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On Wednesday night, the first polling stations close at 1am German time. The first results should be available a few minutes later, but in some countries the count will take much longer. Here you can see the current provisional result:
Over the course of election night and the following days, the winners of the individual state elections and the corresponding votes will be determined in the Electoral College forgive.
Elections are also held for both houses of Congress. About a third of the seats in the Senate will be filled; here is the status of the counts:
The House of Representatives is fully ready for elections. Here is the result so far:
This is how the election result is produced
To stay or become president, Donald Trump or Joe Biden don’t necessarily have to have a majority of voters behind them, but rather a majority in the Electoral College. This electoral assembly has 538 members; It takes 270 of them to win. They are sent by individual states, so the number of voters in a state depends roughly on the size of the population. With the exception of Maine and Nebraska, all electorates in a state go to the candidate who wins the most votes there.
There is no central authority similar to the Federal Returns Officer in Germany. In the individual states they are Secretaries of state, comparable to the ministers of the interior of the German state, in charge of supervising the elections, but only announce a result when everything has been counted, which can sometimes take weeks.
Therefore, on election night and in the hours and days that follow, the main television channels are of crucial importance. you shut up individual states declare one of the candidates the winner. And not just when all the votes have been counted, but when, from the broadcaster’s point of view, the state is highly likely to win.
Each of the announcers maintains one for this decision. Decision table, in which political scientists and data experts evaluate the results. In doing so, they are primarily looking at two types of data.
First of all, the so-called partial surveys, in English Exit surveys. They have this name because pollsters see voters leave the voting station and ask who they voted for. Because many voters have already voted early or by letter in 2020, by-election polls will also be conducted by phone. You can read an initial trend from them, but it is fraught with uncertainty and can be misleading if election results are tight.
Over the course of election night, partial results from those constituencies that have already been counted will be added. Statisticians use this to extrapolate the result for the entire state. The more districts that are counted and the more representative they are to the population of the entire state, the more reliable the extrapolation becomes.
Some states go one election at a time to the candidate of the same party, for example, California to the Democrats or Oklahoma to the Republicans. Television stations sometimes call up these results just minutes after polling stations close. Since individual states organize the electoral process independently and are in six different time zones, elections in some East Coast states end at 1 a.m. German time on Wednesday night, in Alaska they end at 7 a.m.
With the challenged States of oscillation After the election, it may take hours or days for the winner to be determined. That depends on how close the result is and how long the count takes. Different state rules also play a role here, such as when postal voting envelopes can be opened. A relatively quick result is expected in Florida, but it could take longer in Pennsylvania. According to forecasts, these two states could finally decide on the overall victory.
The four main television channels CNN, NBC, ABC and CBS have become the so-called National Elections Fund merged and commissioned Edison Research to conduct the exit polls and compile the results from constituencies. However, each announcer makes the projections and the last calling of the election winners for themselves.
Conservative Fox News is based on data from the Associated Press (AP) news agency. Fox has drawn attention time and again in recent years with biased and irrelevant reporting: AP data and Fox Decision Desk decisions are considered serious and reliable.
The electoral coverage of Süddeutsche Zeitung It will rely heavily on CNN’s earnings reports, which have proven to be fast and reliable in the past. If there are discrepancies between CNN and the other channels, we will point it out on the news blog.
