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COVID-19 pandemic
Is Corona really weakening? Three facts under control
The death rate from corona is decreasing, the number of infections is increasing. Is Corona weakening? We show why three factors are important.
Corona: when to talk about a second wave
Concern about the second wave is growing: Covid-19 infections have risen significantly again since August. The RKI describes the development as “very worrying”.
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Berlin / Paris / Madrid.
- The number of corona infections is increasing in many countries, but the death rate remains at a lower level.
- That was different with the first wave earlier in the year.
- Therefore, it is disputed whether Corona has weakened. Is this statement true?
- Three factors provide a better description to clarify this question.
There are two curves with which pandemic at the end of this summer: the number of New infections remembered today in many European countries, especially in Spain and France, the first would be Crown-Welle.
Also in Germany the number of new cases is on the rise again. the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) The last time a positive corona test was recorded in 24 hours was in 1892.
At the same time, travel advisories to the Czech capital were issued. Prague and expanded four new regions in France, including the Mediterranean island Corsica. Swiss Cantons of Geneva and Vaud they are now also considered risk areas. Read here:
These countries are corona risk areas
Corona: is the virus weakening?
But although the number of new infections is increasing, the number of Deceased comparatively low in some parts of Europe. Media: Corona no longer kills as often as at the start of the pandemic. But why is that? There are three important factors to know now.
1. Fewer deaths: are other population groups infected today?
Example Spain: The country is currently the most affected in Europe with more than half a million confirmed cases of corona. Daily they are currently around 9,000 new corona infections registered – upward trend.
- However, unlike the peak of the epidemic in March and April, most of those affected have only mild or even mild symptoms. no symptoms.
- About seven percent of those infected must be treated in the hospital. During the first wave in March and April, every second she had to go to the hospital.
- Consequently, the number of deaths is now much lower as well. At the moment, there are between 34 and 50 deaths every day, much less than in the spring, when there were as many as 900 deaths on some days.
An important reason for development: in Spain it is mean age of those infected fell from over 60 to under 40 this summer, most current corona patients are healthier and have fewer comorbidities. Read here:
Current news about the coronavirus in the news ticker
Example Germany: The RKI figures also show a clear Trend in the infection process:
The average age of the newly registered COVID-19 cases it has dropped to an average of 33 years in recent weeks according to the RKI, in contrast to the beginning of the pandemic, when the average age of new infected was more than 50 years.
- The reason for this is, among other things, the best Protection of risk groups On the one hand.
- And on the other hand the increased risk of assumption by younger people with a view to traveling and partying.
- However, since younger people are less likely to become seriously ill, the increase in the number of infections is not reflected in a higher number of deaths.
Example France: The number of cases has increased dramatically for weeks: With nearly 9,000 new infections, there was a new one last Saturday. Record value.
- A total of 42,673 new infections were recorded in one week, the proportion of positive test results rising from 4.2 percent in the previous week to 5.1 percent.
- 28 of the 99 departments are now considered risk areasbecause the daily number of new infections exceeds 50 positive tests per 100,000 inhabitants.
- At the same time, the number of French people who must be hospitalized or fall victim to the virus is on the rise again.
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Compared to the high number of cases in the first wave, this increase is “almost ridiculously small,” he said. Minister of Health Olivier Véran.
A major reason for this is likely to be the fact that most new infections now occur in the 16-40 age group, where hygiene and distance obligations are increasingly neglected.
The following also applies to all three countries:
- Thanks to systematic preventive testing, even infected people are registered without complaints that may not have been detected during the first wave.
- These cases are also increasing the number of infections, while the number of deaths remains low.
2. Has the treatment of patients with Covid-19 improved?
The teams have been in intensive care units for the past six months. I learned a lot about the virus – and now you can prevent infections much more effectively fatal course taking. While even experienced intensive care physicians broke new therapeutic territory in the face of an unknown pathogen early in the pandemic, numerous studies have now emerged indicating that successful treatment methods indicate and contain complications.
This also applies to Use of medication: For therapy Patients with severe course it was about that Ebola drug Remdesivir Approved throughout Europe with restrictions. Additionally, through early testing and widespread knowledge of Initial symptoms and now critical processes are much more likely to be addressed; This can also significantly increase the chances of survival.
Spanish experts also observe this connection: thanks to the greatest Testing capabilities infections are discovered earlier here, so treatment can start faster as well and complications are reduced.
3. Has the crown weakened?
Viruses change, they can mutate, and therefore become more dangerous or harmless, more infectious or less infectious. So far, researchers have not had enough evidence that the Sars-CoV-2 virus weakened over the course of the pandemic: There is no evidence that the virus has already changed in such a way that it is less dangerous, says the virologist of Berlin Christian Drosten.
In other countries, too, doubts are great: Spanish epidemiologists emphasize that Sars-CoV-2 has not lost any of its virulence. “Infections,” the two warn Virusforscher Fernando González Candelas and Oscar Zurriaga in a new study, they “have the same potential gravity” as in the spring. Read here: Is Corona really weakening?
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