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Donald Trump brings out the big show again. The full cover. Arrives floating with Air Force One at Goodyear Airfield, Arizona. Sun, blue sky, flags. Parents hold their children up high and the speakers play “We are the Champions” by Queen.
Clearly: If it depended on who is hosting the bombastic election rallies, Donald Trump would easily win this US presidential election.
Jump on stage, jump, say hello. Thousands of fans have come to see it. “We will win, we will win, we will win,” Trump yells to the cheering crowd. “Next year will be the best year in American history. We will see the biggest economic boom of all time.”
Trump makes promises, praises himself, warns of an electoral victory for his rival Joe Biden. “This is a corrupt politician. He will destroy our country,” says Trump.
So now get on with it. In the last stretch of the craziest election campaign of all, Donald Trump currently makes three to four stops a day with his fans. Arizona, Nebraska, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida over and over again. The president is everywhere.
Trump is fighting for his position
Some US media speak of Trump’s “electoral lightning”. That should sound martial and is probably meant to be. The German word “Blitz” dates back to the Luftwaffe bombing of London during World War II.
Enthusiastic Trump supporters in Goodyear.
Photo: JONATHAN ERNST / REUTERS
Trump is fighting for his office and for his power. Rarely had an incumbent American president been so clearly behind in the polls shortly before the election. The national average is almost ten percent. The president continues to spread optimism, claiming the poll is wrong. It should all go back to 2016, when she beat Hillary Clinton at the last minute. But it is doubtful that the political bill will work for him again this time.
It has become increasingly apparent in the closing days of this campaign that Democrats are on the offensive while Trump and his Republicans are under pressure. On the political map of the US, Joe Biden currently offers far more opportunities to win a majority of the votes of the state electorate than does Trump. Even the cheers of the toughest Trump fans won’t change that.
If you add up the so-called “Electoral Votes” of all those countries where polls currently see Biden in the lead by more than five percentage points, the challenger is already easily over the magic limit of 270 votes on the electoral committee that is needs to. to become president. Trump, on the other hand, now has to worry about his majorities in some of the states that he thought were safe and that he could easily win in the last election.
Travel planning shows the crisis
The fact that Trump and his people recognize the gravity of the situation is demonstrated in the campaign team’s travel plans for the final kickoff. Trump’s trip to Arizona a few days before the election is important to the president because, according to the latest polls, the Republican stronghold could fall into the hands of Democrats. Trump’s Vice President Mike Pence is traveling to Iowa for a rally because this Trump stronghold is now shaking too. In 2016, Trump was still able to win the state in the Midwest by a margin of nine percentage points. Now Biden is apparently in the lead.
Democrats are getting brave in this situation: Both Joe Biden and his runner-up candidate Kamala Harris are making more and more election stops in classic Republican strongholds. Suddenly, victory seems possible there. Biden recently traveled to Georgia and North Carolina, and Harris plans to appear in Texas this Friday. If even one of these Republican states fell to the Democrats on November 3, it would be a sensation, the famous “blue wave,” a landslide victory for Biden would then be conceivable.
But it’s not that far yet. Trump and his Republicans continue to see ways to achieve victory for themselves. As in 2016, the president wants to conquer the “Rust” belt states, that is, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. A new poll that sees Biden in Wisconsin 17 percentage points ahead is total nonsense, says Trump.
Trump is betting that as many voters as possible at the polls in the final days leading up to the election he believes will support him more reliably. They are mostly white men and women from more rural areas who do not have college degrees.
At the same time, Trump and his advisers hope they can narrow the margins between the classic support groups of Democrats in major states, that is, between black and Hispanic voters. A few renegades might be enough for Trump to shift the percentages in major states like Florida or Nevada in his favor.
Even during his appearance in Arizona, Trump repeatedly campaigned for the votes of these voters. “No one has done more for black people than I have,” yells Trump. The crowd cheers.
Yet there are hardly any representatives of those minorities in the audience that Trump would like to get excited about. Black and Hispanic Trump fans can almost be counted on the fingers of one hand in this appearance by the president.
