, it will be very difficult for the president.
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