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Sunday 01 November 2020
For days and weeks it has been discussed not only in the United States how Trump will behave on the night of the elections on November 3. Now a report says the president plans to declare himself the winner before all the votes are counted.
According to a media report, the president of the United States, Donald Trump, could declare himself the winner before the end of the vote count in case of an advantage on election night. The Axios news site reported, citing three unidentified sources, that the Republican had discussed plans with his confidants. A record number of postal voters is expected due to the pandemic.
According to polls, supporters of Democrat Joe Biden want to take advantage of it. In competitive states like Pennsylvania, mail-in votes can be counted days after the election. This could mean that Trump is ahead in Wednesday night’s election, but his lead turns into defeat in the days after. Then the electorate in the states in which the result revolves would not be awarded to Trump, but to Biden. That could be decisive in a tight result: The winner needs at least 270 of the 538 voters in the states.
During an election campaign appearance in Dubuque, Iowa, on Sunday, Trump again demanded that the election result be available Wednesday night. “It has always been that way, and it should be that way.” Trump has been claiming for months, without any evidence, that vote-by-mail encourages fraud. In the opinion of the critics, it prepares the field to doubt the result in case of defeat. Axios reported that Trump’s team is preparing to pretend that Democrats would have “stolen” the election if Pennsylvania’s outcome turned in Biden’s favor after Election Night.
Biden is ahead
Trump’s campaign adviser, Jason Miller, also accused Democrats of wanting to “steal” an election victory after the election. Miller told ABC broadcaster: “We believe we will have more than 290 voters on Election Night.” No matter what the Democrats try for “lawsuits or whatever nonsense,” Trump will have enough voters to be re-elected for a second term.
US election expert Nate Silver of the highly regarded website Fivethirtyeight sees Biden as a clear favorite based on current polls. It gives you a 90 percent chance of an overall victory, but expressly says that a Trump success is “plausible,” even without interrupting the vote count. But Biden will also win if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016.
