US Elections: Democrats Uncomfortable

reOn the penultimate day before the election, the president went on a grand tour: Donald Trump, 74, had performances in five states on Sunday: Michigan, Iowa, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida.

From eight in the morning until just under one on Monday morning (local time) I wanted to go with him Air Force One travel half the country. His challenger Joe Biden, 77, thought he was more manageable. The Democratic presidential candidate wanted to hold various events in Pennsylvania. The state that Biden grew up in and is, in a sense, on the doorstep of his current home in Delaware, is believed to be potentially critical to power over the White House.

Within the Trump and Biden campaigns, nervousness over the outcome of Tuesday’s election is mounting. Republicans are already debating a possible loss of power in the Senate, where they currently have a majority. If they lost this key position, it would be a heavy burden even if Trump were re-elected. Personnel decisions like the recent confirmation of Trump’s Supreme Court candidate Amy Coney Barrett would hardly be possible for them in the event of a Democratic majority.

A Trump victory in Florida would be fatal for Democrats

Despite comfortable national polls, Democrats are uneasy about Biden’s previously low turnout and comparatively small lead in the key state of Pennsylvania. A recent poll also sees Trump ahead in the race for populous Florida. A Trump victory in Florida and Pennsylvania would significantly darken Biden’s prospects for a presidency.

Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell sees the chance that his party will have a majority in the second House of the Senate is “50 percent.” In good German: McConnell believes the Democrats are likely to take power back in the Senate for the first time in six years. There are currently 53 senators for Republicans and 47 for Democrats. 35 senators, 22 Republicans and 13 Democrats can be elected.

McConnell praised the success of the Democrats’ fundraising and spoke of exciting election campaigns in various states. According to polls, Republicans are losing their Senate seats in Colorado and Arizona, and possibly also in Maine, Iowa, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Montana. In Alabama, the Senate seat is likely to shift from Democrats to Republicans. McConnell admitted that Democrats had managed to close the races even in once structurally Republican states like Kansas, Georgia and South Carolina.

Reprimand the Republicans

Within the Republican Party there is already the first fault for possible electoral defeats. For example, the executive director of the Republicans responsible for Senate election campaigns, Kevin McLaughlin, complained: “The president is losing Arizona.” Trump and former Republican Sen. Martha McSally, 54, are “very connected,” McLaughlin said of the Washington Post. “Aforementioned. In the 2016 election, Trump won Arizona by three percentage points, and he is now behind Biden in various polls.

Trump held a rally in Goodyear, Arizona on Wednesday. His deal with McSally, who was also campaigning, showed a clear distance. It only allowed a minimal appearance. “Do you have a minute! Wait a minute, Martha! “Trump called her from the stage:” Martha. Come on. … Quick. Quick, quick, quick, quick ”. McSally is polled behind her Democratic challenger, 56-year-old former astronaut Mark Kelly. He has raised $ 82 million in donations, nearly double the incumbent.

Republican strategists view Biden’s good poll numbers with concern, even in conservative states like Georgia, the Washington Post reports. A 50 percent approval for Biden in Georgia is “terrifying.” In Georgia, two Republican senators are running for re-election due to a by-election.

In the case of Democratic power in the Senate, its former minority leader Chuck Schumer, 69, could replace McConnell, 78. McConnell is poised for re-election even in Republican-dominated Kentucky. If he reaches a Senate with 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans each, the respective vice president will tip the balance. In the event of Trump’s reelection, Vice President Mike Pence, 61, would have to participate in important votes in the Second House of Congress, and in the event of Biden’s victory, Vice President Kamala Harris, 56.

Trump mobilizes more

Just a few days ago, Republicans were eagerly absorbing the positive news from the polling front. When the Internet portal Realclearpolitics suddenly put the average of the latest surveys in Arizona between 47 and 47 percent, Vice President Pence immediately released the corresponding screenshot. On Sunday, Biden in Arizona was again one percentage point ahead of Trump.

The latest national polls show Biden far ahead of Trump. This also applies to polling stations that are “less suspicious” from a Republican point of view and work for the television station Fox News and the “Wall Street Journal.” Fox puts Biden’s lead at eight percentage points, the “Wall Street Journal” even at ten percentage points. Republicans can’t consider both polls fake news or the result of left wing opinion makers. Meanwhile, state polls, and only their results are important, are sometimes tight. In Florida, sometimes Biden is seen, sometimes Trump.

Biden’s lead in Pennsylvania recently fell, to an average of just four percentage points, as Realclearpolitics has calculated. That is a value within the margin of error.

Pennsylvania has 20 seats on the electoral body, the outcome here may be decisive for the next presidency. Trump won the state in 2016. “I’m worried about Pennsylvania,” said Democratic election strategist Neil Oxman of the Washington Post. Trump supporters “will come out a little stronger than our base,” he fears. In Pennsylvania, fewer people voted or voted by letter before Election Day than in other states. Only 38 percent of 2016 voters voted there on Sunday.

Biden campaigned in Pennsylvania on Sunday. A visit to a Baptist church in Philadelphia and a drive-in speech were on his agenda. Trump wants to travel to Pennsylvania again on Monday. On Sunday, the president was confident of victory over supporters in Michigan. About Biden, Trump said, “I don’t think he knows he’s losing.”

According to a media report, Trump could declare himself the winner before the end of the vote count if he had an advantage on US election night. The Axios news website reported on Sunday (local time), citing three unidentified sources, that the Republican had discussed plans with his confidants.

Meanwhile, the highest court in Texas dismissed a lawsuit against nearly 127,000 self-serve votes. He rejected a petition pushed by Republicans on Sunday that votes should not be evaluated. The Harris County vote dispute will continue in federal court on Monday.