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IIt can no longer be denied that the reaction to the increased number of infections came too late. The partial block has not had the desired effect, at least so far. In mid-October, when the Chancellor spoke of the “calamity” and was left with appeals, the measures that were decided two weeks later would have been more effective.
However, the only certainty that could be drawn from the first wave with a view to the corona measures and also from the experience of the worst affected countries was: late action has its price.
The number of cases in intensive care units continues to rise
So now the number of cases, as well as the incidence, have reached such a high level that some have already recorded the stagnation as a success, or are already talking about the second wave in the past tense. The fact is, however, that the number of cases in intensive care units continues to rise and the number of deaths from Covid-19 recorded daily has reached the highest level in the spring.
Therefore, the momentum of the pandemic has not yet slowed down enough. Many of those infected today will soon be treated in clinics. Especially since older people are getting more infected again.
The strenuous pressure on healthcare workers is not abating, while at the same time the rest are racking their brains on whether Christmas can take place without further contact restrictions or whether the promising vaccine can be distributed in January or April.
People are more vulnerable
Only if it were possible to reduce the growth in the number of cases by an ambitious 25 percent per week, as in the spring, the national incidence would fall below the 50 politically required cases per 100,000 people by mid-December at the latest. soon.
The second wave is more difficult because the external conditions of the virus are better and people are more susceptible. In addition, the partial lockdown reduces the range of movement of pandemic-weary citizens much less than in spring. So now a lot depends on everyone flipping the switch quickly and consistently.
