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The arrival at the White House of the Democratic duo Joe Biden-Kamala Harris will have a direct impact on the peace agreement signed between the Colombian State and the FARC guerrillas, especially in its implementation phase.
(Can read: What will Colombia’s relationship with the US be like in the Biden government?)
This is the first conclusion reached by various analysts who predict a turnaround in Washington’s demands on the country, in general, and on President Duque, in particular.
“It is likely that Biden, in his quest to restore continuity to President Obama’s policies, In addition to maintaining the egalitarian discourse that helped him get to the presidency, I called President Duque’s attention for not having continued promoting the peace process with the FARC”Predicts Alejandro Bohórquez-Keeney, international analyst and professor at the Universidad Javeriana.
Even the consequences that will be felt, according to the professor’s interpretation, will be more profound: “In that order of ideas, Biden may be reluctant to continue collaborating closely with the Colombian government.”
A fact that, in his opinion, says the teacher, is known in the Casa de Nariño, so they moved quickly: “That’s why we saw that in the congratulations that Duque sent him,” he says, “it reminds him of cooperation on the issue of drug trafficking.”
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The planned turnaround is so large that it is reflected in the enthusiasm that reigns among the proponents of the agreement. “The impact that the arrival of Biden will have on the peace agreement is positive in every way: in cooperation, in political terms and in terms of reforms in the security and justice sector ”, says Jorge Restrepo, director of the Resource Center for Conflict Analysis (Cerac).
Restrepo explains: “In cooperation, support for rural development programs associated with the substitution of illicit crops – giving priority to aerial spraying – and the economic reintegration of ex-combatants will be maintained and expanded.”
In political terms, the researcher believes that “will close the space to initiatives that seek to hinder the operation of the institutions of the agreement, like the JEP and that they propose to repudiate it “.
In cooperation, support for rural development programs associated with the substitution of illicit crops will be maintained and expanded
And it also considers that it will create “a space for reforms in security and justice, which allow improving security guarantees, focused on reducing political violence and the shared struggle between Colombia and the United States against drug trafficking. ”.It is clear that the scenario today is very different from the relationship that was had with the Trump administration.
In fact, on Monday morning, former President Juan Manuel Santos warned that the Duque government “must make changes in policy, including the movement of people.” The question that left hanging in the environment is natural:
(Can read: Uribe’s approaches to President-elect Joe Biden)
Francisco Santos, a prominent member of the Democratic Center, a party opposed to the negotiation with the Farc, will he continue in office now that a government that has always risked for the agreement comes to power?
In dialogue with RCN Radio, Juan Manuel Santos said that the president-elect is respectful of the peace accords and human rights, which is why he believes that “Duque will be forced to make some policy changes, because unfortunately what he did was totally surrender to Trump and that has not worked out well for him, since Colombian foreign policy has suffered a lot. “
For Juan Manuel Santos there are no doubts: “He is going to have to review the policy and with this there must necessarily be a change of people.”
For the former head of state who managed to take the weapons away from the FARC, “the policies of the Democratic Party and those of Biden differ a lot from those that President Iván Duque has been defending these years, they are more committed to human rights and agreements. of peace”.
He also believes that the days to come will be better. “In that aspect there will be many changes for the better, without a doubt.”
For this reason, the former president considers that “this will lead the Colombian Government to comply with what the Constitution requires, since complying with the implementation of the peace accords is a constitutional duty”
.
Why? “Democrats do like the agreement and they are going to press for it to be carried out, so that there we are going to see, fortunately, a change towards the positive, and President Duque is going to have to align his policies ”, values the Nobel Prize winner.
In the United States there was no change in the way of going from a government from red to blue, but from a completely different ideology. Democrats want to print the stamp that has traditionally characterized them and that they pass in this field by seeking out consensus and through dialogue to social conflicts.
(Further: Duque’s response to those who called him a paramilitary)
In fact, it is the bench that in the United States Congress has shown its real concern for the murder of social leaders and was decisive in Havana to reach an agreement.
Very different from Donald Trump, who in the final stretch of his campaign sent messages of support to former president Álvaro Uribe, Duque’s political mentor, and once again brought up the allusions to “Castrochavism”, “the term that the right coined Colombian woman gathered around the government party to attack the peace agreement that Juan Manuel Santos sealed with the extinct FARC guerrilla ”, as defined The country from Madrid.
the policies of the Democratic Party and those of Biden differ greatly from those that President Iván Duque has been defending these years
In its report, entitled ‘Donald Trump’s re-election campaign threatens peace in Colombia’, this newspaper recalled that the Republican lined up batteries against the peace agreement, “hard-negotiated, which allowed the disarmament of about 13,000 rebels.”
“The previous Administration negotiated the terrible Obama-Biden-Santos treaty with the Colombian drug cartels, surrendered to the narco-terrorists and caused the production of illicit drugs to increase,” Trump went on to affirm at an event in Miami, “a rhetoric that he recalled the most radical banners of Uribism, the political current that supports the ex-president ”, says the newspaper.
“Trapped since it was signed four years ago in the crossfire of Colombian political polarization, the peace agreement now sees its fragile implementation threatened amid the polarization of the US campaign, the newspaper conceived in October.
At that time, of course, Trump was the President and had all the options to be re-elected and to continue four more years in command of the United States. Now the situation is different.
So much so that the claim of the Democrat Bernard Aronson, who was the special delegate of the United States to accompany the talks in Havana during the Barack Obama administration, is still clear: “The agreement is not being implemented satisfactorily.”
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It was a very hard phrase, but made from outside the Government. Now that they will control the White House again, these words will surely not go unnoticed.
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