Despite the epidemic toll, the market edge towards euphoria


“It’s not as clear a bubble as it was 20 years ago,” said Jay Ritter, a finance professor at the University of Florida studying early public opportunities. “But we’re close to the bubble region.”

The market seems warmer by another gauge that investors often use to determine how cheap or expensive a stock is: its price relative to its expected profit. Currently, the so-called price-to-earnings ratio for S&P 500 companies is above 22, and for most of the year. The last time the market was consistently at that level was 2000.

The hunger of individual investors has been an unexpected by-product of the epidemic. For many, when other opportunities, such as sports gambling, were effectively shut down, traders’ stocks began as a way to scratch their speculation.

One of them was Tim Mulvey, a 32-year-old medical software software salesman in Aonta, NY. He first entered Robinhood, a popular free-trading app for small investors, in March and began buying stocks as markets collapsed.

Mr Mulvena said, “I’m unconscious and just look at where this takes me.”

It has a nearly 60 percent advantage over Apple Pal, which is its biggest position. And in Pence National Gaming, the regional gambling company that bought Bartlest Sports, a digital sports site, a fan of Mr. Mulvena, has more than doubled its investment.

As 401 (k) investors are stuck in less active investments, they too have been tasked with pure vanilla index funds – but have benefited from the upward flow of the market, tempting the forward flow. Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch have recently cited “front prices, greedy conditions” as the reason for the massive surge in equity market mutual funds and exchange-traded funds over the past six weeks.

As it did in the 1990s, small investors are pouring money into trendy, tech-focused companies, many of whom have seen their businesses gain traction during the epidemic. Their favorites include cloud computing software maker Snowflake, surveine surveillance company Palantir and the cloud storage company QuantumScape, which rose 144 percent in December alone. Investors also prefer the online marketplace, ETC, which is up 30,330 per cent this year. Just a week ago, 908 devices – the makers of hand-held analytical devices – saw its sales increase by nearly 150 percent.