ARD Germany trend: majority against carnival in Corona times



[ad_1]

Celebrating carnival in Corona times? A clear majority of Germans are against it, according to an 86 percent poll. Mandatory masks at work and school are few in favor.

Von Ellen Ehni, WDR

No Christmas market or no carnival celebration because of Corona? Most Germans consider it sensible what may sound bitter to some: 86 percent believe that the cancellation of carnival celebrations for this fall and next spring is a step in the right direction. Almost two-thirds of those surveyed think Christmas markets should be canceled this year.

Others, specifically 64 percent, are in favor of restricting the number of guests at private parties. In the East, however, there is less support for these possible measures: only a small majority of 52 percent are in favor of restricting the number of guests at private parties; 46 percent are against it. When it comes to canceling Christmas markets, East Germans are divided: 50 percent are in favor, 49 percent are against.

Mask requirement in the workplace is considered critical

Most Germans reject the requirement to wear a mask at work: 55 percent say this suggestion goes in the wrong direction. When asked if students should also wear masks in class, the rejection is even greater: two thirds of those questioned are against it.

The worry of getting infected with Corona has weakened a bit. After 34 percent in mid-August, 26 percent are currently concerned that they or their family members could become infected with Corona. In early September, 73 percent were less concerned or not at all, up from 66 percent just two weeks ago.

Satisfaction with the government at a new record

Today, more citizens than ever are satisfied with the work of the federal government: 66 percent are very satisfied or satisfied with the work of Schwarz-Rot (+2). The previous high on this question was 64 percent in May and August this year. One in three Germans (33 percent) is currently less or not at all satisfied with the work of the federal government (-1). In March it looked very different, before the corona pandemic had a strong impact on government action. At that time, only 35 percent were satisfied with the work of the federal government, 65 percent were dissatisfied.

In recent months, however, this current satisfaction with the government has mainly benefited the CDU / CSU. His strong position in the partisan preferences of the last months was based mainly on a high level of confidence to face the corona pandemic. The Germans consider that the Union has the greatest competence to deal with the crisis of the crown. This is also shown in the current Germany Trend. When asked who can guide Germany through the current corona pandemic, the majority of citizens trust the Union (60 percent).

This is also reflected in today’s Sunday question, in which the Union remains by far the strongest force. If the general elections were on Sunday, the Union would obtain 36 percent, two points less than the previous month. The SPD improves two points and reaches 17 percent. The AfD deteriorates at one point and lands at 10 percent. The FDP and the left are stable at 6 and 7 percent respectively. The Greens improve by one point and reach 19 percent.

1/16

ARD Germany trend

Sunday’s question on federal elections

Söder favorite as Union candidate for Chancellor

The corona pandemic falls at a time when the parties are lining up for the upcoming federal elections in the fall of next year. In the CDU in particular, this comes as a great shock, as the incumbent chancellor will no longer stand for election after 16 years. It is still open with which candidate the Union will enter the federal electoral campaign. Four are currently in public discussion for this.

The current favorite of the Germans comes from Bavaria: 56 percent of German citizens and 75 percent of Union supporters consider Markus Söder to be a good candidate for Union Chancellor. Friedrich Merz follows in second place. 33 percent of eligible voters and 43 percent of Union voters see him as a good candidate for Chancellor. Currently, Armin Laschet considers that 24 percent of those surveyed and Norbert Röttgen 21 percent are good candidates. In the ranks of CDU / CSU supporters, Laschet convinced 25 percent and Röttgen 27 percent.

Scholz gains support

The SPD decided on its candidate for chancellor two weeks ago. Since then, it has had more popular support. Currently, 55 percent of German citizens say that the Finance Minister is a good candidate for SPD Chancellor. That is +11 percentage points more than in mid-August. Supporters of the SPD even support him by 77 percent. 32 percent of German citizens believe that he is not a good candidate for chancellor.

With this, Olaf Scholz caught up with other SPD chancellor candidates in the past: When Martin Schulz was appointed chancellor candidate in January 2017, 64 percent of Germans thought he was a good fit. At Peer Steinbrück in 2012, 58 percent supported this.

With the Greens, the decision will be made between the two party leaders as things stand. Of those eligible to vote, Robert Habeck is seen as the best Green Top candidate: 42 percent consider him a good candidate for Green Chancellor. Annalena Baerbock considers 28 percent to be a good candidate. Habeck is also more popular in his own ranks than his co-chair. Most Greens supporters, however, see Habeck (65 percent) and Baerbock (59 percent) as a good candidate for the top candidate for the federal election.

Research facility

Population: Eligible voters in Germany
Shows: Representative random selection / dual frame
(Landline / mobile phone ratio 60:40)
Disproportionate focus (West / East 70:30)
Collection procedure: Telephone interviews (CATI) ***

Number of cases: 1027 respondents
Survey period: 08/31 to 01/09/2020

Sunday question:

Number of cases: 1527 Question
Survey period: 08/31 to 09/02/2020

Weighing: according to sociodemographic characteristics;
Sunday question with separate weighting
Fluctuation range: 1.4 * to 3.1 ** percentage points

Execution Institute: infratest dimap

* with a share value of five percent ** with a share value of 50 percent
*** Results are rounded to whole percentages to avoid false expectations of precision. Because for all representative surveys, fluctuation ranges must be taken into account. In the case of a survey with 1000 respondents, these represent around three percentage points for large parties and around one point for smaller parties. Also, the rounding error is significant for small matches. For these reasons, therefore, no party is shown below three percent in Sunday’s question.

Daily Topics will report on this topic on September 3, 2020 at 10:15 pm


[ad_2]