ARD-DeutschlandTrend: clear majority ready for vaccination



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Despite a slight decline, most Germans still want to get vaccinated as soon as a corona vaccine is available. Approval of the restrictions and government work also remains high.

Von Ellen Ehni, WDR

The willingness of Germans to get vaccinated remains at a high level, despite a slight decline: 37 percent currently say they definitely get vaccinated if they have a vaccine, in August it was seven percentage points higher. Currently, 34 percent think they are likely to get vaccinated. That has an Infratest dimap poll for ARDGermany Trend Surrender. On the other hand, 29 percent stated that they “probably don’t” or “definitely don’t want to” get vaccinated.

It could only be a matter of weeks before a Corona vaccine is officially approved. The permanent commission on vaccination has made suggestions about who will get vaccinated first and how first: first high-risk patients, then doctors and nurses, then professions of systemic relevance, such as police officers or teachers. 93 percent of Germans think the prioritization is correct.

Most consider current restrictions appropriate

Restaurants, bars and pubs have closed again since November 2, and the same applies to cultural institutions such as museums and theaters. Amateur and recreational sports are prohibited, as well as overnight stays by tourists. A good half of German citizens (54 percent) believe that these current measures are adequate, two points less compared to the previous week. 18 percent (+2) think the requirements didn’t go far enough. 26 percent (+2), on the other hand, believe the new restrictions went too far.

Most of the current measures in the electorate are supported by the Greens (70 percent), the Union and the SPD (66 percent each). In contrast, supporters of the AfD (56 percent) and the FDP (51 percent) speak of exaggerated steps.

In November, concerns about corona infection rose again: Currently, 44 percent of citizens are very concerned or very concerned that they might infect themselves or a family member with the corona virus. However, a majority of 55 percent are less concerned about this, large or small.

Great sympathy for the new US president.

Germans show a lot of sympathy for the president-elect of the United States, Joe Biden: nine out of ten German citizens (89 percent) think it is very good or good that he won the election. Only seven percent of those surveyed rate the election result as less good or bad. 80 percent of citizens believe that with Biden as president, relations between Germany and the United States will improve.

This is a completely different starting point than the 2016 election of Donald Trump: At the time, 57 percent assumed that German-American relations would worsen.

Proper Biden Initiatives

Early initiatives for the period after he took office also found great support among Germans: these include the return of the US to the World Health Organization and re-entry into the Paris Climate Agreement, which 9 out of 10 Germans support. Respondents also expect improvements in the internal US situation: 90 percent support Biden’s desire to develop an action plan as quickly as possible to contain the corona pandemic in the US.

78 percent see Joe Biden in no way a worse option for the development of the US economy. Background: A good third of American citizens viewed the economy as the deciding factor in the elections, with the majority viewing Trump as the most competent candidate.

Unclear room for maneuver for the new US president.

Eighty-five percent of Germans believe America will develop positively overall under Biden. However, they also see the possible limits to their actions: because whether Biden can really initiate major reforms also depends on what the majority in Congress will look like in the future and whether Democrats in the Senate are the minority or at least there is a deadlock. with the Republicans.

That will be decided in the second round of the January elections in Georgia. There are still two seats left for the Senate. If Democrats can decide this for themselves, there would be a deadlock in the Senate. The deciding vote would then go to future Vice President Kamala Harris. But it is not there yet, and currently 71 percent of Germans think Biden will not achieve many of his goals because he depends on cooperation with Republicans.

Germans are cautiously optimistic about an important issue: reconciliation of the nation: 56 percent trust Biden to overcome the division in American society. A divide that was certainly deepened by US President Trump in the past four years, but that also existed before. Post-election polls in the US have also made it clear in some places where these gaps lie, for example between rural and urban areas, but also between people with and without higher education.

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ARD Germany trend since November 12, 2020

Sunday’s question on federal elections

Great support for the work of the federal government

Two-thirds of German citizens (67 percent) are currently satisfied with the work of the black-red coalition, a new record in the ARD Germany trend. Clear approval of the current government job comes from supporters of the Union (87 percent) and the SPD (78 percent), but also from the ranks of the Greens (85 percent). The polar opposite to this remains the AfD supporters, who like no other supporter (87 percent) are critical of the federal government’s work.

Satisfaction with Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) rises in November to a maximum in this legislative period. 74 percent of those eligible to vote are currently very satisfied or satisfied with their work, more than since April 2015.

If the general election were next Sunday, 36 percent of those eligible to vote in Germany would vote for the Union. This would mean that the CDU / CSU was one percentage point higher than in early October. The SPD remains unchanged at 15 percent; the AfD is also unchanged at ten percent. The FDP would also remain at six percent. The left loses a point and reaches seven percent. The Greens also lose a point and stay at 20 percent.

Research facility

Population: Eligible voters in Germany
Sample: Representative random selection / dual frame
(Landline / mobile phone ratio 60:40)
Disproportionate focus (West / East 70:30)
Collection procedure: Telephone interviews (CATI) ***

Number of cases: 1004 respondents
Survey period: November 9-10, 2020

Sunday question:
Number of cases: 1504 respondents
Survey period: November 9-11, 2020

Weighing: according to sociodemographic characteristics;
Sunday question with separate weighting
Fluctuation range: 1.4 * to 3.1 ** percentage points

Execution Institute: infratest dimap

* with a share value of five percent ** with a share value of 50 percent
*** Results are rounded to whole percentages to avoid false expectations of precision. Because for all representative surveys, fluctuation ranges must be taken into account. In the case of a survey of 1000 respondents, these equate to about three percentage points for large parties and about one point for smaller parties. Also, the rounding error is significant for small matches. For these reasons, therefore, no party shows below three percent in Sunday’s question.

Daily Topics will report on this topic on November 12, 2020 at 10:15 pm


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