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In a few days, the Chancellor and the heads of country will meet for the change of Crown: in view of the rapid increase in the number of infections, there is probably only one way to go, because the federal and state governments still do not have a solution in the crucial moment. points.
Are there additional facilities or is there just the next blockade? Next Monday, the federal and state governments will discuss how Germany will get through the Easter days.
According to the current infection situation and the decision of March 3, more openings would be possible on paper: Germany has a seven-day incidence of 86. And only from a value of 100 infections per 100,000 inhabitants, the brake of emergency should re-enter emergency shutdown.
But turn around now however, the top counties with the highest number of cases. And for the rest, politicians are currently being reminded that a newspaper has not yet established a policy against a pandemic.
It is the basics of the crisis, the law of the virus, which can be read in the statistics of the Robert Koch Institute: the recently decided relaxation, no matter how “light” it is, leads to more contacts. They in turn assure that the number of infections is increasing. With Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt and Thuringia, three federal states already passed the 100 mark on Wednesday. Others are exceeding it. No change in trend in sight. As well as?
Highway to the third wave
The current development does not surprise either the experts or a large part of the population that is now trained in Corona. The “Paths to Freedom”, loudly acclaimed by some and revealed by the early March resolution, criticized others from the start as a fast track to the third wave. The “irrationals” are on the decline, epidemiologists now judge even more clearly shortly before the next Corona shift, the third wave is just beginning. Intensive care physicians warn of overload and demand strict lockdown. Many Germans are busy booking flights to Mallorca.
In view of the aggravated infection and the inconsistent reporting situation for the Corona switchboard on Monday, loosening up is nearly impossible. As much as the super election year draws politics, as much as the economy suffers, as much as people are drawn to the Easter holidays.
On Tuesday, Berlin was the first federal state to draw conclusions from an incidence that jumped from 75 to more than 90 in one day: the next initial step will be skipped, there will be no face-to-face lessons for other students and no vacancies. in culture and gastronomy. The newly confirmed Prime Minister of Baden-Württemberg, Kretschmann, also announced that he was considering suspending new vacancies and discussing “what can be risked” on Monday.
But the central question will be: can you risk anything at all? Wasn’t the limit of 100 absurd from the beginning and was the risk of falling into exponential growth too high? Does the country have to return to the blockade right now? At the moment, Germany’s case numbers are similar to those at the end of October, when Chancellor Merkel and the prime minister agreed to strict contact restrictions.
Macron tried without blocking, and seems defeated
Our neighbor France has tried differently in recent weeks. Here, at the end of January, President Emmanuel Macron issued the new slogan, with a view to the economy in crisis, of absolutely wanting to avoid the closure of schools, commerce and companies. Macron’s new motto, contrary to the recommendation of his experts: just don’t block. A strict requirement for masks, a nationwide curfew starting at 6pm, only local closures in the case of very high case numbers, testing and vaccination should suffice. This is the plan. But the result is sobering.
France currently has a 7-day incidence of more than 240 infections per 100,000 inhabitants, in the Paris metropolitan area the incidence exceeds 400. Above all, the number of serious cases that must be treated in intensive care units is increasing. Experts assume that the reason for this development is the more aggressive British variant of the virus, which has already established itself in Germany.
Some regions are extremely polluted and hospitals are already overcrowded. Patients have been transferred to Germany and abroad for days. After nearly two months of experimentation, another U-turn is already becoming apparent: Macron announced earlier in the week that he would soon have to make painful decisions. The attempt at relative freedom without widespread vaccinations appears to have failed.
If there is no progress in vaccination and testing, all that remains is blockage.
The starting position in Germany is similar to that in France: you cannot advance fast enough with vaccination. In particular, Astrazeneca’s vaccination ban currently prevents young drivers of the pandemic from being promptly immunized. New test options have been approved with rapid tests, but one crucial step is still missing: positive results are not yet included in evaluations by health authorities and the RKI.
The testing strategy only frayed rather than sharpened, identification of risk groups remains impossible, and with it any targeted intervention, any form of control. Politics is still in the dark. The lockdown will likely remain the only solution because the federal and state governments are making little headway at crucial construction sites – testing and vaccination.
After all, the willingness to acknowledge one’s failure appears to have increased in some in the 13th month of the pandemic. With the Prime Minister of Saxony, Michael Kretschmer (CDU), he suggests a blocking tone before the change on Monday, which in the first months of the pandemic liked to push for regional exceptions. The mayors of Erzgebirge, who insisted on openings regardless of the incidence, in an open letter, rejected with very simple words: “It does not work.” The opening strategy of the federal and state governments since the beginning of March had failed. Now we have to listen more to science and try to “get back to the situation.”
It remains to be seen whether the chancellor, who always preferred the cautious course but recently seemed tired of the government, will find equally clear words for the country’s leaders on Monday, and reason and science also dominate the country’s leaders in the days after the crown. change.
