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Former president Juan Manuel Santos Calderón slightly outperforms former president and former senator Álvaro Uribe Vélez in a favorable image, according to the result of the most recent Country Perception survey of the Guarumo and EcoAnalítica firms, released this Friday morning. This is an unprecedented situation in recent political history.
“Next I am going to read you a list of names, which correspond to characters of national life, the image that you have of them is?”, Asks the pollster.
Santos, 40.9%; Uribe, 40.2%; it is read in the graph of the results.
Besides this small light of difference between the last two heads of state of the country in their favorable image, Santos also appears better in the negative image item.
Santos has an unfavorable image among Colombians of 50.6%, while Uribe’s is 53.6%.
In this section, the political leader with the best image in Colombia is Sergio Fajardo, with 60.8%, well above his sure rival in the next presidential elections, Gustavo Petro, with 25.9%.
The result of the favorable and unfavorable image of public figures in Colombia is in a survey that, according to the technical sheet, consulted 1,257 people with the telephone technique.
The collection date was from September 27 to 30, 2020. This period corresponds to days in which the two former presidents experience diametrically opposite situations.
Uribe, by means of a decision of August 3 approved and signed unanimously in the Supreme Court of Justice, has the imposition of a preventive detention assurance measure, as an alleged determiner of the crimes of bribery of witnesses in criminal proceedings and procedural fraud. This measure was replaced by house arrest.
The ruling of the Supreme Court indicates possible risks of obstruction of justice, regarding the future collection of evidence of allegedly criminal acts that involve both the then senator Álvaro Uribe like the representative Álvaro Hernán Prada Artunduaga.
Santos, for his part, has appeared in several interviews and in international forums where he reflects on the benefits of the peace process that he signed with the FARC guerrillas and that earned him the Nobel Prize.
Uribe has been the most influential politician in recent Colombian history. It also became, without a doubt, the most popular.
In fact, in the moments following Operation Jaque – in which, with a coup of audacity, he snatched, without firing a single shot, several kidnapped from the FARC guerrillas – he reached a favorable image of 86% in front of a meager unfavorable of 11%.
As he said in an analysis, the newspaper Briefcase: “That adoration that a good part of the country feels for him allowed him to win the elections in both 2002 and 2006 in a single jerk.”
Then he led the campaign for the “No” to the plebiscite, in which the fate of the peace accords with the FARC was defined. Despite polls showing he would lose 3-1, he patiently toured the country making his case and won again.
But since Iván Duque became president, his image has been in free fall.
POLITICS
Data sheet
– Legal person that carried out the survey: Guarumo, a brand of Smart Data & Automation SAS and EcoAnalítica Measurement and Economic Concepts SAS
– Legal person who entrusted it: Guarumo a brand of Smart Data & Automation SAS and EcoAnalítica Measurement and Economic Concepts SAS
– Source of Financing Guarumo a brand of Smart Data & Automation SAS and EcoAnalítica Measurement and Economic Concepts SAS
– General Objective: Questions about voting intention, management perception of the President and mayors.
– Universe of Study Colombian men and women over 18 years of age, resident in Colombia, except for the so-called former national territories and the San Andrés archipelago.
– Sample design
The sample design is probabilistic, in four stages:
Stage 1: National population census, by municipalities
Stage 2: Planimetry of selected municipalities
Stage 3: Selected apple homes
Stage 4: People over 18 years of age in selected household
– Sample Size Total people surveyed: 1,257
– Collection Technique Telephone survey.
– Number of interviewers 25 interviewers, 5 supervisors and 3 coordinators.
– Collection Date From September 27 to 30, 2020
– Characters by whom it was inquired Refer to the collection form.
– Margin of error The margin of error is 2.5% with 95% confidence.
– Sample distribution The surveys were carried out in the following municipalities: Armenia, Barranquilla, Bello, Bogotá DC, Bucaramanga, Buga, Cali, Calarcá,
Cartagena, Cota, Duitama, Flandes, Florencia ,, Ibagué, Manizales,
Medellín, Montería, Neiva, Palmira, Pasto, Pereira, Riohacha, Rionegro,
Rivera ,, Santander de Quilichao, Santa Marta, Sincelejo, Soacha,
Soledad, Tunja, Tolú, Valledupar, Villavicencio.
– Sample frames Municipalities National Population Census
– Specific questions that were asked. Refer to the collection form.
– Statistician Gustavo Romero Cruz