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In order to better assess the situation of the crown, epidemiologist Krause has recommended taking into account more data, not just new infections. He cited the as an important factor daily topics the number of sick people.
Epidemiologist Gérard Krause of the Helmholtz Center for Infection Research in Braunschweig cautioned against focusing exclusively on the number of new infections on the rise: “A cut-off value alone is not enough to make a risk assessment,” he said at the daily topics – and referring to the guideline, according to which the restrictions must arrive no later than if there are 50 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants in seven days.
Krause noted that health authorities and the Robert Koch Institute made much more data available that should be taken into account when assessing the crown’s situation.
Age distribution of those infected
As an example, he cited the age distribution of infected people, the number of Covid-19 patients, and the occupation of intensive care beds. “You have to get an idea of these various indicators. The infection numbers alone, which are based solely on the laboratory value, are not significant enough by themselves,” Krause continues.
He hopes that the measures are not based solely on the number of cases of 50 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants. At the same time, he advocated examining in particular the number of diseases. The development of this is more stable and easier to interpret than the number of new infections, said the epidemiologist.
More older people are infected
Looking at the next few months, Krause predicted an increase in the numbers. “Unfortunately, we are already seeing a trend that the average age of cases is increasing. That is what worries me. We have to try to protect the older generations, so they can still participate in society.” Considerations for setting up nursing home trial facilities were “in the right direction.”
From Thursday to Friday, the number of new corona virus infections in Germany rose again to more than 4,000. According to the RKI, German health authorities reported 4,516 new corona infections in one day. From Wednesday to Thursday, the value rose significantly from 2,828 to 4,058.
